Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 030732
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Buckabear Fire...New Jersey Forest Fire
National Weather Service New York NY
332 AM EDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on September 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Weakening high pressure will remain across the area today, ahead
of an approaching frontal system on Thursday.

SE to S winds of 5 to 10 this morning into afternoon. Occasional
higher gusts possible in the afternoon. Min RH values fall into
the 30 to 40 percent range this afternoon across the interior
and 40 to 50 percent range for the coast.

On Thursday, SE winds increase to 10 to 20 mph with gusts 20-25 mph,
highest along the coast, with min RH values in the 50 to 60
percent range.

Next chance of rain, potentially wetting rain, is Thursday
evening, with a slight chance of thunderstorms. KBDI values are
running 200 to 500 across the CWA.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........53 at forecast start...Max 76.
RH..................96 percent at forecast start...Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 0 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds.
ADI.................0 early in the morning increasing to 66 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  22  23  19  16  12  20  28  36  35  35  35
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  54  57  62  67  71  73  74  75  76  76  75
RH..............96  93  83  70  59  51  48  44  41  40  39  40
20 FT wind dir..000 000 240 220 170 140 150 160 170 170 170 170
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............0   0   1   6   12  19  26  33  41  54  64  66

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 55.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
ADI.................49 early in the evening decreasing to 0 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  22  16  14  12  10  9   8   7   11  14  18
Weather cov.....                                PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  69  66  63  61  59  58  58  57  56  55  55
RH..............44  51  58  67  75  83  90  90  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..170 170 170 170 170 180 180 200 210 210 210 210
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............49  25  5   0   0   3   3   3   4   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 78.
RH..................Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph with
                    gusts to around 17 mph late in the morning.
ADI.................0 early in the morning increasing to 200 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23  28  33  28  24  20  28  35  43  45  47  49
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  57  60  64  68  72  75  76  77  78  78  77
RH..............100 100 90  78  68  57  52  50  48  48  50  54
20 FT wind dir..200 190 180 180 170 170 170 170 180 170 160 160
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   10  12  14  14  17  17  17  17
ADI.............0   0   6   23  48  77  114 151 179 198 200 185

$$
Forecaster...MW
Requested by...Livesey
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521145.0/OKX
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clivesey223@gmail.com