112
FXUS64 KOHX 100315
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1015 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1001 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

- No hazardous weather is expected over the next week with near-
  zero rain chances for at least the next 10 days.

- Expect cooler temperatures the remainder of this week, then
  returning to above-normal readings next week.

- Despite the onset of another prolonged dry stretch, afternoon RH
  values should remain sufficiently high to prevent any fire
  weather concerns.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 1001 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

An inverted trough and upper low to the immediate southeast of
Middle Tennessee are keeping a few clouds in place in areas to the
south and east of Nashville this evening. But the mid state
remains rain-free and cool as a surface ridge builds to our
northwest. Temperatures the next few nights will remain pleasantly
cool, with afternoon highs staying close to seasonal normals as
we head into the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1001 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

High pressure is likely to remain the dominant weather feature
across Middle Tennessee for the foreseeable future. Temperatures
will warm slowly as we head into next week, then leveling off a
few degrees above seasonal normals. Meanwhile, the 19Z NBM output
gives us near-zero chances for at least the next 10 days. So who
knows when out next meaningful rain event might occur? Indeed,
both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks favor above-normal
temperatures and below-normal rainfall across Middle Tennessee.
However, in spite of the persistently dry conditions, afternoon RH
values should remain sufficiently high to keep us out of any fire
weather danger through the 7-day forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1001 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with northeasterly
winds becoming light and variable tonight and through Friday.
There is a low chance for patchy fog overnight, particularly
across the Plateau.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      52  77  52  79 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    47  77  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     47  71  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       52  76  48  79 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     50  73  49  74 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      47  72  47  73 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   52  75  47  77 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   52  76  49  78 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        49  76  50  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Clements