522
FXUS64 KOHX 011106
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
606 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 600 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

- Low to medium rain chances return to the forecast starting on Labor
  Day. Severe weather is not expected.

- Temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s for highs through the
  forecast period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1028 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Satellite shows some mid to upper level clouds moving in from the NW
this evening. Expect overnight lows to dip into the upper 50s and
low 60s. Labor Day should be quiet for many of us, with highs in the
upper 70s to upper 80s. However, rain chances increase in the
afternoon for areas mainly south of I-40 and east of I-65. This
increase in rain chances is due to the development of an inverted
surface trough over the region. If you plan on enjoying Labor Day
outside, just be aware of your thunderstorm risk for the day and
know where to shelter if thunder roars!

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1028 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

Guidance shows that rain chances will only increase into the work
week. Tuesday into Wednesday looks like our greatest risk, with a
medium-high (70-80%) chance of a wetting rain, which is at least
0.10". Once you bump up accumulation to half an inch, chances drop
into the low category (20-30%). Thursday brings another opportunity
for low to medium rain chances, but after that, things dry out.
Temperatures look to stay in the upper 70s to mid 80s through the
work week, adding to days with below normal temperatures for this
time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

VFR conditions prevail at this time with just SCT to BKN mid and
high-level clouds. Isolated showers and thunderstorms develop
this afternoon, however, probabilities and confidence in direct
impacts and timing to terminals remains too low to include in
TAFs. There`s a low chance for showers to continue into the
overnight hours as well. Otherwise, northeasterly winds will
become southeasterly this morning, but remain light at around
5-10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      87  65  82  64 /  30  20  60  50
Clarksville    89  62  84  60 /  10  20  50  40
Crossville     75  57  75  57 /  30  40  50  40
Columbia       87  63  83  62 /  40  30  60  50
Cookeville     79  59  77  59 /  30  50  50  40
Jamestown      76  58  75  58 /  30  50  50  40
Lawrenceburg   83  61  81  60 /  40  40  50  50
Murfreesboro   84  62  83  62 /  40  30  60  50
Waverly        88  61  85  60 /  10  20  50  40

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Clements