Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
501
FNUS51 KOKX 150622
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Winds turns southwest or southerly this afternoon, with speeds
remaining under 10 mph. A wetting rain is expected across the
region this evening, drying out overnight. Winds increase behind
the system on Sunday, with westerly gusts up to 35 mph expected
through the day.
NYZ212-160630-
New York City-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (+5) 47 (+8) 57
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+8) 91 (+14) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 7-11 G20 W 13-17 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 SW 9-13 G23 W 16-20 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2390 580 7120
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 9 W 17 NW 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19120 8700 242080
Max ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 17 Gen Poor 96 Good
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 15 Gen Poor 119 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-160630-
Long Island-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (+8) 43 (+7) 57
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+1) 98 (+17) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 3-7 S 6-10 G22 W 13-17 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 10-14 G24 W 16-20 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.31 0.00
Precip Duration 9
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2690 690 6900
Transport Wnd (mph) W 9 SW 22 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21520 13110 220800
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 21 Fair 96 Good
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 23 Fair 114 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-160630-
Lower Hudson Valley-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+3) 40 (+9) 53
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+4) 100 (+7) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G20 W 13-17 G33
Precip Amount 0.00 0.25 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2450 300 6560
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 15 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19600 3900 203360
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 11 Poor 97 Good
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 12 Poor 119 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-160630-
Western Passaic-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+4) 42 (+10) 52
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+6) 100 (+7) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 8-12 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var W 4-8 G20 W 9-13 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.25 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2590 280 6560
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 SW 17 NW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25900 4200 216480
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 11 Poor 104 Very Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 13 Gen Poor 127 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-160630-
Eastern Passaic-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (0) 45 (+11) 55
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+12) 96 (+8) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 9-13 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G19 W 12-16 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2630 480 6900
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 SW 14 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23670 5760 213900
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 10 Poor 100 Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 11 Poor 123 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-160630-
Western Bergen-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+1) 42 (+9) 55
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+10) 99 (+9) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 8-12 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G18 W 10-14 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.19 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2640 420 6730
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 9 SW 14 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21120 5040 208630
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 10 Poor 99 Good
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 10 Poor 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-160630-
Eastern Bergen-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+1) 46 (+10) 55
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+10) 96 (+12) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G19 W 13-17 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2670 520 7020
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 W 14 NW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24030 6240 231660
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 11 Poor 99 Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 12 Poor 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-160630-
Western Essex-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+2) 45 (+10) 55
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+13) 95 (+9) 42
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6-10 G20 W 13-17 G35
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2540 410 6970
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 W 15 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22860 5330 216070
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 11 Poor 100 Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 13 Gen Poor 122 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-160630-
Eastern Essex-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+2) 47 (+10) 56
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+13) 90 (+11) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 11-15 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6-10 G19 W 14-18 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2540 570 7130
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 S 10 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22860 5130 228160
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 11 Poor 98 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 12 Poor 121 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-160630-
Western Union-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+3) 46 (+11) 56
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+13) 94 (+8) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var W 6-10 G19 W 12-16 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2500 420 7080
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 SW 10 NW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22500 3780 233640
Max ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 12 Poor 97 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 13 Gen Poor 120 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-160630-
Eastern Union-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 80 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+3) 48 (+12) 57
RH % (24h trend) 47 (+11) 90 (+9) 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6-10 G20 W 13-17 G39
Precip Amount 0.00 0.13 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2450 530 7030
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 SW 10 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22050 4770 224960
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 12 Poor 93 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 13 Gen Poor 115 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-160630-
Hudson-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (+4) 48 (+9) 56
RH % (24h trend) 48 (+9) 91 (+14) 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 G18 W 12-16 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 SW 8-12 G21 W 16-20 G34
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.00
Precip Duration 6
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2470 580 7120
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 15 NW 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22230 7540 227840
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 12 Poor 97 Good
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 13 Gen Poor 120 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-160630-
Northern Fairfield-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+4) 39 (+9) 54
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+1) 100 (+8) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 11-15 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 5-9 G18 W 13-17 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.38 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2530 340 6220
Transport Wnd (mph) W 9 W 14 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20240 4080 186600
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 11 Poor 93 Good
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 12 Poor 114 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-160630-
Southern Fairfield-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+4) 42 (+9) 55
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+2) 100 (+13) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 4-8 W 11-15 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 7-11 G21 W 14-18 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.34 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2560 430 6470
Transport Wnd (mph) W 9 W 17 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20480 6450 194100
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 12 Poor 96 Good
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 17 Gen Poor 116 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-160630-
Northern New Haven-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 90 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (+4) 38 (+9) 55
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+5) 100 (+9) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 5-9 G18 W 13-17 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.47 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2740 210 6300
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 14 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24660 2520 182700
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 11 Poor 88 Good
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 12 Poor 109 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-160630-
Southern New Haven-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 100 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (+5) 40 (+9) 56
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+4) 100 (+13) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 W 10-14 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 6-10 G20 W 14-18 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.49 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2680 400 6300
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 17 W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24120 6000 189000
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 14 Gen Poor 88 Good
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 16 Gen Poor 109 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-160630-
Northern Middlesex-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 100 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 38 (+9) 55
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+10) 100 (+7) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 10-14 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G18 W 13-17 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.50 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2930 180 6350
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 14 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26370 2160 171450
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 10 Poor 84 Good
Max ADI Late 35 Fair 12 Poor 104 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-160630-
Southern Middlesex-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 100 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+5) 40 (+9) 56
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+7) 100 (+12) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 G17 W 10-14 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6-10 G21 W 14-18 G32
Precip Amount 0.00 0.57 0.00
Precip Duration 9
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3000 450 6370
Transport Wnd (mph) W 9 S 12 W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24000 4500 191100
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 15 Gen Poor 88 Good
Max ADI Late 38 Fair 20 Gen Poor 108 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-160630-
Northern New London-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 100 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (+5) 36 (+9) 55
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+9) 100 (+4) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 9-13 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 6-10 G19 W 13-17 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.55 0.00
Precip Duration 9
Precip Begin 7 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3100 340 6080
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 S 9 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27900 2720 158080
Max ADI Early 29 Fair 10 Poor 82 Good
Max ADI Late 39 Fair 13 Gen Poor 101 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-160630-
Southern New London-
122 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 100 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (+6) 39 (+10) 56
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+9) 100 (+10) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7 G18 W 10-14 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 SW 7-11 G21 W 13-17 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.56 0.00
Precip Duration 9
Precip Begin 7 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3100 390 6040
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 SW 10 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27900 3510 163080
Max ADI Early 30 Fair 13 Gen Poor 83 Good
Max ADI Late 40 Fair 16 Gen Poor 102 Very Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 25 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$