707
FNUS73 KOAX 101530
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Melichar Unit of Two Creeks Prairie...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1030 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on September 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect a warm day with decreasing cloud cover and relatively light
winds. Temperature at ignition should be in the low 80s and top
out around 85 this afternoon. Wind will be out of the southeast at
6 to 8 mph with maybe a few gusts of 10 to 12 mph. RH should start
around 50% and hold in the 40s through the afternoon, with
recovery into the 90s to 100% overnight. Light winds may somewhat
limit mixing/smoke dispersal early, but the sunshine should help,
with generally good smoke dispersal for much of this afternoon.

Friday will be a few degrees warmer and much windier. Winds will
be out of the south at 15 mph with gusts of 25 to 30 mph by late
morning/afternoon. Minimum RH will be in the lower 50s.

Strongest Possible 30 ft Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 15 mph

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 35%

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 4 mph.
Wind (30 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (37200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  17  7   1   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............81  83  83  85  85
RH..............50  46  46  42  45
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   6   6
20 ft wind gust.8   8   8   10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   6   7   7
30 ft wnd dir...SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
30 ft wnd spd...6   6   6   8   8
30 ft wnd gst...10  10  10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   9   9
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100020  28  35  37  30

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 5 mph.
Wind (30 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   8   3   2   3   2   1   3   10  9   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............84  82  79  75  72  71  69  68  68  67  67  67
RH..............46  50  58  67  74  80  83  86  89  92  97  98
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 ft wind gust.10  8   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  11  13  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.7   6   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   10  10
30 ft wnd dir...SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
30 ft wnd spd...8   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9
30 ft wnd gst...12  10  9   10  12  12  12  13  13  14  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  10  10  13  13  14  14  14  13  13
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100018  8   5   4   4   4   5   6   5   5   5   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    early in the morning.
Wind (30 ft)........South winds 9 to 19 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 29 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (73200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  31  43  50  31  31  38  40  38  29  18  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  65  67  70  74  77  80  83  84  86  87  87
RH..............100 100 99  94  84  76  69  63  63  56  53  55
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..7   7   8   10  11  13  13  14  15  15  14  13
20 ft wind gust.14  14  16  18  19  20  21  22  22  23  22  21
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   6   8   8   10  10  11  11  11  11  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  12  13  14  15  16  17  17  17  17  16
30 ft wnd dir...S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
30 ft wnd spd...9   9   10  13  14  16  16  18  19  19  18  16
30 ft wnd gst...17  17  20  22  24  25  26  28  28  29  28  26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.5 3.6 4.0 3.9 3.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  16  17  18  20  20  20  21  21  20
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   9   15  23  35  48  59  68  73  71  55

$$
Forecaster...CA
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2621585.0/OAX
.DELDT 09/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adruery@lincoln.ne.gov