Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
960
FNUS51 KOKX 210623
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure keeps the entire region dry with relatively
light winds through this afternoon. A light wetting rainfall
then becomes likely late tonight for Long Island, NYC, NE NJ
with chances farther north. After a lingering chance of rain
Saturday morning, the afternoon should be dry with high
pressure building back into the region. Northerly winds
will increase on Saturday with gusts likely below 25 mph.
NYZ212-221100-
New York City-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 44 (+2) 52
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+12) 94 (+11) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 7-11 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.06
Precip Duration 4 2
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4140 1140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 W 8 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 70380 7980
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 23 Fair
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 7 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-221100-
Long Island-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+7) 42 (+8) 51
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+14) 100 (+13) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 3-7 N 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var N 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.06
Precip Duration 4 2
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4510 460
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85690 4140
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 65 Good 8 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-221100-
Lower Hudson Valley-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+5) 37 (+7) 50
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+23) 100 (+10) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4460 650
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 W 7 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75820 3900
Max ADI Early 34 Fair 22 Fair
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-221100-
Western Passaic-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+6) 40 (+9) 50
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+24) 100 (+5) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4000 620
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 NW 6 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64000 3100
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 3 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-221100-
Eastern Passaic-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 40 (+5) 51
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+23) 99 (+11) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.02
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4140 990
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 NW 5 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66240 3960
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 3 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-221100-
Western Bergen-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+6) 40 (+6) 52
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+24) 100 (+11) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.02
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190 840
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 W 6 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67040 4200
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-221100-
Eastern Bergen-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 41 (+4) 52
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+22) 97 (+12) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.06 0.03
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4200 1100
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 W 6 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71400 5500
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-221100-
Western Essex-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 42 (+7) 51
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+21) 98 (+8) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.03
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070 830
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 NW 6 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65120 4150
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 51 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-221100-
Eastern Essex-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+6) 44 (+5) 52
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+17) 92 (+8) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.05
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4090 1310
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 W 6 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65440 6550
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-221100-
Western Union-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+6) 42 (+5) 52
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+21) 97 (+5) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.06
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4000 630
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 NW 5 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 64000 2520
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 51 Gen Good 3 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-221100-
Eastern Union-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+6) 43 (+3) 52
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+17) 94 (+6) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.06
Precip Duration 4 2
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4120 1130
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 NW 6 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65920 5650
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-221100-
Hudson-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 45 (+3) 52
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+17) 91 (+8) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.05
Precip Duration 4 2
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4110 1430
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 W 7 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69870 8580
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 22 Fair
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-221100-
Northern Fairfield-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (+4) 38 (+10) 49
RH % (24h trend) 74 (+28) 100 (+6) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4470 900
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75990 8100
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 5 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-221100-
Southern Fairfield-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+5) 40 (+7) 50
RH % (24h trend) 74 (+25) 100 (+10) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 Lgt/Var N 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4400 300
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83600 2700
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 25 Fair
Max ADI Late 62 Good 7 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-221100-
Northern New Haven-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+6) 38 (+12) 50
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+26) 100 (+5) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4740 860
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 21 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85320 7740
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 62 Good 6 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-221100-
Southern New Haven-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+5) 39 (+9) 50
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+26) 100 (+13) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 Lgt/Var NW 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4700 760
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 23 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 94000 6840
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 67 Good 7 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-221100-
Northern Middlesex-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (+5) 38 (+9) 49
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+28) 100 (+15) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550 780
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 86450 7020
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 25 Fair
Max ADI Late 64 Good 6 Very Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-221100-
Southern Middlesex-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 39 (+7) 50
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+30) 100 (+16) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 Lgt/Var NW 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4610 690
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 W 10 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 96810 6210
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 72 Good 7 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-221100-
Northern New London-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (+5) 37 (+9) 49
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+28) 100 (+16) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 Lgt/Var NW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4230 870
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 W 12 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 88830 8700
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 69 Good 8 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-221100-
Southern New London-
123 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+5) 38 (+7) 50
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+29) 100 (+16) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 G17 Lgt/Var NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4450 680
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 24 W 12 N/A
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 93450 6800
Max ADI Early 43 Gen Good 31 Fair
Max ADI Late 74 Good 8 Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs
in the upper 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance
of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$