183
FNUS71 KOKX 130824
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ward Pound Ridge Prescribed Burn...Westchester County Emergency Management
National Weather Service New York NY
324 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
NW winds start out light around 5 mph, but increase to around
10 mph gusts 15 to 20 mph. RH values will start out over 80 percent,
but quickly drop into the 50s in the afternoon. Lighter NW winds are
anticipated on Saturday morning, eventually shifting to the W by the
afternoon with RH values falling to a min around 50 percent in the
afternoon.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........33 at ignition...Max 46.
RH..................85 percent at ignition...Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 5 to 8
                    mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph increasing to 25 to 26
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
ADI.................12 early in the morning increasing to 113 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   14  18  22  35  48  61  59  57  55  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  34  37  41  43  44  45  45  45  44  42
RH..............85  89  82  67  60  57  53  53  53  55  60
20 FT wind dir..300 300 310 310 310 320 320 320 320 320 320
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  13  14  14  16  14  14  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 2.0 4.0 5.7 6.7 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.6 7.3 6.6
Transp wind dir.300 310 320 330 330 330 330 330 330 330 340
Transp wind spd.12  16  21  25  26  26  25  26  26  26  25
ADI.............12  44  83  112 113 103 91  94  97  92  67

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 26.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 25 mph decreasing to 8 to 14
                    mph overnight.
ADI.................3 to 36.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  40  33  26  19  16  13  9   10  10  10  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............39  37  35  34  33  32  31  30  29  29  28  27
RH..............67  72  78  78  82  85  85  88  88  85  88  92
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 330 330 330 320 320 320 320 320 320
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.11  10  10  8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...5.6 4.6 3.7 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2
Transp wind dir.340 340 340 340 340 330 330 330 330 320 320 320
Transp wind spd.25  25  24  23  22  21  18  16  14  12  9   8
ADI.............36  11  4   6   10  9   8   7   6   4   4   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 46.
RH..................Min 53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early in the morning becoming west
                    5 to 6 mph, then shifting to the southwest
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 16 mph shifting to the west
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 61 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  14  18  23  27  38  49  60  63  65  68  75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............26  27  30  34  38  41  43  44  45  45  45  44
RH..............96  96  88  75  67  59  55  53  53  53  55  57
20 FT wind dir..320 320 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 240 230 220
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.4 1.3 2.3 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.320 320 320 320 320 310 300 300 290 280 270 260
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  13  15  16  15  15  14  13  12  12
ADI.............3   9   27  47  61  59  51  41  37  33  29  23

$$
Forecaster...DS
Requested by...Matthew Kavaler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525532.0/OKX
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mak6@westchestercountyny.gov