Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS51 KOKX 080738
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will pass through early this morning. Weak high
pressure will then drift across from late this morning into
tonight. Low pressure approaching from the Ohio Valley and a
secondary low developing near Long Island will then impact the
area on Sunday.

NYZ212-091000-
New York City-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+3)      48 (-7)      61
RH % (24h trend)      44 (+9)      88 (-4)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 5-9        Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       E 4-8        SE 9-13 G23
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.25
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4120         340          2190
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 10        E 12         SE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     37080        3400         39420
Max ADI Early         49 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  39 Fair
Max ADI Late          51 Gen Good  8 Poor       38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-091000-
Long Island-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     60           0            70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+3)      44 (-9)      61
RH % (24h trend)      48 (+2)      91 (-6)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 6-10 G17   Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G21
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 6-10      E 3-7        SE 10-14 G23
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.26
Precip Duration       2                         5
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            12 PM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3650         270          2350
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14         E 14         SE 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     43800        3240         44650
Max ADI Early         48 Gen Good  7 Poor       45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          49 Gen Good  7 Poor       42 Gen Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-091000-
Lower Hudson Valley-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      61 (+4)      38 (-9)      59
RH % (24h trend)      46 (+9)      94 (-5)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.18
Precip Duration                    1            6
Precip Begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4010         230          2340
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14         E  6         SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     48120        1150         37440
Max ADI Early         67 Good      4 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max ADI Late          67 Good      4 Very Poor  37 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-091000-
Western Passaic-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      60 (+1)      41 (-6)      59
RH % (24h trend)      47 (+11)     97 (-1)      69
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SE 3-7 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.24
Precip Duration                    1            6
Precip Begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4010         140          1990
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14         N  6         SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     48120        700          33830
Max ADI Early         66 Good      4 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max ADI Late          70 Good      4 Very Poor  34 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-091000-
Eastern Passaic-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (0)       43 (-8)      60
RH % (24h trend)      44 (+11)     98 (+2)      67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.19
Precip Duration       0                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4080         310          2280
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 12         E  9         SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     40800        2480         38760
Max ADI Early         62 Good      4 Very Poor  36 Fair
Max ADI Late          69 Good      5 Very Poor  39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-091000-
Western Bergen-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+2)      41 (-8)      61
RH % (24h trend)      45 (+11)     96 (-2)      68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SE 5-9 G18
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.18
Precip Duration       0                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4110         300          2300
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 13         E  9         SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     45210        2400         39100
Max ADI Early         67 Good      4 Very Poor  37 Fair
Max ADI Late          71 Good      4 Very Poor  37 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-091000-
Eastern Bergen-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+2)      44 (-9)      61
RH % (24h trend)      43 (+11)     89 (-4)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 4-8 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.17
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4220         360          2430
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 13         E  8         SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     46420        2520         41310
Max ADI Early         65 Good      4 Very Poor  38 Fair
Max ADI Late          71 Good      6 Very Poor  40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-091000-
Western Essex-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+1)      44 (-7)      60
RH % (24h trend)      45 (+11)     97 (0)       68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 3-7 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G20
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.21
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4060         210          2200
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 12         E  9         SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     40600        1680         35200
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  32 Fair
Max ADI Late          67 Good      6 Very Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-091000-
Eastern Essex-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (0)       47 (-6)      62
RH % (24h trend)      43 (+13)     88 (-3)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.20
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4140         420          2200
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 12         NE  7        SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41400        2520         35200
Max ADI Early         60 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  34 Fair
Max ADI Late          71 Good      6 Very Poor  38 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-091000-
Western Union-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+2)      44 (-8)      62
RH % (24h trend)      47 (+14)     96 (-3)      71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.21
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4060         340          2270
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 10        E  8         SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36540        2380         34050
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  33 Fair
Max ADI Late          62 Good      5 Very Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-091000-
Eastern Union-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+1)      47 (-6)      62
RH % (24h trend)      44 (+14)     94 (0)       67
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 4-8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 3-7       Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G23
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.20
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4070         460          2190
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 10        E  8         SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     36630        3220         32850
Max ADI Early         60 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  36 Fair
Max ADI Late          66 Good      7 Poor       36 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-091000-
Hudson-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+3)      48 (-6)      62
RH % (24h trend)      43 (+12)     88 (-4)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 5-9        Lgt/Var      SE 6-10 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       E 3-7        SE 9-13 G20
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.22
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4150         400          2150
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 12         E  8         SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41500        2800         36550
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  36 Fair
Max ADI Late          53 Gen Good  7 Poor       40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-091000-
Northern Fairfield-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+4)      38 (-11)     59
RH % (24h trend)      49 (+13)     91 (-8)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      SE 7-11 G17
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.22
Precip Duration       1                         5
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4000         260          2140
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 15         E  6         SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52000        1300         34240
Max ADI Early         57 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  33 Fair
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  34 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-091000-
Southern Fairfield-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+3)      42 (-9)      60
RH % (24h trend)      48 (+10)     89 (-8)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 5-9        Lgt/Var      E 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      SE 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.24
Precip Duration       1                         6
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3800         350          2290
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15        E 12         SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49400        3500         36640
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max ADI Late          56 Gen Good  7 Poor       36 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-091000-
Northern New Haven-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+6)      38 (-12)     60
RH % (24h trend)      49 (+5)      91 (-9)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      SE 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.21
Precip Duration       1                         5
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190         240          2160
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14         NE  6        SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50280        1200         32400
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max ADI Late          55 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  33 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-091000-
Southern New Haven-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+4)      39 (-13)     60
RH % (24h trend)      51 (+3)      91 (-8)      65
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      SE 9-13 G20
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.25
Precip Duration       1                         5
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4000         300          2380
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 13         E  8         SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44000        2100         40460
Max ADI Early         49 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  39 Fair
Max ADI Late          53 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  40 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-091000-
Northern Middlesex-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+4)      37 (-14)     59
RH % (24h trend)      48 (+4)      89 (-11)     60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 3-7 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       Lgt/Var      SE 8-12 G20
Precip Amount         0.05         0.00         0.21
Precip Duration       1                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4080         230          2410
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 15         E  5         SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     53040        920          36150
Max ADI Early         55 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  32 Fair
Max ADI Late          64 Good      3 Very Poor  36 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-091000-
Southern Middlesex-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      63 (+5)      39 (-14)     61
RH % (24h trend)      50 (+7)      91 (-7)      62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 5-9 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 4-8       Lgt/Var      SE 9-13 G21
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.23
Precip Duration       1                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      10 AM
Precip End            10 AM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3910         350          2280
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 14        NE  7        SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     46920        2100         38760
Max ADI Early         44 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  40 Fair
Max ADI Late          59 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-091000-
Northern New London-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     50           0            60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+6)      37 (-13)     59
RH % (24h trend)      48 (+5)      90 (-10)     61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 3-7        Lgt/Var      E 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      SE 8-12 G19
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.21
Precip Duration       1                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      10 AM
Precip End            12 PM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3860         300          2300
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 16         NE  6        SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     54040        1500         34500
Max ADI Early         45 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  35 Fair
Max ADI Late          58 Gen Good  4 Very Poor  35 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-091000-
Southern New London-
238 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     60           0            60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+5)      39 (-13)     60
RH % (24h trend)      50 (+8)      91 (-8)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W 4-8        Lgt/Var      E 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 5-9       Lgt/Var      E 9-13 G20
Precip Amount         0.09         0.00         0.24
Precip Duration       2                         4
Precip Begin          6 AM                      10 AM
Precip End            12 PM                     Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3590         350          2250
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 15        NE  7        SE 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     46670        2100         38250
Max ADI Early         39 Fair      5 Very Poor  45 Gen Good
Max ADI Late          51 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  39 Fair

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Rain. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the
50s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND VETERANS DAY...Partly cloudy. Brisk and colder.
Lows from the mid 20s to mid 30s. Highs in the 40s. West winds 15
to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy and brisk. Lows in
the 30s. Highs around 50. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy and brisk. Lows in
the 30s to lower 40s. Highs around 50. West winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s.
Highs from the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20
mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.

$$