Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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Spot Forecast for JCCFS Fall Festival...Cherokee County Emergency Management
National Weather Service Morristown TN
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on October 03.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Off and on showers and a few storms are expected for both days of
the event, but there will likely be at least some periods of dry
weather. The greatest chances for rain both days will be mid to
late afternoon into the early evening hours. At this time, the
main impacts will be lightning from storms and locally heavy
downpours with no severe weather expected in our area.
Temperatures will generally be in the 70s to near 80 during the
daytime.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the morning and early afternoon.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    morning, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  84  83  81  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 93  87  82  82  82  85
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.0   0   0   0   0   1   1   3   3   1   1
Surface wnd gst.2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6   6   5   5

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Showers likely early in the evening.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  83  85  86  87  88  89  90  91  92  92  93
Weather cov.....DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
RH..............87  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Surface wnd dir.SW  N   N   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Surface wnd spd.1   0   0   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Showers through
                    the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Min humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  94  94  90  87  83  82  82  81  79  77  75
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 97  93  93
Surface wnd dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  N   N
Surface wnd spd.3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0
Surface wnd gst.7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Brandon Wasilewski
Requested by...Emergency Management Coordinator
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2622924.0/MRX
.DELDT 10/03/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sam.davis@cherokeecounty-nc.gov