Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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933
FNUS51 KOKX 030634
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Weakening high pressure will remain across the area today, ahead
of an approaching frontal system on Thursday.

SE to S winds of 5 to 10 this morning into afternoon. Occasional
higher gusts possible in the afternoon. Min RH values fall into
the 30 to 40 percent range this afternoon across the interior
and 40 to 50 percent range for the coast.

On Thursday, SE winds increase to 10 to 20 mph with gusts 20-25 mph,
highest along the coast, with min RH values in the 50 to 60
percent range.

Next chance of rain, potentially wetting rain, is Thursday
evening, with a slight chance of thunderstorms. KBDI values are
running 200 to 500 across the CWA.


NYZ212-040645-
New York City-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (+3)      61 (0)       78
RH % (24h trend)      39           95 (+4)      51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        S 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 5-9       Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9020         90           6470
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  8        SW  8        S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     63140        630          109990
Max ADI Early         26 Fair      46 Gen Good  65 Good
Max ADI Late          67 Good      4 Very Poor  95 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-040645-
Long Island-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+2)      58 (+1)      78
RH % (24h trend)      46           97 (+4)      54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6970         50           6040
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S  7         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41820        300          66440
Max ADI Early         28 Fair      24 Fair      53 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          43 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  71 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-040645-
Lower Hudson Valley-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+2)      52 (-1)      80
RH % (24h trend)      34           100 (+1)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10690                     8970
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        S  9         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     53450        0            170430
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      50 Gen Good  78 Good
Max ADI Late          67 Good      3 Very Poor  116 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-040645-
Western Passaic-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (+2)      54 (+1)      80
RH % (24h trend)      35           100 (+1)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10350                     8800
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        S  7         S 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     51750        0            176000
Max ADI Early         15 Gen Poor  51 Gen Good  80 Good
Max ADI Late          68 Good      2 Very Poor  195 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-040645-
Eastern Passaic-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+1)      56 (0)       81
RH % (24h trend)      33           100 (+2)     46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10410        50           8870
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  5         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41640        200          168530
Max ADI Early         20 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good  77 Good
Max ADI Late          64 Good      2 Very Poor  122 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-040645-
Western Bergen-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+2)      55 (+1)      80
RH % (24h trend)      33           100 (+1)     46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10720        60           8740
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  5         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     42880        240          166060
Max ADI Early         20 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good  78 Good
Max ADI Late          66 Good      2 Very Poor  129 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-040645-
Eastern Bergen-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+2)      58 (0)       80
RH % (24h trend)      33           99 (+5)      46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10480        30           8220
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  6         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52400        150          147960
Max ADI Early         19 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good  75 Good
Max ADI Late          66 Good      3 Very Poor  113 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-040645-
Western Essex-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+1)      57 (+2)      81
RH % (24h trend)      34           100 (+3)     45
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)10060        50           8850
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  5         S  6         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     40240        250          168150
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good  73 Good
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  117 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-040645-
Eastern Essex-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+1)      60 (+1)      80
RH % (24h trend)      36           95 (+1)      49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 10-14 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9630         90           8100
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S  7         S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     57780        540          137700
Max ADI Early         20 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good  76 Good
Max ADI Late          72 Good      3 Very Poor  114 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-040645-
Western Union-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+1)      56 (0)       82
RH % (24h trend)      35           100 (0)      43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9800         70           9010
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  5        S  5         S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     39200        280          171190
Max ADI Early         19 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good  73 Good
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  121 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-040645-
Eastern Union-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+1)      59 (+1)      81
RH % (24h trend)      36           98 (0)       46
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G27
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9720         70           8690
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  6        S  7         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     48600        420          156420
Max ADI Early         18 Gen Poor  44 Gen Good  78 Good
Max ADI Late          67 Good      3 Very Poor  119 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-040645-
Hudson-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+2)      61 (0)       79
RH % (24h trend)      38           94 (+3)      50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 4-8       Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9540         80           7570
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  8         S  7         S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66780        480          128690
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      54 Gen Good  68 Good
Max ADI Late          78 Good      4 Very Poor  105 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-040645-
Northern Fairfield-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+1)      54 (+1)      78
RH % (24h trend)      36           100 (+1)     48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9930                      7230
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  9         S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49650        0            108450
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      43 Gen Good  76 Good
Max ADI Late          65 Good      2 Very Poor  85 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-040645-
Southern Fairfield-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (+3)      56 (0)       79
RH % (24h trend)      36           100 (+1)     49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9660                      6810
Transport Wnd (mph)   SE  7        S  9         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     57960        0            95340
Max ADI Early         28 Fair      41 Gen Good  73 Good
Max ADI Late          63 Good      3 Very Poor  87 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-040645-
Northern New Haven-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+2)      54 (+1)      78
RH % (24h trend)      36           100 (0)      48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7        Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)9860                      7220
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  9         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     59160        0            86640
Max ADI Early         19 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good  77 Good
Max ADI Late          65 Good      2 Very Poor  81 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-040645-
Southern New Haven-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      77 (+1)      55 (0)       79
RH % (24h trend)      40           100 (0)      49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7        Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8230         50           6890
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  7         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49380        300          75790
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      34 Fair      68 Good
Max ADI Late          54 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  73 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-040645-
Northern Middlesex-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (0)       53 (+1)      79
RH % (24h trend)      39           100 (0)      47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8950                      6950
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  7         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44750        0            76450
Max ADI Early         19 Gen Poor  34 Fair      64 Good
Max ADI Late          56 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  71 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-040645-
Southern Middlesex-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+1)      56 (+2)      77
RH % (24h trend)      42           100 (0)      51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7230                      6760
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  6         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36150        0            67600
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      26 Fair      59 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          46 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  88 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-040645-
Northern New London-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (+1)      51 (-1)      77
RH % (24h trend)      41           100 (0)      48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 7-11 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)8210                      6730
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  6         S  6         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41050        0            67300
Max ADI Early         21 Fair      30 Fair      51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          53 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  66 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-040645-
Southern New London-
234 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      76 (+1)      55 (+1)      76
RH % (24h trend)      46           100 (+1)     54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7        Lgt/Var      S 6-10
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6810                      6460
Transport Wnd (mph)   S  7         S  6         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     40860        0            58140
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      25 Fair      44 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          45 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  68 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$