Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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Point Forecast Matrices
National Weather Service Morristown TN
227 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

TNZ017-012000-
Tri Cities Airport-Sullivan TN
36.50N  82.41W Elev. 1536 ft
227 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Date             Thu 10/01/26            Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      84          59          85          63          76
Temp          56 56 73 82 83 72 63 61 60 59 75 83 83 74 68 66 64 63 68 74 73 68
Dewpt         53 53 58 55 55 56 58 57 56 57 62 63 63 65 66 65 64 63 66 68 68 66
RH            90 90 59 40 38 57 84 87 87 93 64 51 51 74 93 97100100 93 82 84 93
Wind Dir       E  E SW SW SW  N SE SE  E  E SW  W  W  W  W NE NE NE  N  N NE NE
Wind Spd       1  1  1  4  3  0  2  1  1  0  2  9  8  2  1  0  1  2  3  3  3  4
Clouds        FW SC FW FW CL FW SC FW FW SC SC SC FW B1 B2 B2 B2 OV B2 B2 B2 OV
PoP 12hr                      0           0          30          40          80
QPF 12hr                      0           0        0.01        0.08        0.27
Rain shwrs                                         C  C  C  C  C  L  L  D  D  C
Tstms                                              S  S                 S  S  S


Date          Sun 10/04/26  Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          61    70      58    73      45    72      43    72
Temp          63 61 68 67   62 58 71 64   50 46 70 61   48 44 70 62
Dewpt         63 61 67 65   62 58 58 54   49 46 50 49   45 42 51 51
PWind Dir         E    NE       N     N      NE    NE       E     S
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV OV B2   B2 B1 B2 FW   FW CL FW FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         80    80      40     5       0     0       0     0
Rain shwrs     C  D  D  L    C
Tstms          S  S     S

$$

TNZ071-012000-
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport-Blount TN
35.80N  83.98W Elev. 979 ft
227 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Date             Thu 10/01/26            Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      89          65          89          67          82
Temp          61 59 75 86 89 80 71 69 67 65 78 87 87 77 72 70 68 67 72 80 80 74
Dewpt         56 56 61 61 58 61 62 61 61 61 65 66 66 68 69 68 67 67 69 71 71 69
RH            84 90 62 43 35 52 73 76 81 87 64 50 50 74 90 93 97100 90 74 74 84
Wind Dir       N NE  N SW SW  S  S  W  W NE SW SW SW SW NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Wind Spd       3  1  0  4  4  3  3  3  3  2  3 10  6  3  2  1  1  3  3  4  4  4
Clouds        FW FW FW FW CL FW SC FW FW SC SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV B2 B2 B2 OV
PoP 12hr                      0           0          40          60          70
QPF 12hr                      0           0        0.03        0.06        0.14
Rain shwrs                                      C  C  C  C  L  L  C  C  L  L  C
Tstms                                           S  C  S                 S  S  S
Heat index                                                             83 83
Max heat               86    88                89    90                83    85


Date          Sun 10/04/26  Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          66    76      61    77      51    76      50    77
Temp          68 66 73 71   66 61 75 69   58 52 73 68   56 51 74 68
Dewpt         67 66 71 68   65 61 62 58   53 50 57 56   53 50 57 56
PWind Dir        NE     N       N    NE      NE    NE       E    NW
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    GN      GN    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV OV B2   B2 B2 B1 SC   FW FW SC FW   FW SC SC FW
PoP 12hr         80    90      40     5       0     5       0     0
Rain shwrs     C  D  D  L    C
Tstms          S  S  S  C

$$

TNZ036-012000-
Oak Ridge-Anderson TN
36.00N  84.24W Elev. 913 ft
227 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Date             Thu 10/01/26            Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      87          64          88          66          80
Temp          59 59 74 84 87 77 69 67 65 64 77 85 85 75 70 68 67 66 72 77 78 71
Dewpt         57 57 63 62 61 63 64 63 62 62 67 68 68 69 70 68 67 66 70 71 71 69
RH            93 93 69 48 42 62 84 87 90 93 71 57 57 82100100100100 93 82 79 93
Wind Dir       W NW  S SW SW SW SW  W SW  W SW SW SW  W  N  N NE NE NE NE NE NE
Wind Spd       1  1  1  4  3  1  1  1  1  1  3  8  5  2  1  1  1  2  2  3  3  4
Clouds        FW SC FW CL FW SC SC FW SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 OV OV B2 B2 B2 OV
PoP 12hr                      0           0          50          60          70
QPF 12hr                      0           0        0.02        0.11        0.14
Rain shwrs                                      C  C  C  C  L  L  L  L  L  L  C
Tstms                                           S  C  S                 S  S  C
Heat index                                     88 88
Max heat               85    87                88    91


Date          Sun 10/04/26  Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          64    75      58    78      49    75      50    75
Temp          66 64 72 69   63 59 75 67   55 50 72 66   55 51 72 66
Dewpt         66 64 71 68   63 59 60 57   52 48 55 56   52 50 58 57
PWind Dir        NE    NE       N    NE      NE    NE       N     S
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV OV B2   B2 B1 SC FW   FW FW FW FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         70    80      30     5       0     0       0     0
Rain shwrs     C  L  D  L    C
Tstms          C  S  S  C

$$

TNZ099-012000-
Chattanooga Airport-Hamilton TN
35.03N  85.22W Elev. 688 ft
227 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Date             Thu 10/01/26            Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      92          68          92          69          86
Temp          64 63 78 89 91 83 75 72 69 68 80 89 89 79 74 71 70 69 76 83 81 76
Dewpt         59 59 65 64 62 63 64 64 64 64 67 67 67 69 70 70 69 69 71 72 73 72
RH            84 87 64 44 38 51 69 76 84 87 65 48 48 72 87 97 97100 85 70 77 87
Wind Dir      SE  E  S  S  S SE  S  S SE SE  S  S SW  S  N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Wind Spd       1  1  4  8  8  5  5  3  3  1  4  5  4  3  1  1  1  2  2  2  4  3
Clouds        CL FW SC FW FW SC FW FW SC SC FW B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV
PoP 12hr                      0           0          40          40          70
QPF 12hr                      0           0        0.01        0.06        0.24
Rain shwrs                                         S  C  C  C  C  C  C  L  L  C
Tstms                                              S  C                 S  C  S
Heat index                                     92 92                   88 86
Max heat               90    92                92    94                88    89


Date          Sun 10/04/26  Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          67    78      62    81      55    79      52    78
Temp          69 67 75 73   66 63 78 72   60 55 76 70   58 53 75 70
Dewpt         69 67 71 70   66 62 63 60   56 53 59 58   54 50 55 56
PWind Dir         E     E       N     N      NE     E      SE    SE
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    GN      GN    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV B2 B2   B2 B2 B1 SC   FW FW FW FW   FW FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         70    80      30    10       0     5       0     5
Rain shwrs     C  L  D  L    C  S
Tstms          S     S  C

$$

NCZ060-012000-
Tusquitee RAWS-Forestry-Cherokee NC
35.07N  84.12W Elev. 1600 ft
227 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Date             Thu 10/01/26            Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00

Max/Min                      86          60          86          63          81
Temp          56 56 73 84 84 72 66 63 61 60 75 83 83 72 68 66 65 63 71 79 76 70
Dewpt         54 54 65 64 63 62 62 61 60 59 67 69 68 67 68 66 65 63 71 72 71 69
RH            93 93 76 51 49 71 87 93 97 96 76 63 61 84100100100100100 79 85 97
Min/Max RH                   48         100          57         100          79
Wind Dir       E  E SE  S  S SE  E  E  E  E  S SW SW  N  N  N  N  N  N  W NW SE
Wind Dir Deg  11 11 15 17 17 15 11 11 11 10 17 21 20  0  0  0  0  0  0 26 31 12
Wind Spd       2  2  2  3  4  3  3  2  2  2  2  3  2  0  0  0  0  0  0  2  1  1
Clouds        FW SC FW FW CL CL FW FW SC B1 SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B2 OV B2 B2 B2 B2
Clouds (%)     9 34 13 10  4  3 15 24 29 62 46 51 58 58 65 75 77 96 80 85 81 82
Vsby          10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
PoP 12hr                      0           0          30          40          80
QPF 12hr                      0           0        0.01        0.04        0.28
Rain shwrs                                      S  C  C  C  C  C  C  C  D  D  C
Tstms                                           S  C  C  S           S  C  C  S
Heat index                                     87 86
Max heat               85    86                87    88
ChanceThunder                 0           0          30          30          30
Max Mix Hgt
AGL Mix Hgt                5500                    4900                    2400
Max Vent Rt               38400                   29500                    9600
T Wind Dir                    S                       S                       W
T Wind Spd                    6                       6                       3
ADI                          38                      29                      10
Max LVORI                     9                       9                      10
Stability         G     B     B     G     F     B     B     F     D     B     B
Ceiling       23500  6300  7200  8900  8000 17100  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE
Sta Pres      28.02 27.99 27.96 27.98 27.99 27.96 27.95 27.95 27.97 27.96 27.95


Date          Sun 10/04/26  Mon 10/05/26  Tue 10/06/26  Wed 10/07/26
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Min/Max          62    73      58    77      50    75      44    73
Temp          66 62 70 68   63 58 74 66   55 50 72 64   50 45 71 62
Dewpt         66 62 70 67   63 58 65 60   55 50 59 55   50 44 54 53
PWind Dir        SE     S       N     N       N    SE      SE    SE
Wind Char        LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    OV OV OV B2   B2 OV OV SC   FW SC B1 SC   SC FW SC FW
PoP 12hr         70    90      40    20       0     5       5     5
Rain shwrs     C  L  D  D    C  C     S
Tstms          S     S  C

This is an experimental product for planning and review purposes only, and is
not to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast

$$