474
FXUS64 KOHX 122347
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
647 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 641 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

- Rain chances return to the forecast this weekend.

- Above normal temperatures through the end of the week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Clear skies this evening with temperatures dropping into the upper
40s overnight. Fog returns late tonight into early Monday morning.
Take extra caution on those Monday morning commutes as some patchy
dense fog could be lingering around. Otherwise, another pleasant
weather day is on tap to start your work week off.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

It has been a beautiful Sunday so far, and will continue to be for
the rest of the day. Highs today and tomorrow will essentially be
the same: 70s with some places approaching or reaching the low 80s.
Mornings will continue to be autumnal in nature, with temperatures
in the mid 40s to low 50s. Winds will be light, as flow aloft
continues to be the same.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Into the work week, a high pressure system is going to be the
dominant feature, leading to the increase in our temperatures.
They will level off in the low 80s for highs by mid-week, with
morning lows in the low to mid 50s. That high pressure will
flatten into the weekend, leaving us vulnerable to a trough moving
in from the west. This trough appears to be of decent strength in
the extended guidance, but it is too soon to say whether we will
see any hazardous weather because of it. Precipitation does seem
possible on Saturday before the frontal passage, which will bring
an end to our dry stretch. As always, we will continue to monitor
model trends as we get closer to next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Areas of patchy fog will be possible overnight, mainly near bodies
of water and along the Plateau. All terminals except for BNA have
a tempo for IFR to MVFR fog between 10Z-13Z. Fog looks less
likely at BNA at this time, but this can re-evaulated with the 06Z
issuance. VFR beyond any fog concerns with passing high clouds
Monday and northerly winds between 5 to 8 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      52  80  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    49  80  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     46  73  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       48  79  52  80 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     47  74  50  75 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      47  72  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   46  78  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   47  78  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        50  78  53  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Cravens
SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Baggett