Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
498
FNUS51 KOKX 070822
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will move east of the area today. A cold front will
approach tonight and move through on Wednesday, bringing a
widespread wetting rainfall.
NYZ212-081000-
New York City-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+5) 61 (-2) 70
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-4) 100 (+13) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 S 10-14 G24 W 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G23 SW 9-13 G23 NW 9-13 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.43
Precip Duration 3 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4130 420 4500
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 SW 18 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61950 6720 72000
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 21 Fair 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 51 Gen Good 21 Fair 61 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-081000-
Long Island-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+3) 59 (0) 72
RH % (24h trend) 61 (-3) 100 (+3) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 G17 S 10-14 G24 SW 9-13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G22 SW 10-14 G24 NW 10-14 G22
Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.56
Precip Duration 3 8
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2630 460 3720
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 24 N 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44710 9660 70680
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 24 Fair 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 24 Fair 54 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-081000-
Lower Hudson Valley-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 56 (0) 68
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+13) 100 (+5) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G19 NW 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 G18 SW 6-10 G19 N 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.47 0.36
Precip Duration 6 5
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550 480 4790
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 16 N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72800 6720 86220
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 14 Gen Poor 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 71 Good 16 Gen Poor 79 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-081000-
Western Passaic-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-2) 56 (0) 68
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+14) 100 (+6) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 G18 NW 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 G18 SW 4-8 G18 N 5-9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.45 0.31
Precip Duration 6 5
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4550 540 4420
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 16 N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 77350 7560 79560
Max ADI Early 45 Gen Good 11 Poor 26 Fair
Max ADI Late 82 Good 12 Poor 82 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-081000-
Eastern Passaic-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 83 (0) 58 (-1) 69
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+8) 100 (+8) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G19 W 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G19 SW 5-9 G19 N 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.36 0.36
Precip Duration 5 6
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5070 690 4560
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 17 N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 86190 10350 77520
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 22 Fair 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 80 Good 18 Gen Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-081000-
Western Bergen-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+1) 57 (-1) 70
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+8) 100 (+6) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18 NW 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 G19 SW 5-9 G18 N 6-10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.40 0.36
Precip Duration 5 5
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5000 720 4720
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 17 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 80000 10800 75520
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 22 Fair 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 78 Good 15 Gen Poor 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-081000-
Eastern Bergen-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+1) 60 (+1) 69
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+3) 100 (+8) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G20 W 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7-11 G19 SW 6-10 G19 N 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.33 0.38
Precip Duration 5 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5140 630 4650
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 16 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 82240 8820 74400
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 19 Gen Poor 31 Fair
Max ADI Late 76 Good 22 Fair 75 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-081000-
Western Essex-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+1) 59 (+1) 69
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+4) 100 (+4) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G19 W 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G20 SW 6-10 G19 N 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.31 0.33
Precip Duration 5 6
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4970 570 4460
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 18 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 79520 9120 71360
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 23 Fair 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 78 Good 18 Gen Poor 72 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-081000-
Eastern Essex-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+2) 62 (+2) 70
RH % (24h trend) 44 (+2) 100 (+8) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 7-11 G19 W 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7-11 G19 SW 7-11 G19 NW 7-11 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.28 0.34
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5160 620 4490
Transport Wnd (mph) S 20 SW 17 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 87720 9300 71840
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 22 Fair 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 80 Good 18 Gen Poor 72 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-081000-
Western Union-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+2) 59 (+2) 70
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+2) 100 (0) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G19 W 6-10 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 G19 SW 6-10 G18 N 7-11 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.29 0.32
Precip Duration 4 6
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5090 570 4250
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 SW 17 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 81440 8550 63750
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 23 Fair 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 78 Good 18 Gen Poor 66 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-081000-
Eastern Union-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 85 (+2) 61 (+1) 71
RH % (24h trend) 43 (+2) 100 (+4) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 7-11 G22 W 6-10 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G22 SW 6-10 G19 NW 7-11 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.26 0.35
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5140 540 4340
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 SW 17 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 82240 8100 65100
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 23 Fair 30 Fair
Max ADI Late 77 Good 18 Gen Poor 67 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-081000-
Hudson-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+4) 62 (-1) 70
RH % (24h trend) 45 (-4) 100 (+11) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 9-13 G20 W 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G19 SW 8-12 G20 N 9-13 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.26 0.37
Precip Duration 3 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4930 520 4510
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 SW 17 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 78880 7800 72160
Max ADI Early 34 Fair 19 Gen Poor 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 73 Good 19 Gen Poor 72 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-081000-
Northern Fairfield-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-2) 57 (+1) 69
RH % (24h trend) 54 (+17) 100 (+2) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G18 W 7-11 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 8-12 G18 SW 7-11 G17 NW 9-13 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.36 0.48
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190 440 4000
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 17 N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67040 6600 68000
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 16 Gen Poor 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 68 Good 15 Gen Poor 69 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-081000-
Southern Fairfield-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Temp (24h trend) 81 (+1) 58 (-1) 69
RH % (24h trend) 55 (+9) 100 (+6) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 9-13 G20 W 8-12 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 8-12 G19 SW 8-12 G19 NW 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.30 0.49
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3840 710 4060
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 20 N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57600 12070 69020
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 21 Fair 28 Fair
Max ADI Late 60 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 70 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-081000-
Northern New Haven-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-1) 57 (+1) 69
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+12) 100 (+1) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 S 8-12 G20 W 7-11 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G21 SW 8-12 G19 NW 9-13 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.29 0.49
Precip Duration 4 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3960 440 4080
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 18 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67320 7040 65280
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 65 Good 16 Gen Poor 67 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-081000-
Southern New Haven-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 79 (0) 59 (0) 70
RH % (24h trend) 57 (+3) 100 (+4) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 9-13 G20 W 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G20 SW 8-12 G20 NW 9-13 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.57
Precip Duration 3 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3320 700 3490
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 22 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56440 13300 55840
Max ADI Early 37 Fair 17 Gen Poor 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 48 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-081000-
Northern Middlesex-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 80 (-1) 58 (+1) 68
RH % (24h trend) 57 (+16) 100 (0) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 G17 S 8-12 G21 W 7-11 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G22 S 8-12 G20 NW 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.21 0.57
Precip Duration 3 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3750 520 3540
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 21 SW 18 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67500 8320 56640
Max ADI Early 40 Fair 16 Gen Poor 27 Fair
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-081000-
Southern Middlesex-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 70 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (0) 59 (-2) 71
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+5) 100 (+1) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 S 8-12 G21 SW 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9-13 G20 SW 8-12 G21 NW 8-12 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.67
Precip Duration 3 7
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2920 660 2980
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 20 N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46720 11220 47680
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 17 Gen Poor 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 53 Gen Good 21 Fair 56 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-081000-
Northern New London-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 60 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 79 (0) 58 (+3) 68
RH % (24h trend) 59 (+12) 100 (0) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 G17 S 8-12 G20 SW 8-12 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9-13 G21 SW 8-12 G20 NW 7-11 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.71
Precip Duration 2 8
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3680 530 2910
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 21 SW 18 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66240 8480 43650
Max ADI Early 42 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 47 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-081000-
Southern New London-
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 50 100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+3) 59 (0) 70
RH % (24h trend) 64 (-3) 100 (+1) 66
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 S 8-12 G21 SW 8-12 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9-13 G20 SW 8-12 G21 NW 8-12 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.75
Precip Duration 1 8
Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2710 690 2420
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 22 N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46070 13110 41140
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 18 Gen Poor 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 48 Gen Good 21 Fair 48 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent. North winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND COLUMBUS DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$