Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Versions:
1
2
715
FNUS51 KOKX 010631
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remains offshore through Friday. A cold front
approaches and moves across the area late on Friday. High
pressure then returns for the weekend.
NYZ212-020645-
New York City-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+3) 66 (+4) 83
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+6) 87 (-9) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 4-8 SW 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 SW 5-9 SW 8-12
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3610 10 5760
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 S 14 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46930 120 97920
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 22 Fair 29 Fair
Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 10 Poor 77 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-020645-
Long Island-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 73 (+3) 63 (+4) 80
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+8) 97 (-3) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 SW 5-9 SW 6-10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 SW 6-10 SW 8-12
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2500 80 1760
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 17 SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 40000 1200 33440
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 26 Fair 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 12 Poor 26 Fair
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-020645-
Lower Hudson Valley-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+2) 61 (+5) 83
RH % (24h trend) 63 (+1) 95 (-5) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3330 160 6140
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 12 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 43290 1600 116660
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 26 Fair 54 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 46 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 73 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-020645-
Western Passaic-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+2) 62 (+5) 82
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+4) 92 (-7) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3080 140 5650
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 SW 12 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36960 1400 101700
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 20 Gen Poor 50 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 41 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 68 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-020645-
Eastern Passaic-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+1) 63 (+3) 83
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+9) 90 (-6) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3380 150 5970
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 9 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 43940 1200 101490
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 22 Fair 46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 48 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 93 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-020645-
Western Bergen-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 76 (+1) 62 (+4) 83
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+7) 92 (-6) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3440 170 5960
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 8 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44720 1190 95360
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 24 Fair 46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 47 Gen Good 3 Very Poor 68 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-020645-
Eastern Bergen-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+1) 64 (+4) 84
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+7) 91 (-6) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3510 140 6000
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 9 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45630 1120 102000
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 25 Fair 37 Fair
Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 92 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-020645-
Western Essex-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+1) 64 (+5) 83
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+9) 90 (-7) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 3-7 SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3300 120 5820
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 9 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 42900 960 98940
Max ADI Early 32 Fair 22 Fair 42 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 48 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 89 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-020645-
Eastern Essex-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+2) 66 (+5) 84
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+8) 86 (-6) 55
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 3-7 SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3500 160 5820
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 12 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 45500 1600 98940
Max ADI Early 32 Fair 24 Fair 38 Fair
Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 89 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-020645-
Western Union-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+2) 63 (+5) 83
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+6) 92 (-8) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5-9
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3550 10 5710
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 S 7 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 46150 60 97070
Max ADI Early 24 Fair 22 Fair 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 48 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 85 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-020645-
Eastern Union-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 78 (+2) 65 (+5) 84
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+7) 86 (-9) 54
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3680 10 5720
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 S 9 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44160 80 91520
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 23 Fair 35 Fair
Max ADI Late 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 88 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-020645-
Hudson-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (+2) 66 (+4) 84
RH % (24h trend) 65 (+7) 86 (-7) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 SW 5-9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 4-8 SW 8-12
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3460 140 5870
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 15 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44980 1820 99790
Max ADI Early 31 Fair 23 Fair 34 Fair
Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 8 Poor 87 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-020645-
Northern Fairfield-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 74 (+2) 61 (+6) 82
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+1) 97 (-3) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3190 210 5670
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 12 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47850 2100 119070
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 29 Fair 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 50 Gen Good 8 Poor 77 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-020645-
Southern Fairfield-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+2) 63 (+5) 82
RH % (24h trend) 66 (+4) 96 (-3) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 SW 7-11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3140 40 5430
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 10 W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 43960 360 97740
Max ADI Early 36 Fair 27 Fair 34 Fair
Max ADI Late 49 Gen Good 8 Poor 69 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-020645-
Northern New Haven-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+3) 61 (+6) 81
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+2) 97 (-3) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3400 170 5650
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 14 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54400 2040 124300
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 44 Gen Good 43 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 7 Poor 81 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-020645-
Southern New Haven-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 74 (+3) 63 (+6) 80
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+2) 97 (-3) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 SW 7-11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2990 40 4060
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SW 12 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 47840 400 69020
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 39 Fair 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 52 Gen Good 7 Poor 54 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-020645-
Northern Middlesex-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+3) 63 (+8) 82
RH % (24h trend) 63 (+1) 98 (-2) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3670 70 5430
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 12 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 62390 700 103170
Max ADI Early 39 Fair 42 Gen Good 40 Fair
Max ADI Late 58 Gen Good 7 Poor 90 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-020645-
Southern Middlesex-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+5) 63 (+5) 80
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+2) 98 (-2) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var SW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3410 50 2860
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 10 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57970 450 57200
Max ADI Early 33 Fair 42 Gen Good 33 Fair
Max ADI Late 55 Gen Good 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-020645-
Northern New London-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+4) 62 (+8) 81
RH % (24h trend) 62 (-2) 98 (-2) 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 SW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var SW 7-11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070 40 4990
Transport Wnd (mph) W 21 SW 12 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 73260 400 99800
Max ADI Early 38 Fair 44 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 69 Good 8 Poor 88 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-020645-
Southern New London-
231 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (+5) 62 (+6) 79
RH % (24h trend) 68 (-1) 98 (-2) 63
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 4-8 SW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 SW 7-11
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3370 60 2530
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 13 SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57290 660 53130
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 30 Fair 36 Fair
Max ADI Late 62 Good 8 Poor 56 Gen Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$