Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK51 PAFG 142123
FWFNSB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northern Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
123 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...
As a system makes landfall across the region this afternoon we
are seeing light rain showers develop through the Brooks range and
spotty showers for the Arctic plains. Monday evening we have
higher confidence for thunderstorms across the Brooks range,
especially on the eastern edge. Winds will continue to be out of
the west-southwest, with breezy conditions continuing through
tomorrow.



AKZ906-151530-
Western Arctic Plains-
Including Umiat
123 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     40           40           40           40
CWR                   10           10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      45-55 (0)    57-67 (0)    45-53        54-64
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (+7)   ABV 40 (+6)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 12-16 G27 SW 8-12 G21  SW 8-12 G22  SW 5-9
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 14        SW 18        SW 14        SW 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    600          4800         300          3100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    8400         86400        4200         43400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 45 to 50.
Highs 54 to 64. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 37 to 47. Highs
64 to 74. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
35 to 45. Highs 66 to 76. East winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ907-151530-
Howard Pass and the Delong Mountains-
Including Howard Pass
123 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     80           70           80           80
CWR                   70           40           70           60
Tstm Coverage         None         None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      42-52 (0)    52-62 (0)    43-49        48-58
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+7)  ABV 40 (+8)  85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          S 10-14 G28  S 8-12 G21   S 7-11 G20   S 7-11 G24
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18         S 18         S 18         SW 16
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    600          3900         400          2500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    10800        70200        7200         40000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 43 to 49.
Highs 58 to 68. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
45 to 53. Highs 67 to 77. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows 44 to 54. Highs 67 to 77. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ908-151530-
Central Arctic Plains-
Including Sagwon, Franklin Bluffs,
and the Dalton Highway from MP 322 to MP 387
123 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     60           50           50           20
CWR                   50           50           10           0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      50 (-1)      59-66 (-6)   46-53        56-66
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (+12)  ABV 40 (+11) 76-91        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7       SW 5-9       SW 4-8       Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10        SW 16        SW  9        W  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          4500         300          4000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    4000         72000        2700         36000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs 54 to 62. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 39 to 46. Highs
59 to 69. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
36 to 46. Highs 63 to 73. Northeast winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ909-151530-
Central Brooks Range-
Including Anaktuvuk Pass, Atigun Pass, Galbraith Lake,
and the Dalton Highway from MP 232 to MP 322
123 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     70           60           40           30
CWR                   70           60           10           0
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     None         None         None
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-1)      59-66 (-6)   45           56-66
RH % (24h trend)      84-97 (+7)   ABV 40 (+10) 74-84        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      SW 6-10 G22  SW 6-10 G21  Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   W  6         SW 22        S  9         W  6
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          4400         300          3900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    2400         96800        2700         23400

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs 57 to 62. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs 60 to 69. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
42 to 50. Highs 64 to 74. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ910-151530-
Romanzof Mountains-
Including Headwaters of the Canning River
123 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance precip (%)     70           80           80           40
CWR                   70           60           60           20
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated     None
Temp (24h trend)      51 (0)       58-66 (-7)   48           58-65
RH % (24h trend)      79-94 (+14)  ABV 40 (+22) 80-95        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  8        W 10         SW 10        N  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    400          3400         300          3700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    3200         34000        3000         29600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 46 to 51. Highs
52 to 62. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 38 to 48.
Highs 60 to 70. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
37 to 47. Highs 65 to 75. East winds around 15 mph.

$$
amp Jul 25