Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
327
FNUS51 KOKX 220611
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A light wetting rainfall, with one to two tenths of an inch, ends
by midday. High pressure builds back into the region with dry
conditions into the beginning of next week. Light northerly winds,
less than 10 mph, prevail today, and the lowest relative humidity
will be 55 to 60 percent. Light and variable winds early Sunday
become west 5 to 10 mph late morning and through the afternoon.
The lowest relative humidity will be around 50 to 55 percent.
NYZ212-231100-
New York City-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+2) 32 (-13) 49
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-10) 83 (-14) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 3-7 N 4-8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 5-9 Lgt/Var SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2720 330 2550
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 8 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27200 2310 33150
Max ADI Early 12 Poor 8 Poor 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-231100-
Long Island-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-1) 32 (-11) 49
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-10) 87 (-12) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 3-7 N 5-9 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 5-9 Lgt/Var SW 6-10 G17
Precip Amount 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2440 280 3020
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 6 SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24400 1400 36240
Max ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 9 Poor 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 25 Fair 6 Very Poor 35 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-231100-
Lower Hudson Valley-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+2) 25 (-15) 48
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-13) 96 (-4) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4040 230 2960
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 14 NW 5 SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48480 920 38480
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 24 Fair
Max ADI Late 48 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 33 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-231100-
Western Passaic-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+2) 27 (-13) 48
RH % (24h trend) 56 (-16) 94 (-6) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3760 170 2870
Transport Wnd (mph) N 17 NW 5 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56400 680 40180
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 5 Very Poor 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 59 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 37 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-231100-
Eastern Passaic-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+1) 28 (-14) 49
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-13) 92 (-8) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3370 290 2710
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 5 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 37070 1160 35230
Max ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 47 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 33 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-231100-
Western Bergen-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+2) 27 (-14) 48
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-10) 95 (-5) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3790 270 2800
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 NW 5 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45480 1080 36400
Max ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 34 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-231100-
Eastern Bergen-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+2) 29 (-14) 49
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-9) 90 (-9) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3460 340 2810
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 5 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 38060 1360 33720
Max ADI Early 12 Poor 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 27 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-231100-
Western Essex-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+2) 29 (-14) 49
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-16) 89 (-11) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3120 180 2580
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 N 5 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 37440 720 36120
Max ADI Early 12 Poor 5 Very Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 32 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-231100-
Eastern Essex-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+1) 32 (-13) 50
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-8) 83 (-16) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var N 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3110 410 2690
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 5 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 34210 1640 34970
Max ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 22 Fair
Max ADI Late 39 Fair 3 Very Poor 28 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-231100-
Western Union-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+1) 29 (-14) 50
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-10) 90 (-10) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2980 320 2550
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 5 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32780 1280 33150
Max ADI Early 12 Poor 5 Very Poor 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 38 Fair 3 Very Poor 29 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-231100-
Eastern Union-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (0) 32 (-12) 50
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-6) 86 (-14) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3020 450 2680
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 6 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 30200 2250 34840
Max ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 25 Fair
Max ADI Late 37 Fair 3 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-231100-
Hudson-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+2) 33 (-12) 49
RH % (24h trend) 54 (-9) 81 (-16) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var N 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2980 390 2630
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 5 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 29800 1560 34190
Max ADI Early 12 Poor 8 Poor 25 Fair
Max ADI Late 38 Fair 3 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-231100-
Northern Fairfield-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (0) 26 (-13) 47
RH % (24h trend) 59 (-9) 92 (-8) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3750 260 2870
Transport Wnd (mph) N 14 N 6 SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45000 1300 31570
Max ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 23 Fair
Max ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 29 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-231100-
Southern Fairfield-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+2) 28 (-14) 48
RH % (24h trend) 58 (-10) 90 (-9) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var N 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3180 360 2830
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 7 SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31800 2160 33960
Max ADI Early 12 Poor 6 Very Poor 22 Fair
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 5 Very Poor 31 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-231100-
Northern New Haven-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (0) 26 (-12) 47
RH % (24h trend) 55 (-16) 91 (-9) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3630 230 3070
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 NW 5 SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 39930 920 33770
Max ADI Early 11 Poor 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 30 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-231100-
Southern New Haven-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (0) 28 (-12) 48
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-14) 89 (-11) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var N 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3070 330 2830
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 12 SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 30700 3300 33960
Max ADI Early 11 Poor 6 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 35 Fair 5 Very Poor 35 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-231100-
Northern Middlesex-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (0) 27 (-12) 46
RH % (24h trend) 57 (-12) 92 (-8) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3200 230 3050
Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 5 SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 35200 920 33550
Max ADI Early 10 Poor 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 40 Fair 4 Very Poor 37 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-231100-
Southern Middlesex-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-1) 29 (-11) 48
RH % (24h trend) 61 (-7) 86 (-14) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var NW 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2840 330 2800
Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 N 12 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28400 3300 33600
Max ADI Early 11 Poor 6 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 5 Very Poor 37 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-231100-
Northern New London-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 49 (-1) 26 (-11) 46
RH % (24h trend) 63 (-5) 92 (-7) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2950 290 3160
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 12 N 5 SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 29500 1160 34760
Max ADI Early 8 Poor 5 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 4 Very Poor 31 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-231100-
Southern New London-
111 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 70 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-1) 27 (-13) 47
RH % (24h trend) 63 (-4) 88 (-11) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var NW 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2620 360 2840
Transport Wnd (mph) N 10 N 6 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23580 1800 34080
Max ADI Early 9 Poor 6 Very Poor 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 5 Very Poor 38 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance
of rain. Lows around 40. Highs around 50. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$