Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FOUS54 KMRX 191827
PFMMRX

Point Forecast Matrices
National Weather Service Morristown TN
226 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

TNZ017-200800-
Tri Cities Airport-Sullivan TN
36.50N  82.41W Elev. 1536 ft
226 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Date           09/19/26      Sun 09/20/26            Mon 09/21/26            Tue
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      66          88          66          88          65
Temp          89 79 71 70 67 67 78 85 87 78 70 68 67 66 78 86 85 77 70 68 66 65
Dewpt         68 69 70 68 67 67 68 69 67 68 69 68 67 66 70 70 69 69 69 67 66 65
RH            50 72 97 93100100 71 59 52 71 97100100100 76 59 59 76 97 97100100
Wind Dir      NW SE NE  E  N  S SW  W NW SE  E  N  N  E SW  W  W  E  E  E  E  E
Wind Spd       2  2  2  1  1  1  4  5  4  2  0  0  0  0  1  3  3  3  1  1  1  1
Clouds        SC SC B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1
PoP 12hr                     30          40          10          50          50
QPF 12hr                   0.06        0.02           0        0.14        0.15
Rain shwrs     C  C  C  S           C  C                    C  C  C  C  C  C  L
Tstms          C  C  S              C  C                    C  C  S
Obvis                     PF PF
Heat index    93                   89 90                   90 89
Max heat         96                90    92                93    92


Date           09/22  Wed 09/23/26  Thu 09/24/26  Fri 09/25/26  Sat 09/26/26
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          82      62    78      59    75      57    75      53    74
Temp          80 72   66 63 74 70   62 60 71 69   60 58 72 67   56 54 71 66
Dewpt         70 68   65 63 68 65   61 60 66 63   60 58 63 60   56 54 58 56
PWind Dir        SE       E    SE       E     E      NE     N      NE     N
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B2 B2   B2 B1 B2 B1   B1 B1 B1 SC   SC SC B1 SC   SC SC B1 SC
PoP 12hr         80      70    70      60    40      20    30      10     5
Rain shwrs     L  D    L  L  L  L    L  C  C  C    S        C
Tstms          S  C    S        C    S

$$

TNZ071-200800-
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport-Blount TN
35.80N  83.98W Elev. 979 ft
226 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Date           09/19/26      Sun 09/20/26            Mon 09/21/26            Tue
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      70          93          70          92          69
Temp          93 83 77 73 71 70 81 90 92 84 76 73 72 70 81 89 91 82 75 72 70 69
Dewpt         67 69 71 70 69 69 70 70 68 69 71 70 69 69 72 71 70 70 71 70 69 69
RH            43 63 82 90 93 97 69 52 46 61 85 90 90 97 74 56 50 67 87 93 97100
Wind Dir      NE NE  E  N SW  S SW  W NW  S  S  S  S  S SW  W NW  E SE SE SE  N
Wind Spd       4  3  2  1  2  2  3  4  2  3  2  2  1  1  1  2  2  3  2  1  1  0
Clouds        SC B1 B1 SC SC SC CL FW FW SC FW SC SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1
PoP 12hr                     20          20          10          40          60
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0        0.02        0.14
Rain shwrs     S  S                    S                    C  C  L  L  C  C  C
Tstms          S  S                    S                    C  C  C  S
Heat index    97 87             85 96 96 88             85 95 97 86
Max heat         98    84          96    96    83          95    98    83


Date           09/22  Wed 09/23/26  Thu 09/24/26  Fri 09/25/26  Sat 09/26/26
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          87      67    82      64    78      62    79      58    78
Temp          86 77   70 67 80 74   67 65 76 73   65 62 76 72   62 59 76 71
Dewpt         72 71   69 67 72 70   67 65 69 67   64 62 66 64   61 59 63 61
PWind Dir        NW       E    SW      NE    NW       N     N      NE    NE
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B1 B1   B1 B1 B1 B1   SC B1 B1 SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC
PoP 12hr         80      70    90      70    50      20    20      10    10
Rain shwrs     C  D    L  L  L  D    L  C  C  C    S        S
Tstms          S  C    S        C    C        S

$$

TNZ036-200800-
Oak Ridge-Anderson TN
36.00N  84.24W Elev. 913 ft
226 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Date           09/19/26      Sun 09/20/26            Mon 09/21/26            Tue
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      70          92          69          92          68
Temp          91 80 75 72 70 70 80 89 90 79 74 72 70 70 80 89 90 81 73 71 69 68
Dewpt         70 70 72 71 70 70 71 71 69 70 72 70 69 69 73 72 71 71 71 70 69 68
RH            50 72 90 97100100 74 56 50 74 93 93 97 97 79 57 54 72 93 97100100
Wind Dir       N  E NE  N SW SW SW SW NW SW  N SW SW SW SW SW NW  N  N  N  N NW
Wind Spd       1  1  1  0  1  2  4  3  1  1  0  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  0  0  1
Clouds        B1 B1 SC SC FW SC FW FW SC FW SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC B1 SC B1 B2 B1
PoP 12hr                     20          20          10          50          60
QPF 12hr                   0.01        0.02           0        0.04        0.12
Rain shwrs     C  S                    S                    C  C  L  L  C  C  C
Tstms          C  S                    S                    C  C  C  S
Heat index    97 83             83 95 95                84 96 96 85
Max heat         98                95    96                96    98


Date           09/22  Wed 09/23/26  Thu 09/24/26  Fri 09/25/26  Sat 09/26/26
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          86      66    81      63    78      60    79      57    78
Temp          84 75   68 67 78 72   66 64 75 71   63 60 76 70   61 58 75 69
Dewpt         73 72   68 67 72 70   66 64 69 67   63 60 66 64   61 58 63 61
PWind Dir         W      NE     W      NW    NW       N     N       N    NE
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B1 B1   B1 B1 B1 B1   SC B1 B1 SC   SC SC SC SC   SC SC SC SC
PoP 12hr         80      70    90      60    50      10    20      10    10
Rain shwrs     C  D    L  L  L  D    L  C  C  C             S
Tstms          S  C    S        C    C        S             S

$$

TNZ099-200800-
Chattanooga Airport-Hamilton TN
35.03N  85.22W Elev. 688 ft
226 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Date           09/19/26      Sun 09/20/26            Mon 09/21/26            Tue
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      72          96          72          96          70
Temp          94 86 79 75 73 72 84 93 94 84 78 75 73 72 84 93 95 86 77 73 72 70
Dewpt         69 69 72 71 71 71 70 70 68 69 72 71 71 71 73 70 69 70 72 71 71 70
RH            44 57 79 87 93 97 63 47 43 61 82 87 93 97 70 47 43 59 85 93 97100
Wind Dir      NW NE  N  S  S SE  S  S SW NE  S  S  S  N  S  W  W SE  S  S SE  S
Wind Spd       4  2  0  1  2  2  3  2  2  2  1  1  1  0  1  1  3  2  1  1  1  1
Clouds        B1 SC SC FW FW SC CL FW SC SC SC FW SC FW SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC
PoP 12hr                     10          20          10          40          60
QPF 12hr                      0           0           0        0.06        0.03
Rain shwrs     C                       S                    C  C  L  L  C  C  S
Tstms          C                       S                    C  C  C  S  S
Heat index    99 90             88 99 99 88             90 99101 91
Max heat         99    86          99   100    86          99   101    88


Date           09/22  Wed 09/23/26  Thu 09/24/26  Fri 09/25/26  Sat 09/26/26
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          92      69    86      65    83      63    83      60    82
Temp          90 81   71 69 83 78   68 66 80 76   66 64 81 76   64 61 80 75
Dewpt         72 72   70 69 71 70   67 65 68 67   65 63 66 64   62 60 62 61
PWind Dir         S      SE     S       S    NE       N     N       N     N
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    SC B1   B1 B1 SC SC   SC SC B1 SC   SC SC SC SC   SC FW SC SC
PoP 12hr         70      60    70      30    20       5    10       5    10
Rain shwrs     S  L    L  L  C  L    C        S
Tstms             C    C        C    S

$$

NCZ060-200800-
Tusquitee RAWS-Forestry-Cherokee NC
35.07N  84.12W Elev. 1600 ft
226 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Date           09/19/26      Sun 09/20/26            Mon 09/21/26            Tue
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12

Min/Max                      65          90          65          90          63
Temp          92 78 70 68 66 65 78 88 85 75 70 68 66 65 79 89 84 75 69 67 65 64
Dewpt         69 72 70 68 66 65 69 71 70 70 70 68 66 65 72 70 69 69 69 67 65 64
RH            47 82100100100100 74 57 61 84100100100100 79 54 61 82100100100100
Max/Min RH                  100          56         100          52         100
Wind Dir      NE SE  E  E  E  E  N NW SE  N  N  N  N  N  N NW NW  N  N  N  N  E
Wind Dir Deg   5 12 11 11 10 11  0 31 15  0  0  0  0  0  0 29 32  0  0  0  0 10
Wind Spd       3  1  1  1  1  1  0  2  2  0  0  0  0  0  0  2  1  0  0  0  0  1
Clouds        B1 B1 SC SC SC SC FW FW B1 SC FW FW B1 B1 FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 B2 B2
Clouds (%)    64 59 47 29 44 48  9 21 53 29 10 23 65 67 23 47 48 51 58 69 70 76
Vsby          10 10 10  8  7  7 10 10 10 10 10
PoP 12hr                     20          50          10          50          50
QPF 12hr                   0.06        0.08           0        0.06        0.11
Rain shwrs     C  S                 C  S                    C  C  C  C  C  C  C
Tstms          C  S                 C  S                    C  C  C  S
Obvis                        PF
Heat index    97                   94 90                   94 88
Max heat         99                94    95                94    94
ChanceThunder                20          40          10          40          30
Max Mix Hgt
AGL Mix Hgt                            5200                    5300
Max Vent Rt                           21700                   21300
T Wind Dir                               NE                       N
T Wind Spd                                4                       3
ADI                                      22                      21
Max LVORI                                10                      10
Stability         B     G     G     B     B     G     F     B     B     F     F
Ceiling        NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE  NONE
Sta Pres      27.93 27.91 27.92 27.88 27.85 27.88 27.89 27.87 27.83 27.89 27.90


Date           09/22  Wed 09/23/26  Thu 09/24/26  Fri 09/25/26  Sat 09/26/26
EDT 6hrly     14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20   02 08 14 20
UTC 6hrly     18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00   06 12 18 00

Max/Min          85      61    80      58    78      56    78      53    78
Temp          83 73   65 63 78 70   63 59 75 69   61 57 75 68   58 54 76 67
Dewpt         71 70   65 63 70 67   62 59 67 65   61 57 65 63   58 54 61 59
PWind Dir        SE       E    SE      SE     W       N    NW       N    NW
Wind Char        LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT      LT    LT
Avg Clouds    B1 B1   SC B1 B2 B1   SC B1 B2 SC   SC SC B1 SC   FW SC B1 SC
PoP 12hr         90      40    70      40    40      20    20      10    20
Rain shwrs     C  D    C  C  C  L    C  S  S  C    S        S             S
Tstms          S  C    S        C    S        S             S             S

This is an experimental product for planning and review purposes only, and is
not to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast

$$