Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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804
FNUS51 KOKX 020657
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

.DISCUSSION...
A wetting rain is possible late this afternoon and early
this evening with a cold frontal passage. Wind gusts as
high as 20 to 25 mph today lighten for Saturday.

NYZ212-030700-
New York City-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+8)      60 (-6)      70
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-18)     78 (-8)      50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 5-9       NW 6-10      N 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G18  N 6-10       NE 5-9
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3020         350          5170
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 25        W 23         NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66440        7000         41360
Max ADI Early         16 Gen Poor  32 Fair      55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          71 Good      35 Fair      52 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-030700-
Long Island-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      80 (+8)      58 (-5)      69
RH % (24h trend)      62 (-15)     90 (-6)      56
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 6-10 G19  NW 5-9 G19   N 7-11 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G21  N 5-9        NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.11         0.00
Precip Duration                    2
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1330                      4090
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 25        SW 21        NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     29260        0            40900
Max ADI Early         17 Gen Poor  19 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          30 Fair      24 Fair      45 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-030700-
Lower Hudson Valley-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     30           20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+9)      51 (-11)     69
RH % (24h trend)      58 (-11)     92 (-2)      51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       NW 4-8       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 5-9 G17    N 3-7        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.05         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5010         420          4790
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 24         NW 17        N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     105210       6300         38320
Max ADI Early         36 Fair      16 Gen Poor  46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          82 Good      15 Gen Poor  52 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-030700-
Western Passaic-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     30           20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+8)      53 (-9)      69
RH % (24h trend)      58 (-10)     91 (-2)      51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      NW 3-7 G17   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   W 3-7 G18    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4220         330          4390
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 22         NW 16        N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     80180        4620         43900
Max ADI Early         41 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          80 Good      16 Gen Poor  56 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-030700-
Eastern Passaic-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+7)      57 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      57 (-11)     83 (-6)      49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       NW 5-9 G17   N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 5-9 G19   N 3-7        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.03         0.09         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3870         720          5080
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 23         W 18         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77400        11520        40640
Max ADI Early         33 Fair      32 Fair      51 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          82 Good      29 Fair      57 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-030700-
Western Bergen-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+9)      55 (-8)      69
RH % (24h trend)      57 (-11)     86 (-5)      50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      NW 4-8 G17   N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 4-8 G18   N 3-7        Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.04         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3850         310          4990
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 23         W 18         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77000        4960         44910
Max ADI Early         37 Fair      16 Gen Poor  50 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          92 Good      15 Gen Poor  56 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-030700-
Eastern Bergen-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+7)      58 (-7)      71
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-11)     81 (-8)      48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       NW 5-9       N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G18  N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3820         1440         5260
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23        W 22         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76400        27360        42080
Max ADI Early         35 Fair      32 Fair      47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          83 Good      32 Fair      56 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-030700-
Western Essex-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+7)      57 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      56 (-14)     81 (-8)      48
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       NW 5-9 G17   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G19  N 4-8 G17    NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3930         730          5260
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 23         W 20         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     78600        12410        47340
Max ADI Early         29 Fair      32 Fair      52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          81 Good      32 Fair      58 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-030700-
Eastern Essex-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+7)      59 (-6)      71
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-14)     76 (-10)     47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 5-9 G17   N 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G19  N 5-9        NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4230         2070         5490
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 25        N 23         N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     93060        41400        38430
Max ADI Early         35 Fair      33 Fair      52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          92 Good      33 Fair      58 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-030700-
Western Union-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+7)      58 (-5)      71
RH % (24h trend)      57 (-14)     81 (-9)      49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       NW 4-8       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 5-9 G18   N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070         1140         5280
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 23         W 21         NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     81400        20520        42240
Max ADI Early         28 Fair      33 Fair      53 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          86 Good      32 Fair      59 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-030700-
Eastern Union-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+6)      60 (-5)      71
RH % (24h trend)      54 (-15)     75 (-12)     47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 5-9 G18   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G21  N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3960         2150         5390
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 26         N 22         NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     91080        40850        43120
Max ADI Early         26 Fair      34 Fair      53 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          94 Good      34 Fair      57 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-030700-
Hudson-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+8)      61 (-6)      71
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-16)     76 (-9)      47
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 5-9       NW 7-11 G17  N 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G18  N 6-10       NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3840         1360         5280
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 24        W 23         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     80640        27200        42240
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      33 Fair      59 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          75 Good      34 Fair      55 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-030700-
Northern Fairfield-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+8)      53 (-8)      69
RH % (24h trend)      58 (-13)     93 (-4)      53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 4-8       N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10      N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.10         0.11         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070         360          5360
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 24        W 16         N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85470        5040         37520
Max ADI Early         31 Fair      17 Gen Poor  46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          80 Good      16 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-030700-
Southern Fairfield-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+9)      56 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      59 (-13)     90 (-6)      53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 5-9       NW 4-8       N 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11      N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.15         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2840         270          5160
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 25        N 20         NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62480        4590         41280
Max ADI Early         28 Fair      22 Fair      45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          71 Good      15 Gen Poor  51 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-030700-
Northern New Haven-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+9)      54 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      58 (-12)     89 (-8)      51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 3-7       NW 4-8       N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G18  N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.12         0.12         0.00
Precip Duration       1            1
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3860         560          4980
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23        W 18         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77200        8960         44820
Max ADI Early         29 Fair      17 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          76 Good      17 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-030700-
Southern New Haven-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+7)      55 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      60 (-14)     89 (-8)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 3-7       N 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G18  N 4-8        NE 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.18         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2120         90           4710
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23        N 16         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     42400        1260         37680
Max ADI Early         26 Fair      19 Gen Poor  46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          54 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-030700-
Northern Middlesex-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+7)      54 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      59 (-11)     90 (-8)      51
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 3-7       N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G18  N 4-8        Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.14         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3330         250          5180
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23        NW 15        N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66600        3250         41440
Max ADI Early         28 Fair      16 Gen Poor  53 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          66 Good      15 Gen Poor  60 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-030700-
Southern Middlesex-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+7)      56 (-6)      70
RH % (24h trend)      61 (-15)     90 (-9)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 3-7       N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G19  N 3-7        Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.21         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1950         80           4900
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 23        NW 13        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     39000        880          34300
Max ADI Early         34 Fair      14 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          47 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-030700-
Northern New London-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+7)      54 (-7)      70
RH % (24h trend)      59 (-11)     91 (-8)      49
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 3-7       N 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G19  N 3-7        Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.15         0.00
Precip Duration                    1
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3180         370          5520
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 24        NW 14        N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66780        4440         44160
Max ADI Early         31 Fair      23 Fair      57 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          68 Good      14 Gen Poor  61 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-030700-
Southern New London-
257 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      79 (+6)      56 (-6)      70
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-13)     92 (-7)      50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 4-8       NW 3-7 G17   N 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G18  Lgt/Var      E 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.19         0.00
Precip Duration                    2
Precip Begin                       6 PM
Precip End                         5 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740         70           5210
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 24        NW 13        NE  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36540        770          36470
Max ADI Early         33 Fair      20 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          48 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
around 60. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$