Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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Point Forecast Matrices
National Weather Service Morristown TN
227 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

TNZ017-022000-
Tri Cities Airport-Sullivan TN
36.50N  82.41W Elev. 1536 ft
227 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Date             Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26            Sun 10/04/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      84          64          77          63          72
Temp          60 60 74 82 83 74 68 66 65 64 69 75 74 69 66 65 64 63 66 70 71 69
Dewpt         57 57 63 66 66 67 67 66 65 64 68 69 69 66 65 64 63 63 66 68 68 66
RH            90 90 69 58 57 79 97100100100 97 82 84 90 97 97 97100100 93 90 90
Wind Dir       E  E  W  W  W  W  E NE NE NE  N  N NE NE  E  E  E  E  S SW  W  N
Wind Spd       1  0  1  9  6  2  0  0  0  1  3  3  3  4  2  2  2  1  1  2  1  1
Clouds        SC B1 SC SC B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 OV B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
PoP 12hr                      5          50          70          70          80
QPF 12hr                      0        0.09        0.14        0.17        0.63
Rain shwrs                    S  S  C  C  L  C  C  L  S  S  L  L  D  D  C  C  S
Tstms                         S           S  S  C  C  S  S  S  S        S


Date          Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26  Thu 10/08/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          58    74      46    74      44    74      45    76
Temp          62 58 73 64   51 48 71 63   48 45 71 63   49 46 74 65
Dewpt         62 58 57 51   48 45 52 50   46 43 51 52   47 45 52 53
PWind Dir         N     N      NE    NE       E    NW       E     W
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV B1 FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW SC FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         20     0       0     0       0     0       0     0
Rain shwrs     S

$$

TNZ071-022000-
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport-Blount TN
35.80N  83.98W Elev. 979 ft
227 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Date             Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26            Sun 10/04/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      88          67          82          67          76
Temp          66 65 78 86 86 77 72 70 68 67 73 80 80 74 71 69 68 67 70 74 76 73
Dewpt         61 61 66 69 70 70 70 69 68 67 71 72 72 70 68 68 67 67 70 72 71 68
RH            84 87 67 57 59 79 93 97100100 93 77 77 87 90 97 97100100 93 85 84
Wind Dir      NW  W SW SW SW SW  N  N NE  N NE  N NE NE NE NE  N  N  N NE NE  N
Wind Spd       2  1  3  9  6  3  2  1  1  1  2  3  4  4  3  1  0  0  0  1  2  3
Clouds        SC B1 SC B1 SC B1 B1 B1 B2 OV B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 OV
PoP 12hr                     20          50          50          60          80
QPF 12hr                      0        0.13        0.04        0.28        0.98
Rain shwrs                    C  C  C  C  C     C  C  S  S  L  L  D  D  L  L  C
Tstms                         S  S  S  S  S     C  C  S     S  S  S  S  S  S
Heat index             90 91                   84 84
Max heat               90    93                84    87


Date          Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26  Thu 10/08/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          61    79      51    78      50    78      50    81
Temp          66 61 77 70   58 52 75 69   56 51 76 68   55 51 78 70
Dewpt         65 60 62 56   52 49 57 55   54 50 57 55   54 50 56 54
PWind Dir         N    NE      NE    NE       E     N       E    NE
Wind Char        LT    GN      GN    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV B1 FW   FW FW SC SC   SC SC SC FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         30     5       0     0       0     0       5     0
Rain shwrs     C

$$

TNZ036-022000-
Oak Ridge-Anderson TN
36.00N  84.24W Elev. 913 ft
227 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Date             Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26            Sun 10/04/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      87          66          80          65          76
Temp          65 64 77 85 84 74 70 69 68 66 72 77 78 72 68 67 66 66 70 74 76 71
Dewpt         62 62 68 71 72 71 70 69 68 66 71 72 72 69 67 67 66 66 70 72 71 68
RH            90 93 74 63 67 90100100100100 97 85 82 90 97100100100100 93 85 90
Wind Dir       W  W SW SW SW  W NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  N  N  E SE SE  N
Wind Spd       1  1  3  6  4  2  1  1  1  2  2  3  3  4  2  1  1  0  1  1  1  2
Clouds        B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
PoP 12hr                     30          50          50          60          80
QPF 12hr                      0        0.06        0.03        0.30        0.83
Rain shwrs                 C  C  C  C  C  C                 L  L  D  D  C  C
Tstms                      C  S     S  S  S                 S  S  S     S  S
Heat index             90 90
Max heat               90    91


Date          Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26  Thu 10/08/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          59    78      49    77      50    78      49    80
Temp          64 59 75 68   55 50 73 66   54 51 75 67   54 50 77 69
Dewpt         63 57 60 54   51 47 55 55   52 50 58 56   53 50 57 55
PWind Dir         N    NE      NE    NE      NE     E       N    SE
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV B2 SC FW   FW FW SC FW   FW FW SC FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         10     5       0     0       0     0       5     0

$$

TNZ099-022000-
Chattanooga Airport-Hamilton TN
35.03N  85.22W Elev. 688 ft
227 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Date             Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26            Sun 10/04/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      91          69          87          68          78
Temp          69 67 80 88 88 79 74 71 70 69 77 85 83 76 72 70 70 69 72 76 77 74
Dewpt         65 65 69 70 70 70 71 70 70 69 72 72 73 72 71 70 70 69 71 72 72 70
RH            87 93 69 55 55 74 90 97100100 85 65 72 87 97100100100 97 87 85 87
Wind Dir       S SE  S  S  S  E  N  N NE NE NE  N NE NE NE  E SE SE  S NE  E NE
Wind Spd       2  1  4  5  4  2  1  1  1  1  1  2  4  3  2  1  1  1  2  3  3  2
Clouds        SC SC B1 SC B1 B1 SC SC B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
PoP 12hr                     40          20          60          60          80
QPF 12hr                   0.01           0        0.33        0.28        1.16
Rain shwrs              S  C  S        S        C  C  C  C  L  L  D  D  L  L  C
Tstms                   S  C  S        S        C  C  C  S  S  S  S  S  S  S
Heat index          83 93 93                   91 89
Max heat               93    96                91    92


Date          Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26  Thu 10/08/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          63    82      54    81      52    81      52    83
Temp          67 63 79 74   60 55 78 72   58 53 78 71   57 53 81 73
Dewpt         67 61 62 57   54 51 59 57   53 50 56 55   53 50 55 54
PWind Dir        NE    NE      NE     E      SE     E      SE    NE
Wind Char        LT    GN      GN    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV B2 SC SC   FW FW SC FW   SC FW FW FW   FW FW FW FW
PoP 12hr         30     5       0     0       0     5       5     5
Rain shwrs     C

$$

NCZ060-022000-
Tusquitee RAWS-Forestry-Cherokee NC
35.07N  84.12W Elev. 1600 ft
227 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Date             Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26            Sun 10/04/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      85          63          83          64          73
Temp          61 60 74 83 82 72 68 66 65 63 73 80 78 70 68 66 66 65 68 71 72 69
Dewpt         60 59 68 69 69 69 68 66 65 63 71 72 72 70 68 66 66 65 68 71 70 68
RH            97 96 82 63 65 90100100100100 93 77 82100100100100100100100 93 97
Min/Max RH                   61         100          74         100          93
Wind Dir      SE  E  S  S  W  N  N  N  N  N  N  W  W  N SE  N  N  N  N  W NW  N
Wind Dir Deg  12 11 17 19 27  0  0  0  0  0  0 25 28  0 12  0  0  0  0 26 31  0
Wind Spd       2  2  2  3  2  0  0  0  0  0  0  2  1  0  1  0  0  0  0  1  1  0
Clouds        SC SC SC B2 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B1 OV B2 B2 OV OV OV OV B2 OV B2 OV
Clouds (%)    34 42 45 75 59 59 52 61 83 83 69 88 77 79 91 97 97 99 85 92 86 88
Vsby          10  9 10 10 10 10 10  7  7  7 10
PoP 12hr                     30          20          70          70          90
QPF 12hr                   0.02           0        0.17        0.42        1.23
Rain shwrs                 S  S        S  C  S  C  C  C  C  L  L  D  D  D  D  C
Tstms                      S  S        S  S  S  C  C  S  S  S  S  S  S  S  S
Heat index             87 85                   84
Max heat               87    88                84    85
ChanceThunder                30          20          40          20          20
Max Mix Hgt
AGL Mix Hgt                4100                    2900                    1200
Max Vent Rt               23600                   11200                    4900
T Wind Dir                   SW                       W                      SW
T Wind Spd                    5                       3                       4
ADI                          24                      11                       5
Max LVORI                     9                      10                      10
Stability         G     B     B     F     D     B     B     D     D     B     B
Ceiling        7200 15900 20800  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE
Sta Pres      28.01 27.97 27.97 27.97 27.99 27.99 27.98 28.00 27.99 28.00 27.98


Date          Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26  Thu 10/08/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          59    79      51    76      43    76      44    78
Temp          64 59 78 68   57 52 74 65   50 44 73 64   50 46 76 65
Dewpt         64 59 65 60   56 52 60 56   50 44 57 55   49 45 55 54
PWind Dir         N     N       N    SE      SE     W       N    NW
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV B2 SC   FW SC B1 SC   SC SC SC FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         30    10       0     5       0     5       5     5
Rain shwrs     C  S

This is an experimental product for planning and review purposes only, and is
not to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast

$$