Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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690
FXUS64 KOHX 292318
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
618 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 615 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

- Seasonal temperatures through the weekend with some cooling next
  week.

- A generally dry pattern will last through the weekend. Expect
  low to medium rain chances from Labor Day into Thursday, then
  dry conditions return.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 615 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

A whole lotta nothin` going on out there. I`ve included a little
inconsequential patchy fog out on the Plateau after midnight tonight,
but other than that, it`s another fantastic evening with an
amazing weekend ahead in Middle TN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1014 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Quite weather continues heading into the weekend as surface high
pressure remains overhead. Aloft, in the mid-levels, a trough
drapes over the NE while a ridge builds over the southern plains.
This keeps TN stuck in the middle of the two features, promoting
that dry NW flow we`ve been seeing. Highs this afternoon climb
into the upper 80s and again on Saturday, but as we`ve been
seeing, dewpoints are in the 50s allowing for that dry heat
feeling. With that dry air aloft, sunny skies will continue
through Saturday. Overnight, lows dip down into the 50s, just
enough for some to grab a light jacket. Winds aren`t too strong
today, but will pick up slightly on Saturday with increased flow
aloft. Looking at NE winds around 10 mph, gusting around 12-15 mph
through Saturday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1014 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

By early next week, the ridge becomes more amplified over the west
while a few short waves swing through the trough. This brings some
low to medium chances for precipitation Monday through Thursday.
Under this pattern we will see temperatures drop back into the
70s and low 80s during the day while overnight lows remain about
the same in the upper 50s to low 60s. At this time, Wednesday
looks to offer the most widespread chances for showers as our
moisture support and mid-level flow increases. A cold front
passes through by the end of the week bringing more dry weather,
highs in the upper 70s, and overnight temperatures in the low
50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Mostly VFR conditions at mid-state terminals this cycle. The only
exception is some MVFR to IFR fog for a few hours tonight at
CSV/SRB. Otherwise, winds under 10 kts with a mainly northeast
fetch.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    59  88  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     56  81  55  80 /   0   0   0  10
Columbia       60  90  59  88 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     58  83  57  82 /   0   0   0  10
Jamestown      56  80  55  80 /   0   0   0  10
Lawrenceburg   58  87  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   59  88  59  87 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        60  88  58  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE.......Unger
SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....Unger