Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Versions:
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628
FNUS51 KOKX 110621
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.DISCUSSION...
While there will be a persistent easterly wind today and Sunday,
RH levels will be high with Min Rh each afternoon being above
70 percent. Today an easterly wind increases to 10 kt and on
Sunday it will increase to 15 to 25 kt with gusts 25 to 40 kt.
Rain will also become likely starting Sunday.
NYZ212-121000-
New York City-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+5) 57 (+4) 65
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+20) 91 (+7) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 E 9-13 G22 NE 15-19 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G21 NE 12-16 G27 NE 18-22 G39
Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.34
Precip Duration 1 2 8
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5140 2170 3940
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 17 E 31 NE 46
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 77100 58590 157600
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 56 Gen Good 102 Very Good
Max ADI Late 63 Good 46 Gen Good 124 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-121000-
Long Island-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+5) 56 (+6) 66
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+16) 94 (+8) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 3-7 E 9-13 G22 NE 16-20 G36
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G20 E 13-17 G30 NE 21-25 G42
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.44
Precip Duration 0 2 9
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5530 1110 4230
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 E 26 NE 49
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 66360 25530 181890
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 48 Gen Good 114 Very Good
Max ADI Late 54 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 138 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-121000-
Lower Hudson Valley-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 10 40 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+5) 49 (+8) 62
RH % (24h trend) 68 (+23) 100 (+2) 71
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 NE 9-13 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 NE 6-10 G21 NE 10-14 G31
Precip Amount 0.01 0.03 0.17
Precip Duration 0 2 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5880 500 4330
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 E 17 NE 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58800 7500 142890
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 33 Fair 76 Good
Max ADI Late 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 106 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-121000-
Western Passaic-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+4) 51 (+10) 62
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+27) 100 (+2) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7-11 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var E 4-8 G19 NE 8-12 G27
Precip Amount 0.03 0.05 0.18
Precip Duration 0 2 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5480 370 3900
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 13 E 18 NE 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60280 5920 128700
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 35 Fair 68 Good
Max ADI Late 44 Gen Good 21 Fair 101 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-121000-
Eastern Passaic-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+4) 54 (+10) 63
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+25) 96 (+5) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 4-8 NE 9-13 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 4-8 G17 NE 6-10 G21 NE 12-16 G32
Precip Amount 0.03 0.05 0.23
Precip Duration 0 2 8
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5680 1530 4070
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 E 24 NE 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 73840 32130 142450
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 43 Gen Good 84 Good
Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 34 Fair 113 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-121000-
Western Bergen-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+4) 52 (+9) 62
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+26) 99 (+4) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 NE 8-12 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 3-7 NE 5-9 G19 NE 10-14 G31
Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.21
Precip Duration 0 2 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5750 630 4050
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 14 E 20 NE 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 69000 10710 137700
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 39 Fair 79 Good
Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 26 Fair 110 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-121000-
Eastern Bergen-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+4) 55 (+8) 63
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+26) 92 (+4) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 5-9 G17 NE 10-14 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 5-9 G17 NE 8-12 G21 NE 13-17 G32
Precip Amount 0.02 0.03 0.25
Precip Duration 0 2 8
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5700 1730 4000
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 15 E 24 NE 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 74100 36330 144000
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 47 Gen Good 84 Good
Max ADI Late 56 Gen Good 37 Fair 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-121000-
Western Essex-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+4) 54 (+9) 63
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+24) 96 (+7) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 5-9 NE 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 5-9 G17 NE 8-12 G22 NE 13-17 G32
Precip Amount 0.03 0.06 0.25
Precip Duration 0 2 8
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5380 1280 3970
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 16 E 26 NE 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75320 29440 142920
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 48 Gen Good 85 Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 33 Fair 112 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-121000-
Eastern Essex-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+4) 57 (+8) 64
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+25) 89 (+7) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 6-10 G18 NE 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 G17 NE 9-13 G22 NE 15-19 G33
Precip Amount 0.04 0.05 0.28
Precip Duration 1 2 8
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5210 2290 3880
Transport Wnd (mph) E 20 NE 31 NE 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 88570 61830 143560
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 54 Gen Good 93 Good
Max ADI Late 61 Good 42 Gen Good 118 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-121000-
Western Union-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+4) 55 (+10) 63
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+24) 95 (+7) 78
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 5-9 NE 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 5-9 G17 NE 8-12 G21 NE 12-16 G31
Precip Amount 0.06 0.07 0.26
Precip Duration 1 2 8
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5110 980 3920
Transport Wnd (mph) E 18 E 26 NE 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 81760 22540 141120
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 50 Gen Good 91 Good
Max ADI Late 62 Good 40 Fair 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-121000-
Eastern Union-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+5) 57 (+8) 64
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+22) 90 (+8) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 6-10 G19 NE 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 G20 NE 9-13 G23 NE 14-18 G38
Precip Amount 0.07 0.06 0.29
Precip Duration 1 2 8
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5120 2310 4020
Transport Wnd (mph) E 21 E 28 NE 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 92160 55440 148740
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 57 Gen Good 97 Good
Max ADI Late 66 Good 42 Gen Good 118 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-121000-
Hudson-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+6) 57 (+6) 64
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+21) 90 (+8) 75
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 3-7 E 8-12 G19 NE 13-17 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8-12 G19 NE 11-15 G23 NE 17-21 G35
Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.30
Precip Duration 1 2 8
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5220 2270 3870
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 18 E 29 NE 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83520 56750 147060
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 54 Gen Good 97 Good
Max ADI Late 61 Good 44 Gen Good 119 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-121000-
Northern Fairfield-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (+4) 50 (+8) 62
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+27) 100 (+2) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 4-8 NE 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 5-9 NE 7-11 G19 NE 13-17 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.21
Precip Duration 2 4
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5640 240 3960
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 E 17 E 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45120 3600 146520
Max ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 33 Fair 87 Good
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 26 Fair 114 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-121000-
Southern Fairfield-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Rain Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+5) 52 (+4) 64
RH % (24h trend) 72 (+23) 97 (+6) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 7-11 G18 NE 13-17 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 NE 10-14 G23 NE 16-20 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.26
Precip Duration 0 2 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5840 800 4260
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 E 24 NE 45
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 58400 16800 166140
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 44 Gen Good 98 Good
Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 36 Fair 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-121000-
Northern New Haven-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+6) 50 (+7) 63
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+24) 99 (+2) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 NE 11-15 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 4-8 NE 6-10 G20 NE 14-18 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.22
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6290 80 4430
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 NE 14 E 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44030 960 159480
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 27 Fair 88 Good
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 27 Fair 117 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-121000-
Southern New Haven-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+5) 52 (+6) 63
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+18) 95 (+5) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 5-9 G17 NE 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 NE 9-13 G22 NE 16-20 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.26
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6300 4320
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 18 E 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56700 0 164160
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 36 Fair 100 Good
Max ADI Late 42 Gen Good 30 Fair 125 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-121000-
Northern Middlesex-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+5) 51 (+9) 63
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+24) 100 (+3) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 NE 10-14 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 NE 5-9 G20 NE 14-18 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.23
Precip Duration 1 4
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6460 4300
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 12 E 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45220 0 159100
Max ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 22 Fair 89 Good
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 22 Fair 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-121000-
Southern Middlesex-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 68 (+6) 52 (+5) 63
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+18) 97 (+9) 74
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 5-9 G18 NE 13-17 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6-10 NE 8-12 G23 NE 16-20 G36
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.28
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6700 30 4340
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 17 E 45
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46900 450 169260
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 29 Fair 104 Very Good
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 28 Fair 126 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-121000-
Northern New London-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 66 (+5) 50 (+9) 61
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+21) 100 (+2) 80
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 3-7 NE 11-15 G25
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 4-8 NE 5-9 G20 NE 14-18 G30
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.26
Precip Duration 0 4
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6220 4040
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 7 E 12 E 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 37320 0 145440
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 19 Gen Poor 92 Good
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 21 Fair 111 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-121000-
Southern New London-
221 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Rain Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 67 (+6) 51 (+6) 64
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+14) 97 (+8) 77
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var E 4-8 G17 NE 12-16 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 6-10 NE 8-12 G23 NE 16-20 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.31
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6550 30 4210
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 E 15 E 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45850 390 159980
Max ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 26 Fair 103 Very Good
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 26 Fair 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND COLUMBUS DAY...Windy, rain. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Windy, rain. Lows around 50. Highs in
the lower 60s. North winds 25 to 35 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs
around 60. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$