Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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116
FNUS75 KMSO 171141
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Moose Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
541 AM MDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Increased the probability of showers and
thunderstorms for this afternoon and evening along with higher
mixing heights this afternoon. The coverage and intensity of the
storms will be less compared to previous days. The rest of the
forecast appears to be on track from the forecast that was
provided yesterday afternoon.

.TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
  thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Max Temperature.....Bottom: 80-85, Top: 68-73.
* Min Humidity........Bottom: 28-33 percent, Top: 34-39 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3-8 mph becoming west 5-10 mph
  with gusts to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Increasing to 9000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00-0.03 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain
  overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Min Temperature.....48-53.
* Max Humidity........59-64 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northwest up to 6 mph with gusts to around 20
  mph shifting to the southwest around 5 mph overnight.
* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in
  the evening.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.TUESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
  slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....25 percent.
* Max Temperature.....67-72.
* Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west
  5-6 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Increasing to 10500 ft agl in the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.01-0.06 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Smith
Requested by...Ron Brunell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619412.6/MSO
.DELDT 08/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2026.moose.plans@firenet.gov,julia.goar@mt.gov,ron_brunell@firenet.gov