089
FNUS75 KMSO 110925
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
325 AM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on October 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will run 15 to 20 degrees cooler than
Friday with a similar increase in Min RHs. Westerly winds increase
with gusts up to 20 mph this afternoon. Showers remain in the
forecast today but the main precipitation is expected tonight
through Sunday night. Snow levels lower to valley level Sunday
night, along with a switch to northeasterly winds. Snow
accumulations of 3 to 7 inches expected by Monday afternoon. The
snow/liquid water equivalent is most likely to be 0.50 to 0.90
inches by Monday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...20 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....50-55.
* Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 5-7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.02-0.08 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then
  rain and snow overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...90 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....31-36.
* Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West around 6 mph shifting to the south 7-8
  mph overnight.
* Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.10-0.30 inches.

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Snow in the morning. Rain.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...100 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....39-44.
* Min Humidity........80-85 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5-9 mph shifting to the west 8-10
  mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.25-0.50 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Kitsmiller
Requested by...Jason Keister
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521892.22/MSO
.DELDT 10/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brett.pargman@usda.gov,brandon.hightower@usda.gov,jason.keister@usda.gov,andre.dulac@usda.gov