Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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075
FNUS75 KMSO 031733
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek
National Weather Service Missoula MT
1133 AM MDT Fri Oct 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 MDT on October 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Cool with a few showers the rest of today, some
drying tonight but showers return later Saturday. Winds will be
relatively light and diurnally driven.

Backdoor cold front arrives early Sunday morning (predawn) with
northeasterly gusts of 15-20 mph. Snow levels drop to 4500 feet with
a dusting of snow. Median precipitation amounts of 0.10-0.20 inch
from Saturday night through Sunday.

Warming and drying is expected early next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...30 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....54-59.
* Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........East to northeast 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.03-0.13 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....36-41.
* Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph.
* Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.SATURDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning,
  then rain likely in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....50-55.
* Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming northwest around
  5 mph in the afternoon with gusts to 11 mph.
* Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl increasing to 3500 ft agl in
  the afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Northwest 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.01-0.11 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Booth
Requested by...Jason Keister
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521892.14/MSO
.DELDT 10/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.keister@usda.gov,andre.dulac@usda.gov,brandon.hightower@usda.gov,brett.pargman@usda.gov