Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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740
FNUS51 KOKX 180636
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions today, with light winds and min RH values in the
35-45 percent range. South to southeast winds of 15 to 25 mph with
gusts to 30 mph Sunday afternoon, with min RH values in the 60-70
percent range.

NYZ212-190645-
New York City-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+4)      53 (+8)      71
RH % (24h trend)      38           94 (+20)     66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 5-9 G23
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 12-16 G31
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3660         60           4460
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S 10         S 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     14640        540          111500
Max ADI Early         13 Gen Poor  17 Gen Poor  65 Good
Max ADI Late          22 Fair      5 Very Poor  79 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-190645-
Long Island-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+3)      48 (+3)      70
RH % (24h trend)      41           100 (+16)    65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 10-14 G27
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3640                      4350
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  5         S 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     14560        0            95700
Max ADI Early         26 Fair      16 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          27 Fair      5 Very Poor  65 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-190645-
Lower Hudson Valley-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+6)      41 (+6)      72
RH % (24h trend)      41           100 (+9)     63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3900                      4820
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  3         S 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     15600        0            120500
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       15 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          21 Fair      2 Very Poor  79 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-190645-
Western Passaic-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+6)      45 (+7)      73
RH % (24h trend)      40           100 (+13)    64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070                      4920
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  5         S  3         S 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     16280        0            113160
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      14 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          19 Gen Poor  2 Very Poor  77 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-190645-
Eastern Passaic-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+4)      47 (+7)      73
RH % (24h trend)      38           96 (+12)     63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3990                      4960
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  3         S 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19950        0            119040
Max ADI Early         8 Poor       16 Gen Poor  75 Good
Max ADI Late          22 Fair      2 Very Poor  84 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-190645-
Western Bergen-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+5)      45 (+7)      72
RH % (24h trend)      38           98 (+11)     65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3920                      4830
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  5         S  2         S 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     15680        0            111090
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       15 Gen Poor  64 Good
Max ADI Late          20 Gen Poor  2 Very Poor  80 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-190645-
Eastern Bergen-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+4)      49 (+8)      72
RH % (24h trend)      37           94 (+11)     65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3840                      4660
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  5         S 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19200        0            116500
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       17 Gen Poor  65 Good
Max ADI Late          23 Fair      3 Very Poor  81 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-190645-
Western Essex-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+4)      48 (+7)      73
RH % (24h trend)      37           97 (+17)     62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4020                      5220
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  6         S 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20100        0            125280
Max ADI Early         8 Poor       15 Gen Poor  63 Good
Max ADI Late          21 Fair      2 Very Poor  80 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-190645-
Eastern Essex-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+3)      52 (+9)      73
RH % (24h trend)      38           87 (+14)     64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 10-14 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3860         110          4940
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  7         S 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19300        660          123500
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      18 Gen Poor  69 Good
Max ADI Late          24 Fair      3 Very Poor  84 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-190645-
Western Union-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (+4)      47 (+6)      75
RH % (24h trend)      37           99 (+19)     61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4030                      5590
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  7         S  5         S 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     24180        0            128570
Max ADI Early         9 Poor       15 Gen Poor  75 Good
Max ADI Late          21 Fair      2 Very Poor  84 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-190645-
Eastern Union-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      67 (+3)      51 (+8)      74
RH % (24h trend)      36           92 (+17)     61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G30
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3950         100          5270
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  7         S  7         S 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     23700        600          126480
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      17 Gen Poor  76 Good
Max ADI Late          23 Fair      3 Very Poor  85 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-190645-
Hudson-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+4)      53 (+8)      72
RH % (24h trend)      37           88 (+15)     64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        S 3-7 G20
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G31
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3750         130          4500
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  9         S 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     18750        1040         112500
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      17 Gen Poor  63 Good
Max ADI Late          22 Fair      5 Very Poor  82 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-190645-
Northern Fairfield-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+4)      42 (+6)      70
RH % (24h trend)      42           100 (+12)    65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3830                      4760
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  5         S  2         S 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     15320        0            104720
Max ADI Early         23 Fair      13 Gen Poor  58 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          24 Fair      3 Very Poor  72 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-190645-
Southern Fairfield-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+3)      46 (+6)      71
RH % (24h trend)      42           100 (+18)    65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G24
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3690                      4970
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  3         S 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     14760        0            109340
Max ADI Early         22 Fair      17 Gen Poor  61 Good
Max ADI Late          24 Fair      3 Very Poor  74 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-190645-
Northern New Haven-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+4)      43 (+7)      71
RH % (24h trend)      40           100 (+15)    62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 10-14 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4040                      4830
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  5         S  2         S 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     16160        0            106260
Max ADI Early         27 Fair      13 Gen Poor  60 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          28 Fair      3 Very Poor  71 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-190645-
Southern New Haven-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+3)      45 (+6)      70
RH % (24h trend)      41           100 (+19)    63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3820                      4610
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  5         S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     15280        0            96810
Max ADI Early         30 Fair      13 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          31 Fair      4 Very Poor  63 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-190645-
Northern Middlesex-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+3)      44 (+8)      69
RH % (24h trend)      40           100 (+12)    62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4060                      4340
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  6         S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     16240        0            91140
Max ADI Early         26 Fair      10 Poor      52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          28 Fair      3 Very Poor  61 Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-190645-
Southern Middlesex-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      65 (+2)      47 (+8)      69
RH % (24h trend)      40           100 (+20)    62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 3-7       Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3940                      4180
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  6        SW  6        S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19700        0            79420
Max ADI Early         32 Fair      11 Poor      52 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          33 Fair      3 Very Poor  59 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-190645-
Northern New London-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+3)      42 (+7)      68
RH % (24h trend)      42           100 (+5)     63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 9-13 G25
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4100                      3860
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  6         S  5         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20500        0            69480
Max ADI Early         25 Fair      10 Poor      47 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          30 Fair      2 Very Poor  56 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-190645-
Southern New London-
236 AM EDT Sat Oct 18 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+2)      45 (+7)      69
RH % (24h trend)      44           100 (+11)    64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G22
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3970                      3650
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  5        S  6         S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     15880        0            58400
Max ADI Early         24 Fair      13 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          28 Fair      3 Very Poor  54 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Windy, showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs around 60. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs around 60. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$