127
FXUS63 KOAX 041013
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
513 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Flooding continues on the Big Blue River and Turkey Creek.

- Pleasant, dry conditions are expected for the majority of the
  next 7 days, with a slight warming trend by mid week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1107 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

River flooding continues along the Big Blue and Turkey Creek, with
the crest approaching Beatrice.

A shortwave trough dipping towards the Great Lakes region pulled a
weak cold front through the forecast area this evening. A few
showers tried to bubble up along the boundary, but precip struggled
to reach the surface through a dry sub-cloud layer. Temperatures
surged in the daytime sunshine, warming into the mid and upper 70s.

Mostly sunny conditions will prevail over the next few days, with
highs remaining in the 60s and 70s through Monday. A thermal ridge
over the western CONUS will shift eastward by midweek, warming us
back into at least the mid 70s.  While there remains a slight chance
for a few warm air advection showers Thursday into Friday, the
overall forecast remains notably dry through the majority of the
next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 512 AM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

VFR conditions are favored through the forecast period with
mostly clear skies. Patchy fog has developed this morning in
river valleys and low- lying areas, though the probability of
impacts at the terminals remains low (15% chance). Otherwise,
winds will remain out of the north, with wind speeds remaining
under 12 kts through the forecast period.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...Wood