Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
149
FNUS51 KOKX 260732
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front approaches and moves across the region late tonight.
Then strong low pressure remains north of the region with high
pressure remaining well southwest of the region for Thursday.
SW winds today near 5 to 10 mph with some gusts to near 20 mph
become west near 15 to 20 mph tonight with gusts near 25 to 30
mph. W winds on Thursday increase to near 20 mph with gusts up to
near 35 mph.
The rain showers remain in the forecast through this evening with
dry conditions thereafter through Thursday. The rainfall could
be enough especially along the coast to sufficiently wet the
ground.
Minimum RH forecast ranges mainly between 75 and 90 percent today
and mainly between 35 and 55 percent on Thursday.
NYZ212-270745-
New York City-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+4) 37 (-16) 44
RH % (24h trend) 82 96 (-3) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 8-12 G26 W 15-19 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 W 15-19 G33 W 17-21 G33
Precip Amount 0.17 0.06 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2200 1290 5500
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 18 W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33000 20640 137500
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 48 Gen Good 96 Good
Max ADI Late 35 Fair 60 Gen Good 92 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-270745-
Long Island-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+3) 35 (-16) 45
RH % (24h trend) 88 100 (0) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 G17 SW 7-11 G26 W 16-20 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 G18 W 15-19 G33 W 17-21 G33
Precip Amount 0.30 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1920 340 5470
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 W 33 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32640 9860 131280
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 34 Fair 92 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 59 Gen Good 91 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-270745-
Lower Hudson Valley-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+7) 32 (-15) 43
RH % (24h trend) 83 99 (-1) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G23 W 12-16 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14 G30 W 13-17 G30
Precip Amount 0.05 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2580 1360 6440
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 17 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36120 20400 154560
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 40 Fair 86 Good
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 52 Gen Good 92 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-270745-
Western Passaic-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+7) 33 (-13) 42
RH % (24h trend) 84 95 (-5) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 4-8 G23 W 9-13 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var W 8-12 G30 W 9-13 G29
Precip Amount 0.05 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3000 1150 5990
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 SW 21 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48000 20700 137770
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 29 Fair 83 Good
Max ADI Late 37 Fair 50 Gen Good 88 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-270745-
Eastern Passaic-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+5) 34 (-15) 43
RH % (24h trend) 85 93 (-7) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5-9 G23 W 11-15 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14 G29 W 12-16 G31
Precip Amount 0.07 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2300 1830 6050
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 SW 20 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36800 31110 139150
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 44 Gen Good 89 Good
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 56 Gen Good 91 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-270745-
Western Bergen-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+6) 33 (-15) 44
RH % (24h trend) 84 95 (-5) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var SW 4-8 G21 W 10-14 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 8-12 G27 W 11-15 G30
Precip Amount 0.07 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2430 1510 6070
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 W 29 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36450 37750 139610
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 40 Fair 86 Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 50 Gen Good 89 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-270745-
Eastern Bergen-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+5) 35 (-16) 44
RH % (24h trend) 83 95 (-5) 45
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 SW 5-9 G22 W 11-15 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14 G27 W 13-17 G31
Precip Amount 0.09 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2180 1680 6030
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SW 18 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28340 26880 138690
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 45 Gen Good 88 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 56 Gen Good 91 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-270745-
Western Essex-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+5) 35 (-15) 43
RH % (24h trend) 81 95 (-5) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 6-10 G23 W 12-16 G32
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 11-15 G29 W 14-18 G33
Precip Amount 0.07 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2630 1710 5750
Transport Wnd (mph) W 20 W 26 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 44710 39330 138000
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 42 Gen Good 90 Good
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 57 Gen Good 90 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-270745-
Eastern Essex-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 37 (-15) 45
RH % (24h trend) 83 91 (-9) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 W 6-10 G23 W 13-17 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 W 11-15 G29 W 14-18 G32
Precip Amount 0.11 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2220 1810 5670
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 18 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31080 28960 136080
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 47 Gen Good 93 Good
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 59 Gen Good 92 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-270745-
Western Union-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 35 (-15) 43
RH % (24h trend) 83 93 (-7) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 5-9 G23 W 12-16 G30
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14 G29 W 13-17 G31
Precip Amount 0.09 0.11 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2430 1760 5650
Transport Wnd (mph) W 18 W 24 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 38880 36960 135600
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 39 Fair 93 Good
Max ADI Late 37 Fair 58 Gen Good 92 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-270745-
Eastern Union-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (+5) 37 (-14) 45
RH % (24h trend) 78 93 (-7) 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var W 5-9 G24 W 13-17 G34
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14 G30 W 14-18 G37
Precip Amount 0.13 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2430 1800 5750
Transport Wnd (mph) W 17 W 22 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 36450 34200 138000
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 41 Gen Good 95 Good
Max ADI Late 36 Fair 59 Gen Good 93 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-270745-
Hudson-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+4) 38 (-15) 44
RH % (24h trend) 80 93 (-6) 44
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 8-12 G26 W 14-18 G31
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 W 14-18 G30 W 16-20 G32
Precip Amount 0.14 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2150 1570 5610
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 20 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32250 26690 134640
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 49 Gen Good 94 Good
Max ADI Late 34 Fair 59 Gen Good 93 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-270745-
Northern Fairfield-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+4) 33 (-15) 44
RH % (24h trend) 89 100 (0) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 SW 4-8 G19 W 11-15 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 W 10-14 G26 W 13-17 G29
Precip Amount 0.11 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2030 250 6050
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 W 29 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 28420 6250 139150
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 35 Fair 83 Good
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 51 Gen Good 89 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-270745-
Southern Fairfield-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+5) 34 (-15) 44
RH % (24h trend) 89 100 (0) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 5-9 G24 W 13-17 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 W 12-16 G31 W 14-18 G30
Precip Amount 0.15 0.12 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2110 190 6010
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 W 31 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 29540 5130 138230
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 35 Fair 88 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 53 Gen Good 91 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-270745-
Northern New Haven-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+6) 33 (-15) 45
RH % (24h trend) 87 100 (0) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 SW 4-8 G19 W 12-16 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 W 11-15 G26 W 13-17 G29
Precip Amount 0.14 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2190 1290 6170
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 16 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 32850 18060 135740
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 37 Fair 79 Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 52 Gen Good 87 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-270745-
Southern New Haven-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+4) 35 (-15) 45
RH % (24h trend) 90 100 (0) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 SW 4-8 G20 W 12-16 G26
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 W 11-15 G27 W 13-17 G29
Precip Amount 0.21 0.09 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2070 130 5940
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 W 30 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 31050 3380 130680
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 25 Fair 84 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 46 Gen Good 86 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-270745-
Northern Middlesex-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+5) 35 (-13) 45
RH % (24h trend) 91 100 (0) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 SW 3-7 G19 W 12-16 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 3-7 W 10-14 G26 W 13-17 G30
Precip Amount 0.20 0.08 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2230 250 6080
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 W 29 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 33450 6250 127680
Max ADI Early 28 Fair 24 Fair 76 Good
Max ADI Late 33 Fair 40 Fair 83 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-270745-
Southern Middlesex-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+4) 35 (-15) 46
RH % (24h trend) 89 100 (0) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 G21 W 13-17 G27
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 W 11-15 G30 W 14-18 G29
Precip Amount 0.29 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2080 680 5830
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 W 31 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 29120 18360 128260
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 21 Fair 84 Good
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 51 Gen Good 85 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-270745-
Northern New London-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+5) 35 (-13) 45
RH % (24h trend) 90 100 (0) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 G19 W 13-17 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 W 11-15 G26 W 13-17 G30
Precip Amount 0.26 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2180 250 5910
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 W 30 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 30520 6500 118200
Max ADI Early 26 Fair 23 Fair 76 Good
Max ADI Late 31 Fair 39 Fair 80 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-270745-
Southern New London-
232 AM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thanksgiving Day
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (+4) 35 (-14) 45
RH % (24h trend) 91 100 (0) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 SW 3-7 G21 W 13-17 G29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 W 11-15 G30 W 14-18 G30
Precip Amount 0.30 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1720 5680
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 W 29 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25800 0 119280
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 19 Gen Poor 81 Good
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 39 Fair 82 Good
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows around
30. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 25 to 35 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Windy. Mostly clear. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs around 50. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$