661
FXUS64 KOHX 300448
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1148 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1147 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

- Seasonal temperatures through the weekend with cooling next
  week.

- A generally dry pattern will last through the weekend.

- Low to medium rain chances from Labor Day into Thursday, then
  dry conditions return.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday Night)
Issued at 1045 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Long wave troughing is set up over the Northeast stretching south
along the East Coast. Surface high pressure is sitting over the
Great Lakes. This will influence our weather this weekend bringing
great conditions to Middle TN. Highs will be seasonal in the mid
to upper 80s and dew points will remain comfortable in the 50s. We
will see passing high clouds at times on Saturday and a little
more cloud cover on Sunday as a short wave digs to our west but
still plenty of sun over the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Saturday)
Issued at 1045 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Long wave troughing will start to set up over the eastern half of
the US next week. Short waves will be embedded within the long
wave and that will bring us low to medium chances for rain Monday
afternoon through Thursday. It`s hard to pinpoint the higher
shower chances but right now it looks to be Monday afternoon and
again Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. Instability
will be limited keeping the thunderstorm threat low but a few
storms can`t be ruled out during the afternoons. Rain totals
Monday through Thursday will generally range from 0.40-1.40". With
the troughing pattern we will see cooler temperatures with highs
falling back into the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Mainly VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with light
northeasterly winds. There is a low chance for patchy fog at CSV
and SRB which would lead to MVFR to IFR visibilities through early
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  89  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    59  88  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     56  81  55  80 /   0   0   0  10
Columbia       60  90  61  88 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     58  82  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      57  80  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   58  87  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   60  88  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        60  87  59  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Clements