Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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482
FNUS75 KMSO 040959
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
359 AM MDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... Northwest winds and cloudy skies this morning will
precede widespread rain showers arriving this afternoon.
Precipitation will last through Sunday. Snow levels will descend
to about 4500 feet by Sunday morning. Total liquid precipitation
of 0.30 to 0.60 inches by Sunday afternoon. Winds will become
northerly tonight with a cold front moving east to west. Expect
gusts of about 15-20 mph overnight. Cold temperatures arrive on
Monday morning under clear skies.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain early in the
  morning, then rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
  the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....15 percent.
* Max Temperature.....50-55.
* Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming northwest 5-8 mph
  after noon.

* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 4000 ft agl in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Northwest 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.03 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms
  in the evening. Rain. Snow likely overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...90 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Min Temperature.....30-35.
* Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........North 5-10 with gusts of 15-20 mph
* Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........North 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.40 inches.

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow and rain likely in the
  morning, then slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....45-50.
* Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-4 mph.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 5000 ft agl in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Northeast 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.01 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Messina
Requested by...Jason Keister
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521892.15/MSO
.DELDT 10/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.hightower@usda.gov,jason.keister@usda.gov,andre.dulac@usda.gov,brett.pargman@usda.gov