Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FNUS73 KOAX 020351
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Horning Farm Red Oak...Nebraska Forest Service
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1051 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A complex of storms will approach Tuesday morning, likely
dissipating before reaching the burn site. This will bring
cloud cover that will be slow to clear on Tuesday. Winds will be
out of the east-southeast through the day. With clouds slow to
clear, humidity will only fall to around 40-45 percent Tuesday
afternoon. Mixing heights getting up to 4100ft, and transport
winds 12-16 mph will lead to good smoke dispersal once the morning
inversion clears around 9-10am.

Strongest Possible 30 ft Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 20 mph

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 40 percent

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 8 mph.
Wind (30 ft)........East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (57500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  60  55  59  63  64  63  51  51  48
Weather cov.....        SCH
Weather type....        RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  68  71  73  75  77  79  79  79  79
RH..............77  73  65  61  57  55  51  49  49  47
20 ft wind dir..E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  E   SE  E
20 ft wind spd..6   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  10
20 ft wind gust.11  12  13  14  14  14  16  16  16  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  E   SE  E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   5   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   9   10  10  11  11  12  12  12  12
30 ft wnd dir...E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  E   SE  E
30 ft wnd spd...8   9   10  11  11  11  13  13  13  13
30 ft wnd gst...14  15  16  17  18  18  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.4 3.5 3.8 4.1 3.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  13  15  15  16  15  16  15  16  16
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10009   16  24  31  37  44  51  56  58  52

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 8 mph.
Wind (30 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 14 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  52  47  54  34  57  53  45  35  35  38  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............80  78  76  72  70  69  68  67  66  65  64  63
RH..............44  47  50  57  61  63  65  68  68  70  72  75
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind spd..10  9   7   7   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 ft wind gust.16  14  13  11  12  12  13  14  14  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   7   5   5   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  10  10  8   9   9   10  10  11  11  11  10
30 ft wnd dir...SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
30 ft wnd spd...13  11  9   9   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
30 ft wnd gst...20  17  16  14  15  15  16  17  18  18  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  15  14  13  13  13  13  12  13  13  14  14
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100043  32  22  12  5   3   4   5   5   6   6   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 10 mph.
Wind (30 ft)........South winds 10 to 16 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (78500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  70  57  56  45  54  64  58  68  66  49  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  61  64  66  71  73  75  77  79  80  80  80
RH..............77  80  76  72  64  62  60  58  54  52  52  50
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..8   8   9   10  11  12  12  12  12  13  13  13
20 ft wind gust.14  14  14  16  17  18  18  18  18  18  18  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  11  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14
30 ft wnd dir...SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
30 ft wnd spd...10  10  11  13  14  15  15  15  15  16  16  16
30 ft wnd gst...17  17  18  20  21  22  22  23  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.5 1.7 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.3 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  14  16  18  18  18  18  17  18  18  18  20
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/10004   7   16  29  42  51  58  64  72  78  79  73

$$
Forecaster...McCoy
Requested by...Andrew Giralt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2614793.0/OAX
.DELDT 06/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL agiralt2@unl.edu