


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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796 FXUS64 KOHX 140454 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1154 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1150 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 - Showers and thunderstorms return this weekend. - Temperatures will be above normal through the week, peaking in the mid 80s on the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday Night) Issued at 1150 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 Tuesday brings another day of sunny and dry weather. Temperatures warm back into the upper 70s to low 80s once again as of ridge of high pressure remains just to the west. Wednesday will be much of the same, with slightly warmer temperatures and dry weather. Overnight lows remain in the 50s tonight and Wednesday night. Winds look to be a bit stronger today as surface pressure gradients increase through the afternoon. Not seeing much of a fog threat tonight or Wednesday with the absents of calm winds. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1150 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 The dry and warm weather will continue through the end of the week with warmest temperatures expected Friday and Saturday as highs reach the mid to upper 80s. The weekend brings unsettle weather back to the forecast. An upper trough swings through the Ohio River Valley, bringing a line of showers and thunderstorms across Middle TN. It is uncertain if we will see any severe storms at this time. Models continue to shift with strength and placement of storms between 12z runs. At this time, it looks like instability will be lacking for any widespread severe threat, but will continue to monitor as the weekend approaches. A cold front plows through on Sunday bringing dry air and seasonal temperatures through early next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025 VFR conditions will continue this taf period. The only exception will brief daybreak fog at CSV and SRB. Otherwise, winds will be light NE at night and near 10KT with a few gusts around 16KT during the day. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 54 81 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 53 81 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 48 73 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 52 80 51 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 50 75 50 76 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 48 73 49 74 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 50 78 49 81 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 51 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 53 80 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Cravens LONG TERM....Cravens AVIATION.....13