Coastal Waters Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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934
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Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service New York NY
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Montauk Point NY to Sandy Hook NJ out 60 nm offshore, including
Long Island Sound, the Long Island Bays, and New York Harbor

ANZ300-020715-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.Synopsis for the Long Island and Connecticut coastal waters...
Offshore high pressure in Western Atlantic moves east through
tonight. A cold front approaches from the west on Friday and
moves across Friday night. This front will slow down south of the
area. High pressure from the Great Lakes builds in for Saturday.
It shifts towards the Canadian Maritimes Sunday. The front south
of the area moves farther north Sunday through Sunday night with
low pressure passage. High pressure returns for early next week.

$$

ANZ350-020715-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 NM-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
E 2 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and
SE 2 ft at 10 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight.
Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to
6 ft. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 6 seconds and SE 2 ft at 11
seconds. Slight chance of tstms in the evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 6 seconds and
NE 3 ft at 11 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to
5 ft. Wave Detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: E
4 ft at 6 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Chance of showers in
the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming
NE 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to
5 ft. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ353-020715-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
E 2 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and
E 2 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight.
Gusts up to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to
5 ft. Wave Detail: S 4 ft at 6 seconds and SE 2 ft at 11 seconds.
Slight chance of tstms in the evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and
NE 3 ft at 11 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: E
4 ft at 6 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: E 5 ft at 6 seconds and
S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Chance of
showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ355-020715-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft. Wave Detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and SE 2 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and
E 2 ft at 10 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas
3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at
5 seconds and SE 2 ft at 11 seconds. Slight chance of tstms in
the evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas
2 to 3 ft. Wave Detail: NE 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at
5 seconds. Chance of showers in the morning.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave Detail: SE
3 ft at 6 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: SE
4 ft at 6 seconds. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Chance of
showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ332-020715-
Long Island Sound East of the Mouth of the Connecticut River-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave Detail:
SW 1 ft at 2 seconds and E 1 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
2 ft. Wave Detail: SW 2 ft at 3 seconds and E 1 ft at 8 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming
N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Wave Detail: W
2 ft at 3 seconds and SE 1 ft at 8 seconds. Slight chance of
tstms in the evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...N winds around 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas
around 2 ft. Wave Detail: NW 1 ft at 2 seconds and NE 1 ft at
7 seconds.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave Detail: E
2 ft at 5 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft. Wave Detail: E 3 ft at 5 seconds. Chance of showers in the
afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NE after midnight. Seas
around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
2 to 3 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ331-020715-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY to the
Mouth of the Connecticut River-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave Detail:
SW 1 ft at 2 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave Detail: SW
1 ft at 3 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave
Detail: W 1 ft at 3 seconds. Slight chance of tstms in the
evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...N winds around 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas
1 ft or less. Wave Detail: N 1 ft at 2 seconds.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave Detail:
E 1 ft at 2 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
2 ft. Wave Detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers in the
afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas
1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
2 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ335-020715-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
.FRI...SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave Detail: SW
1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave
Detail: W 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers and slight chance
of tstms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after
midnight.
.SAT...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE 5 to 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave Detail: N 1 ft at 2 seconds.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around
2 ft. Wave Detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers in the
afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas
1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
2 to 3 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ338-020715-
New York Harbor-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.FRI...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Wave
Detail: W 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of tstms in the
evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE 5 to 10 kt in the
afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Wave Detail: NE 1 ft at 2 seconds, becoming E 1 ft at 3 seconds.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Wave
Detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around
2 ft. Wave Detail: E 2 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers in the
afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves
1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to
2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ340-020715-
Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
.FRI...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or
less.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming
NW after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of tstms in
the evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...N winds around 10 kt, becoming NE in the afternoon. Waves
1 ft or less.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or
less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming NE after midnight.
Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ345-020715-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
.FRI...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or
less.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming
N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of tstms in
the evening. Chance of showers.
.SAT...N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming NE 5 to 10 kt in the
afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
.SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or
less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves
1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves
around 2 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around
2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ380-020715-
Waters from Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY from 20 to
60 nm-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and
E 2 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: SW 5 ft at 5 seconds and
E 2 ft at 10 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N after midnight.
Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: SW 5 ft at
6 seconds and E 2 ft at 11 seconds. Chance of showers and slight
chance of tstms in the evening, then showers likely after
midnight.
.SAT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to
5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and NE 4 ft at
11 seconds. Chance of showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: E 5 ft at 6 seconds
and SW 1 ft at 5 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: E 5 ft at 7 seconds.
Chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming
N after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Chance of
showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
5 to 7 ft, occasionally to 9 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, occasionally
to 5 ft.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ383-020715-
Waters from Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY from 20 to
60 nm-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas
3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at
4 seconds and E 3 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and
E 2 ft at 10 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: SW
4 ft at 6 seconds and SE 2 ft at 10 seconds. Chance of showers
and slight chance of tstms in the evening, then showers likely
after midnight.
.SAT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: NE 4 ft at 11 seconds
and W 3 ft at 5 seconds. Chance of showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: NE 4 ft at
6 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: E 5 ft at 6 seconds.
Showers likely in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas
3 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Chance of showers.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
5 to 7 ft, occasionally to 9 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to
6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$

ANZ385-020715-
Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY from 20 to
60 nm-
252 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 3 ft at 4 seconds and
E 2 ft at 9 seconds.
.FRI...SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and
E 2 ft at 10 seconds.
.FRI NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight.
Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave
Detail: SW 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 10 seconds. Slight
chance of tstms in the evening. Showers likely.
.SAT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: NE 4 ft at 10 seconds
and SW 3 ft at 5 seconds. Chance of showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas
3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Wave Detail: E 4 ft at 6 seconds
and S 1 ft at 5 seconds.
.SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 to 5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft. Wave Detail: E
5 ft at 6 seconds. Showers likely in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft. Showers likely,
mainly in the evening.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to
4 ft, occasionally to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas
4 to 6 ft, occasionally to 8 ft.
.TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to
5 ft, occasionally to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.

$$