Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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899
FNUS73 KOAX 081455
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Convent Prairie - Pioneers Park Nature Center...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
955 AM CDT Thu May 8 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect mostly sunny skies this afternoon with winds from the
northeast at 12 mph with 15-20 mph wind gusts. Mixing heights
reach around 5,000 ft during the noon hour, and increase to 6,700
by the late afternoon hours. Minimum RH will be at 30-35% in the
afternoon with rangeland fire danger in the low category.

Friday will see similar weather conditions but with easterly winds
at 10 mph or less. Min RH lowers to 26% by the afternoon hours
with mixing heights around 7,000 ft.

Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 12 mph with gusts
up to 20 mph.

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 30 to 35%

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (43100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (77400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  18  17  15  11  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  74  76  76  77  77
RH..............53  48  43  42  37  36
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  14  14  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   7   7   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   10  10  10  11  11
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.10  11  11  13  13  13
Surface wnd gst.15  17  17  17  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 5.1 5.9 6.6 7.0 7.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  13  13  13
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100043  57  68  76  77  69

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 7 mph becoming light.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 6
                    to 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (54800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........16     8      8      3      6      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............78     73     63     59     55     52
RH..............35     40     56     62     69     74
20 ft wind......NE 9   NE 7   NE 5   E 3    E 2    N 2
20 ft wind gust.14     10     7      5
Eye level wind..NE 7   NE 5   NE 4   E 2    E 1    N 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     7      5      4      2      2
Surface wind....NE 11  NE 9   NE 6   E 4    E 3    N 3
Surface wnd gst.17     12     9      6
Mix hgt (ft)....6200   600    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..NE 12  E 10   E 10   E 10   E 9    SE 7
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
SDspl kt-ft/100055     25     5      3      4      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 4 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming east 6 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 6 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast 6 to
                    10 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      7      6      7      5      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............49     54     66     74     78     80
RH..............83     74     54     41     35     29
20 ft wind......E 1    SE 1   SE 2   E 4    NE 6   E 6
20 ft wind gust.2      2             6      7      8
Eye level wind..E 1    SE 1   SE 1   E 3    NE 4   E 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.              2      4      5      6
Surface wind....E 1    SE 1   SE 3   E 5    NE 8   E 8
Surface wnd gst.2      2             7      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    2300   4500   6900   6800
Transport wind..S 6    S 6    SW 6   N 9    NE 10  NE 7
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
SDspl kt-ft/10001      2      12     43     55     41

$$
Forecaster...Castillo
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513521.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adruery@lincoln.ne.gov