Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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Point Forecast Matrices
National Weather Service Morristown TN
132 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

TNZ017-060800-
Tri Cities Airport-Sullivan TN
36.50N  82.41W Elev. 1536 ft
132 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Date           10/05/25      Mon 10/06/25            Tue 10/07/25            Wed
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      56          82          58          80          63
Temp          79 71 65 62 59 57 71 79 80 70 64 61 60 59 71 77 79 72 67 66 64 63
Dewpt         59 59 59 58 58 57 61 61 60 61 59 59 59 58 63 64 64 64 64 64 64 63
RH            50 66 81 87 96100 71 54 51 73 84 93 96 96 76 64 60 76 90 93100100
Wind Dir       S SE  E  E NE  E  E  E SE SE SE  E  E  E  S SW SW SE  S  S SW SW
Wind Spd       6  5  3  2  2  3  3  3  5  5  3  2  2  2  3  5  5  2  2  2  2  2
Clouds        FW SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC SC B1 SC B1 B1 B2 B2 OV OV OV
PoP 12hr                      0           5          10          30          80
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0        0.01        0.48
Rain shwrs                                                  C  C  C  C  D  D  C
Tstms                                                          S  S  S  S  S  C
Obvis                       PF+


Date           10/08  Thu 10/09/25  Fri 10/10/25  Sat 10/11/25  Sun 10/12/25
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          71      53    71      48    69      49    71      48    71
Temp          69 65   57 54 68 63   52 49 66 61   52 50 68 62   52 49 69 62
Dewpt         66 60   54 52 55 53   46 45 53 54   51 49 54 53   51 48 53 52
PWind Dir         N      NE     E       E    NE       E    NE      NE    NE
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B2 B1   SC B1 SC SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC FW   FW SC SC FW
PoP 12hr         50      10    10      10    10      10    10      10    10
Rain shwrs     C  S
Tstms          C  S

$$

TNZ071-060800-
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport-Blount TN
35.80N  83.98W Elev. 979 ft
132 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Date           10/05/25      Mon 10/06/25            Tue 10/07/25            Wed
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      60          83          64          83          67
Temp          82 74 69 66 63 61 72 81 82 74 69 67 65 64 73 80 82 77 71 69 68 67
Dewpt         63 63 63 62 61 61 64 65 64 65 64 64 64 63 66 66 66 66 66 67 67 67
RH            53 69 81 87 93100 76 58 55 74 84 90 97 97 79 62 58 69 84 93 97100
Wind Dir      SE  S  N  N NE NE NE  E  E  S  S SW SE SE  S SW SW SW  S SW  W SW
Wind Spd       5  5  3  2  3  3  3  3  4  3  3  2  2  2  2  5  5  4  3  2  2  2
Clouds        B1 B1 SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 OV OV OV
PoP 12hr                     10          10          10          20          70
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0           0        0.36
Rain shwrs                                                  S  S  C  C  L  L  C
Tstms                                                          S           S  C


Date           10/08  Thu 10/09/25  Fri 10/10/25  Sat 10/11/25  Sun 10/12/25
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          76      58    74      57    72      55    73      54    73
Temp          73 70   62 58 71 68   61 57 69 66   57 55 71 66   57 54 71 66
Dewpt         69 64   59 55 63 62   60 55 59 58   57 54 58 57   55 53 58 56
PWind Dir         N      NE    NE      SE    NE      NE    NE      NE     N
Wind Char        LT      GN    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B2 B1   B1 B1 B1 B1   B1 B1 B1 SC   SC SC SC FW   FW SC SC FW
PoP 12hr         40      20    20      20    10      10     5      10     5
Rain shwrs     C  S       S     S       S
Tstms          C  S             S

$$

TNZ036-060800-
Oak Ridge-Anderson TN
36.00N  84.24W Elev. 913 ft
132 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Date           10/05/25      Mon 10/06/25            Tue 10/07/25            Wed
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      59          83          64          81          65
Temp          81 73 68 65 62 60 72 81 81 72 68 66 65 64 73 80 81 74 69 68 67 65
Dewpt         62 64 63 62 61 60 64 65 65 65 64 64 64 63 67 67 67 67 66 67 67 65
RH            53 73 84 90 97100 76 58 58 79 87 93 97 97 81 65 63 79 90 97100100
Wind Dir       E  S  W  N NE NE NE  E SE  S SW  W SW  S  S SW SW  W SW  W  W  W
Wind Spd       3  2  2  1  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  2  3  5  5  2  2  2  2  2
Clouds        SC B2 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 OV OV OV OV
PoP 12hr                     10          10          10          40          80
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0        0.06        0.49
Rain shwrs                                            S  S  C  C  L  L  D  D  C
Tstms                                                          S  S  S  S  C  C


Date           10/08  Thu 10/09/25  Fri 10/10/25  Sat 10/11/25  Sun 10/12/25
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          75      57    73      57    71      54    73      52    74
Temp          75 66   60 57 71 67   61 57 68 64   57 54 71 65   56 53 72 64
Dewpt         69 63   55 53 63 62   59 55 60 59   56 54 59 57   53 52 59 56
PWind Dir         N      NE    NE       N    NE       N    NE      NE    NE
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B2 B1   SC B1 B1 B1   B1 B2 B1 SC   SC SC SC FW   FW SC SC FW
PoP 12hr         40      10    20      20    10      10    10      10    10
Rain shwrs     C  S             S       S
Tstms          C  S

$$

TNZ099-060800-
Chattanooga Airport-Hamilton TN
35.03N  85.22W Elev. 688 ft
132 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Date           10/05/25      Mon 10/06/25            Tue 10/07/25            Wed
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      65          82          67          84          68
Temp          81 76 72 69 67 66 73 80 81 74 70 68 68 67 74 81 83 77 72 70 69 68
Dewpt         65 65 66 65 64 63 66 67 67 67 67 67 66 66 68 67 67 67 69 69 69 68
RH            58 69 81 87 90 90 79 65 63 79 90 97 93 97 82 63 59 71 90 97100100
Wind Dir      SE SE SE  E  E NE  E SE SE SE SE SE  S SE  S  S  S  S  S  S SE NE
Wind Spd      11  8  5  4  4  3  6 10 11  6  5  4  4  4  8  9  8  4  2  2  2  2
Clouds        B2 B2 B1 SC SC B2 B1 B1 SC FW SC B1 B2 B1 B1 SC B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2
PoP 12hr                     10          10           5          20          60
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0        0.03        0.21
Rain shwrs                                                  S  S  C  C  L  L  C
Tstms                                                                   S  S  S
Heat index                                                    86
Max heat         84                82    85                83    87


Date           10/08  Thu 10/09/25  Fri 10/10/25  Sat 10/11/25  Sun 10/12/25
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          80      62    74      58    74      57    76      54    77
Temp          77 73   64 62 71 68   61 58 71 68   59 57 73 68   58 55 74 68
Dewpt         70 67   63 59 64 63   57 53 58 58   58 55 59 58   57 54 58 57
PWind Dir        NE      NE     E       S     E       N    NE       N    NE
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B2 B1   SC B1 B1 B1   B1 B1 SC SC   SC SC SC FW   FW SC FW FW
PoP 12hr         30      10    20      20     5       5     5       5     5
Rain shwrs     C  S          S  S       S
Tstms          C  S

$$

NCZ060-060800-
Tusquitee RAWS-Forestry-Cherokee NC
35.07N  84.12W Elev. 1600 ft
132 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Date           10/05/25      Mon 10/06/25            Tue 10/07/25            Wed
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      59          79          61          81          62
Temp          74 71 66 64 62 60 70 77 77 68 65 63 63 61 72 80 78 70 65 64 63 62
Dewpt         62 62 62 61 59 58 63 64 64 64 63 63 62 61 64 64 64 64 64 63 63 62
RH            66 73 87 90 90 93 78 64 64 87 93100 97100 76 58 62 81 97 97100100
Max/Min RH                   93          62         100          58         100
Wind Dir      SE SE  E  E  E  E  E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S SE SE  E  N  E
Wind Dir Deg  12 12 11 11 11 11 11 12 13 12 12 12 12 12 14 15 16 14 13 11  0  9
Wind Spd      10  5  6  5  5  4  8  9  9  5  5  3  3  3  5  5  5  2  2  1  0  1
Wind Gust        16 19 19 18 16             16 16 13
Clouds        B2 B1 B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC FW SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC B1 B1 B1 B2 OV OV
Clouds (%)    70 64 51 46 46 55 48 40 29 16 40 53 52 68 57 50 64 63 67 74 92 92
Vsby          10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
PoP 12hr                     10          10           5          10          50
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0           0        0.12
Rain shwrs     S                                                  C  C  C  C  C
ChanceThunder                10          10           5           5          10
Max Mix Hgt
AGL Mix Hgt                            3200                    3700
Max Vent Rt                           41300                   26700
T Wind Dir                               SE                      SE
T Wind Spd                               13                       8
ADI                                      41                      27
Max LVORI                                 6                       9
Stability         B     F     F     B     B     F     F     B     B     F     D
Ceiling        NONE 23500 20800 20800 20800  NONE 20800  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE
Sta Pres      28.07 28.06 28.10 28.08 28.07 28.05 28.06 28.02 28.02 28.01 28.01


Date           10/08  Thu 10/09/25  Fri 10/10/25  Sat 10/11/25  Sun 10/12/25
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          77      59    72      51    72      49    73      50    73
Temp          74 68   62 59 71 61   55 51 69 62   53 50 72 60   53 50 72 59
Dewpt         67 65   62 59 60 56   50 48 57 56   53 50 56 55   53 50 54 54
PWind Dir         N      NE    SE      SE     N       E     N       E    NE
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B2 B1   B1 B2 B1 B1   B1 B1 B1 SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC FW
PoP 12hr         50      20    20      20    10      10    10      10    10
Rain shwrs     C  C    S  S  S  S    S  S
Tstms          S  C    S

This is an experimental product for planning and review purposes only, and is
not to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast

$$