Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
201
FNUS51 KOKX 190712
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A light wetting rainfall is expected this morning for most of
Long Island, NYC and NE NJ as well southern portions of the
Lower Hudson Valley and CT. High pressure and dry weather
then follows for this afternoon through Thursday. Light
winds through the period.
NYZ212-201100-
New York City-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (0) 35 (-5) 49
RH % (24h trend) 56 (+12) 80 (-1) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 3-7 N 3-7 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3320 3860
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 9 N 12 N 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26560 0 15440
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 10 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 8 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-201100-
Long Island-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (0) 34 (-3) 48
RH % (24h trend) 57 (+7) 87 (+8) 53
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3570 4010
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 8 N 9 N 6
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24990 0 20050
Max ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 9 Poor 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 25 Fair 7 Poor 20 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-201100-
Lower Hudson Valley-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow/Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+3) 26 (-4) 47
RH % (24h trend) 56 (+7) 93 (+9) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4200 3910
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 6 NW 2
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21000 0 7820
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 11 Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-201100-
Western Passaic-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow/Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 46 (+2) 28 (-5) 48
RH % (24h trend) 60 (+13) 92 (+4) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3880 130 3790
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 NE 7 SW 2
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19400 780 7580
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 9 Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 4 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-201100-
Eastern Passaic-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (0) 30 (-6) 49
RH % (24h trend) 63 (+20) 87 (0) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3840 50 3840
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 8 N 6 NW 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26880 250 11520
Max ADI Early 24 Fair 12 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 32 Fair 2 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-201100-
Western Bergen-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (+2) 29 (-5) 49
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+17) 88 (+1) 51
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3960 80 3880
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 5 N 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 19800 320 11640
Max ADI Early 25 Fair 11 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-201100-
Eastern Bergen-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (0) 31 (-6) 49
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+18) 85 (+2) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3830 10 3880
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 8 N 8 NW 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26810 70 15520
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 11 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-201100-
Western Essex-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+1) 31 (-5) 48
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+20) 87 (-2) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3560 40 3810
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 8 N 6 NW 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24920 200 11430
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 11 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 29 Fair 3 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-201100-
Eastern Essex-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-1) 35 (-3) 49
RH % (24h trend) 62 (+20) 77 (-8) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3390 30 3890
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 8 N 8 NW 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 23730 210 15560
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 10 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 4 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-201100-
Western Union-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 46 (-1) 31 (-6) 49
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+26) 86 (-5) 52
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3210 60 3860
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 9 N 7 N 2
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25680 360 7720
Max ADI Early 23 Fair 10 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 13 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-201100-
Eastern Union-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-1) 34 (-4) 49
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+19) 81 (-4) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3210 3910
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 9 N 8 NW 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 25680 0 11730
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 10 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 5 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-201100-
Hudson-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (0) 35 (-4) 49
RH % (24h trend) 58 (+16) 78 (-3) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3340 3910
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 9 N 9 NW 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 26720 0 15640
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 10 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 26 Fair 7 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-201100-
Northern Fairfield-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow/Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+3) 28 (-1) 47
RH % (24h trend) 57 (+4) 87 (+8) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4270 70 3940
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 7 NE 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21350 420 11820
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 11 Poor 13 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-201100-
Southern Fairfield-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (+2) 30 (-4) 48
RH % (24h trend) 60 (+9) 84 (+5) 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4080 3900
Transport Wnd (mph) NE 7 N 7 NE 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24480 0 15600
Max ADI Early 21 Fair 9 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 7 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-201100-
Northern New Haven-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow/Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+2) 27 (-2) 48
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+2) 86 (+2) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4520 4060
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 6 NE 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22600 0 12180
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 11 Poor 15 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-201100-
Southern New Haven-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (+2) 29 (-3) 47
RH % (24h trend) 54 (+3) 84 (+5) 49
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190 3930
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 6 NE 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20950 0 15720
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 8 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 23 Fair 5 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-201100-
Northern Middlesex-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Snow/Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+1) 26 (-4) 47
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+3) 89 (+10) 48
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4470 4000
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 6 N 3 NW 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 22350 0 12000
Max ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 10 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 28 Fair 3 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-201100-
Southern Middlesex-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (+1) 29 (-4) 48
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+2) 82 (+5) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4240 3990
Transport Wnd (mph) N 6 N 6 NE 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21200 0 11970
Max ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 9 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 24 Fair 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-201100-
Northern New London-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (+1) 27 (-3) 47
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+2) 88 (+11) 46
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4510 4000
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 7 N 5 N 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 27060 0 12000
Max ADI Early 22 Fair 11 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 30 Fair 3 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-201100-
Southern New London-
212 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (+2) 29 (-3) 47
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+2) 82 (+7) 47
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4280 3980
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 6 N 6 NE 5
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 21400 0 15920
Max ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 9 Poor 17 Gen Poor
Max ADI Late 25 Fair 4 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs around 50. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$