847
FXUS63 KOAX 150522
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1122 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Expect a gradual warming trend through Thursday, with highs returning
  to the low to mid-40s.

- A cold front arrives on Friday, bringing the potential for
  cooler temperatures.

- Significantly colder air moves into the region over the
  weekend, resulting in temperatures at least 10-15 degrees
  below normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 333 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025

Temperatures will remain on the cold side today, as highs struggle
into the teens for most areas. A few areas in the far western
portion of the area may reach the low 20s.

We`ll enjoy a gradual warming trend Wednesday and Thursday as we
come under northwest flow. 30s are expected for much of the area,
with 40s in the western parts on Wednesday. By Thursday, widespread
temperatures in the 40s are expected.

Friday, a closed low will move across Manitoba and Ontario. An
attendant cold front is expected to enter the region. Some
uncertainty remains in how warm temperatures will get during the
daytime hours. At this time, there is a low possibility of
precipitation on Friday, due to limited moisture in the region.

After the mild temperatures for the latter half of the week, the
weekend will come as a shock. To give a little perspective on this
weekend`s potential temperature impacts: Highs for this time of the
year typically fall into the mid-30s, with lows around the mid-
teens. Saturday`s highs will be in the teens for areas north of
Highway 30 and in the low to mid-20s for areas along and south of
the highway.

Sunday`s forecasted high temperatures are currently forecast to be
at or slightly below typical low temperatures for this time of the
year, or the low to mid-teens. Low temperatures Sunday and Monday
mornings will be in the single digits above and below zero. Monday
morning temperatures will be below zero with wind chills approaching
the 20s below zero range. Those heading out the door will want to
monitor the forecast and consider bundling up.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1115 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025

VFR cigs are in place across the area with unrestricted
visibility as of TAF issuance. Do expect to see deterioration of
conditions through the morning hours with cigs dipping into and
near to MVFR category and fog development on the western
periphery of the forecast area. Do not have fog development in
TAF for KOFK at this time, but believe a 30-40% chance of its
development means it deserves a close eye through the night.
Expect visibility could slip as low as 1 mile at KOFK.

Could be close to MVFR conditions at KLNK, but have kept them
away for now but they could develop around 10Z to 15Z.

Also worth nothing, low-level wind shear may be an issue on
Wednesday night with 40-50 knot winds just 1500 to 2000 feet
AGL.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...00
AVIATION...Nicolaisen