Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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146
FNUS51 KOKX 100647
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Strong low pressure over the Lower Great Lakes this morning will
track northeast and up into St. Lawrence River Valley tonight,
sending a cold front through the area late. The deepening low will
lift up into the Canadian Maritimes Thursday into Thursday night
as high pressure builds in from the southwest. Much of the area will
see a light rainfall this afternoon into tonight, with some snow
mixed in across interior locations north and west of NYC. Expect
gusty southwest winds today to become west late tonight.

NYZ212-110700-
New York City-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      46 (+12)     30 (-3)      36
RH % (24h trend)      64 (+33)     88 (+8)      40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 10-14 G27 SW 11-15 G27 W 16-20 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 13-17 G30 W 12-16 G27  W 18-22 G36
Precip Amount         0.11         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       3            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2820         910          7540
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 35        W 26         W 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     84600        20930        278980
Max ADI Early         56 Gen Good  57 Gen Good  122 Very Good
Max ADI Late          81 Good      58 Gen Good  150 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-110700-
Long Island-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      49 (+16)     29 (-3)      39
RH % (24h trend)      66 (+29)     93 (+12)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 12-16 G31 SW 13-17 G31 W 16-20 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 16-20 G33 W 12-16 G27  W 18-22 G34
Precip Amount         0.07         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration       1            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3150                      7650
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 35        W 29         W 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     94500        0            290700
Max ADI Early         88 Good      69 Good      123 Very Good
Max ADI Late          112 Very Good45 Gen Good  153 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-110700-
Lower Hudson Valley-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow/Rain    Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     80           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      40 (+11)     23 (-3)      32
RH % (24h trend)      61 (+32)     98 (+17)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G21   SW 7-11 G22  W 12-16 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12 G24   W 8-12 G25   W 13-17 G31
Precip Amount         0.09         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       6            2
Precip Begin          7 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3000         520          8100
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 28        W 23         W 44
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     72000        10400        307800
Max ADI Early         45 Gen Good  43 Gen Good  130 Very Good
Max ADI Late          63 Good      56 Gen Good  159 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-110700-
Western Passaic-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           40           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      39 (+10)     24 (-1)      31
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+43)     97 (+11)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 4-8 G21    SW 5-9 G22   NW 10-14 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 6-10 G23  W 6-10 G26   W 9-13 G29
Precip Amount         0.10         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       5            2            1
Precip Begin          10 AM        Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2750         250          7830
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 26        W 21         W 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     63250        4500         274050
Max ADI Early         42 Gen Good  37 Fair      122 Very Good
Max ADI Late          60 Gen Good  57 Gen Good  145 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-110700-
Eastern Passaic-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)     70           40           10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      42 (+10)     27 (-1)      34
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+42)     94 (+10)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 5-9 G22   SW 6-10 G23  W 12-16 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G24  W 8-12 G23   W 13-17 G32
Precip Amount         0.11         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       5            2            1
Precip Begin          10 AM        Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2960         1070         7870
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 30        W 22         W 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76960        20330        275450
Max ADI Early         48 Gen Good  49 Gen Good  126 Very Good
Max ADI Late          73 Good      53 Gen Good  148 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-110700-
Western Bergen-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           40           10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      42 (+11)     26 (-1)      34
RH % (24h trend)      66 (+41)     96 (+12)     41
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 5-9 G21    SW 5-9 G21   NW 11-15 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 7-11 G23  W 6-10 G23   W 11-15 G30
Precip Amount         0.10         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       5            2            1
Precip Begin          10 AM        Continuing   1 PM
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2960         700          8020
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 29        W 21         W 40
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     74000        12600        280700
Max ADI Early         46 Gen Good  44 Gen Good  126 Very Good
Max ADI Late          67 Good      50 Gen Good  149 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-110700-
Eastern Bergen-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      43 (+11)     29 (-1)      35
RH % (24h trend)      64 (+36)     94 (+12)     40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G22   SW 7-11 G23  W 13-17 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G25  W 8-12 G23   W 14-18 G32
Precip Amount         0.10         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2940         1150         7800
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 30        W 25         W 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76440        25300        280800
Max ADI Early         49 Gen Good  51 Gen Good  123 Very Good
Max ADI Late          75 Good      53 Gen Good  150 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-110700-
Western Essex-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     70           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      42 (+10)     27 (-2)      34
RH % (24h trend)      66 (+39)     95 (+11)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 6-10 G23  SW 8-12 G23  W 13-17 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G25  W 9-13 G24   W 14-18 G33
Precip Amount         0.13         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2870         590          7580
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 31        W 22         W 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77490        11210        272880
Max ADI Early         48 Gen Good  50 Gen Good  124 Very Good
Max ADI Late          73 Good      50 Gen Good  146 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-110700-
Eastern Essex-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     60           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      43 (+9)      29 (-2)      36
RH % (24h trend)      64 (+39)     88 (+8)      40
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 7-11 G23  SW 8-12 G23  W 14-18 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G25  W 9-13 G23   W 15-19 G32
Precip Amount         0.14         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2860         1420         7550
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 32        W 23         W 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     80080        28400        279350
Max ADI Early         53 Gen Good  54 Gen Good  121 Very Good
Max ADI Late          76 Good      55 Gen Good  150 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-110700-
Western Union-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     70           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      43 (+10)     28 (0)       35
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+41)     94 (+7)      42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 6-10 G22  SW 7-11 G22  W 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 8-12 G25  W 8-12 G23   W 14-18 G32
Precip Amount         0.15         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2810         60           7280
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 32        W 24         W 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     78680        1260         262080
Max ADI Early         51 Gen Good  51 Gen Good  121 Very Good
Max ADI Late          75 Good      43 Gen Good  146 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-110700-
Eastern Union-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     60           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      44 (+10)     30 (0)       36
RH % (24h trend)      62 (+37)     91 (+9)      39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 6-10 G25  SW 8-12 G25  W 13-17 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 9-13 G30  W 8-12 G24   W 14-18 G37
Precip Amount         0.14         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2840         810          7370
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 31        W 23         W 41
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76680        16200        265320
Max ADI Early         52 Gen Good  51 Gen Good  120 Very Good
Max ADI Late          73 Good      54 Gen Good  147 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-110700-
Hudson-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      44 (+10)     30 (-3)      36
RH % (24h trend)      63 (+36)     87 (+8)      38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 8-12 G24  SW 10-14 G24 W 15-19 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 11-15 G26 W 11-15 G24  W 17-21 G32
Precip Amount         0.14         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            2
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2830         1450         7540
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 32        W 25         W 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     79240        31900        278980
Max ADI Early         53 Gen Good  57 Gen Good  122 Very Good
Max ADI Late          76 Good      56 Gen Good  150 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-110700-
Northern Fairfield-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           60           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      43 (+14)     25 (-2)      34
RH % (24h trend)      62 (+29)     100 (+23)    43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 6-10 G21   SW 7-11 G20  W 13-17 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 9-13 G24   W 8-12 G22   W 13-17 G30
Precip Amount         0.13         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration       3            3
Precip Begin          10 AM        Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3300         170          7820
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 31        W 23         W 45
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     89100        3400         304980
Max ADI Early         52 Gen Good  49 Gen Good  126 Very Good
Max ADI Late          77 Good      38 Fair      167 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-110700-
Southern Fairfield-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           60           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      45 (+14)     27 (-3)      35
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+30)     98 (+16)     42
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 8-12 G23  SW 9-13 G23  W 14-18 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 11-15 G25 W 9-13 G25   W 15-19 G32
Precip Amount         0.11         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       3            3
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3490         140          8080
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 33        W 24         W 43
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     101210       2940         298960
Max ADI Early         60 Gen Good  55 Gen Good  131 Very Good
Max ADI Late          88 Good      40 Fair      160 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-110700-
Northern New Haven-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      45 (+17)     26 (+2)      35
RH % (24h trend)      65 (+29)     100 (+20)    43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 7-11 G23   SW 7-11 G23  W 12-16 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 10-14 G26  W 7-11 G21   W 14-18 G30
Precip Amount         0.13         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration       3            3
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3600         210          7770
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 33        W 22         W 47
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     104400       3990         318570
Max ADI Early         59 Gen Good  56 Gen Good  114 Very Good
Max ADI Late          86 Good      33 Fair      171 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-110700-
Southern New Haven-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      47 (+15)     28 (-2)      36
RH % (24h trend)      69 (+30)     96 (+17)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 8-12 G24  SW 8-12 G24  W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 12-16 G27 W 8-12 G21   W 15-19 G30
Precip Amount         0.13         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration       2            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3450         180          7830
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 39        W 23         W 47
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     117300       3600         321030
Max ADI Early         72 Good      62 Good      114 Very Good
Max ADI Late          102 Very Good32 Fair      171 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-110700-
Northern Middlesex-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      47 (+19)     28 (+3)      35
RH % (24h trend)      67 (+38)     98 (+15)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 8-12 G25  SW 8-12 G25  W 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 12-16 G29  W 7-11 G20   W 14-18 G29
Precip Amount         0.14         0.10         0.00
Precip Duration       2            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3580         250          7220
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 40        W 21         W 47
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     125300       4500         296020
Max ADI Early         69 Good      63 Good      104 Very Good
Max ADI Late          102 Very Good28 Fair      164 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-110700-
Southern Middlesex-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      49 (+17)     29 (-2)      38
RH % (24h trend)      70 (+43)     96 (+13)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 9-13 G25  SW 9-13 G26  W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 13-17 G29 W 8-12 G23   W 15-19 G31
Precip Amount         0.11         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration       2            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3510         120          7440
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 43        W 24         W 48
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     129870       2520         312480
Max ADI Early         81 Good      69 Good      110 Very Good
Max ADI Late          114 Very Good37 Fair      172 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-110700-
Northern New London-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      48 (+19)     28 (+2)      37
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+49)     100 (+9)     43
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 8-12 G25  SW 9-13 G26  W 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 13-17 G30 W 7-11 G20   W 14-18 G29
Precip Amount         0.10         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration       2            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3820         160          6920
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 44        W 21         W 46
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     145160       2880         276800
Max ADI Early         78 Good      72 Good      102 Very Good
Max ADI Late          120 Very Good27 Fair      158 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-110700-
Southern New London-
147 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           80           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)      49 (+18)     29 (-2)      38
RH % (24h trend)      69 (+41)     99 (+17)     44
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW 9-13 G26  SW 10-14 G29 W 11-15 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW 13-17 G30 W 8-12 G23   W 14-18 G30
Precip Amount         0.06         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration       1            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3750                      7270
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 46        W 23         W 48
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     150000       0            305340
Max ADI Early         88 Good      76 Good      103 Very Good
Max ADI Late          124 Very Good36 Fair      169 Very Good

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 25 to 35 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of
snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
15 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows around 16.
Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs
in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$