Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
199
FNUS71 KOKX 141742
FWSOKX
Spot Forecast for Ward Pound Ridge Prescribed Burn...Westchester County Emergency Management
National Weather Service New York NY
1242 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds today are expected to gust out of the NW up to 20 kt this
afternoon. The winds diminish into tonight. Minimum RH levels
will be around 55 percent, and 45 to 50 percent on Saturday. There
is a chance of wetting rain late day Saturday, with wetting rain
Saturday night.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........34 at ignition...Max 47.
RH..................78 percent at ignition...Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
Light winds becoming northwest 6 to 8 mph with
gusts to around 17 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph becoming around 13 mph
late in the afternoon.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 102 in
the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 8 13 19 34 48 72 68 65 61 49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............34 36 39 47 44 46 46 46 46 45 43
RH..............78 72 67 51 53 53 55 58 55 58 62
20 FT wind dir..290 290 300 320 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
20 FT wind spd..4 6 6 7 6 8 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.7 10 12 11 8 13 17 17 16 16 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 2.4 3.3 4.4 4.0 4.9 4.9 4.7 2.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.280 290 300 310 310 290 290 300 300 300 300
Transp wind spd.9 12 16 18 20 18 22 23 24 16 13
ADI.............10 15 50 62 102 69 66 70 72 32 16
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Areas of frost
late in the evening. Widespread frost
overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 12 mph.
ADI.................2 to 5.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37 25 26 28 29 23 16 10 13 15 18 20
Weather cov..... ARS ARS WID WID WID WID WID
Weather type.... FST FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............41 40 39 38 38 36 35 34 33 32 31 31
RH..............67 70 73 73 73 75 75 78 78 78 81 81
20 FT wind dir..310 310 310 320 320 320 320 330 330 340 350 340
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.13 11 10 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.290 290 310 340 330 340 340 320 320 320 340 330
Transp wind spd.12 9 8 8 9 9 8 6 6 6 6 5
ADI.............5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Widespread frost
early in the morning. Chance of rain showers
late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 50.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
south late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south late
in the afternoon.
ADI.................6 to 27.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........23 26 29 31 34 45 57 68 75 83 90 93
Weather cov.....WID WID WID CHC CHC
Weather type....FST FST FST RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............30 31 34 38 42 45 48 49 50 50 48 48
RH..............81 81 75 67 60 53 47 46 46 50 58 60
20 FT wind dir..340 330 320 310 300 280 260 240 230 200 190 190
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.0 0.8
Transp wind dir.330 330 330 320 300 290 270 250 230 220 190 190
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 5 6 7 8 9 9 8 10 10
ADI.............6 6 6 8 13 18 23 27 23 19 13 9
$$
Forecaster...MET
Requested by...Matthew Kavaler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525532.0/OKX
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rrra@westchestercountyny.gov