059
FXUS64 KOHX 111715
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1215 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1214 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

- Dry conditions continue through next week

- Gradual warming trend with highs back into the mid 80s next week

- Despite another prolonged dry stretch, afternoon relative
  humidity values should remain sufficiently high to prevent any
  fire weather concerns.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

A high pressure system sits just to our northwest, on the KY/TN
border. Calm conditions can be expected through the weekend while
this high moves off and the following high situates itself in the
south. We saw some substantial patchy fog across the area this
morning, with many spots having visibilities under 1 mile. Patchy
fog will continue to be a hazard on the weekend, appearing after
midnight and lasting into the early morning. Plan for reduced
visibilities on your morning commutes. Temperatures through the
weekend will be closer to what we expect for this time of year:
chilly nights and days where you need a jacket in the morning and
evening but sweat in the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Into the work week, a high pressure system is forecasted to be the
dominant feature, leading to the increase in our temperatures. They
will level off in the low 80s for highs by mid-week, with morning
lows in the low to mid 50s. High pressure also means no
precipitation in the forecast for the period, so things will remain
dry. This pattern looks to extend into late October, with below-
normal rainfall and above-normal temperatures forecasted for middle
Tennessee by the CPC. Despite the dry environment, minimum RH is
forecasted to stay around 50% during the day, so we are not
concerned with fire weather at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Quiet weather continues with VFR conditions through the TAF
period. FEW to SCT clouds 040-080 will clear during the evening.
Light northerly winds under 7 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      52  79  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    50  78  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     46  72  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       49  78  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     48  73  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      47  72  47  73 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   47  77  46  78 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   48  78  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        50  78  48  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Mueller