509
FXUS64 KOHX 140417
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1117 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1023 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

- Showers and thunderstorms return this weekend.

- Temperatures will be above normal through the week, peaking in
  the mid 80s on the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1023 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Tuesday brings another day of sunny and dry weather. Temperatures
warm back into the upper 70s to low 80s once again as of ridge of
high pressure remains just to the west. Wednesday will be much of
the same, with slightly warmer temperatures and dry weather.
Overnight lows remain in the 50s tonight and Wednesday night.
Winds look to be a bit stronger today as surface pressure
gradients increase through the afternoon. Not seeing much of a fog
threat tonight or Wednesday with the absents of calm winds.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1023 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

The dry and warm weather will continue through the end of the week
with warmest temperatures expected Friday and Saturday as highs
reach the mid to upper 80s. The weekend brings unsettle weather
back to the forecast. An upper trough swings through the Ohio
River Valley, bringing a line of showers and thunderstorms across
Middle TN. It is uncertain if we will see any severe storms at
this time. Models continue to shift with strength and placement of
storms between 12z runs. At this time, it looks like instability
will be lacking for any widespread severe threat, but will
continue to monitor as the weekend approaches. A cold front plows
through on Sunday bringing dry air and seasonal temperatures
through early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1023 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Mostly VFR conditions. The only exception should be CSV with VLIFR
fog expected around sunrise on Tuesday for a couple of hours.
Otherwise, light northeast winds should become breezy late Tuesday
morning and into the afternoon hours before relaxing before
sunset.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      54  81  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    53  81  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     48  73  48  75 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       52  80  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     50  75  50  76 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      48  73  49  74 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   50  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   51  80  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        53  80  52  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cravens
LONG TERM....Cravens
AVIATION.....Unger