Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 171809
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Ridge FI-210 Burn Plots...NYS Dept of Environ Conserv
National Weather Service New York NY
209 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
No rainfall anticipated through Saturday. Winds diminish early
today then remain under 10 mph tonight and Saturday. Min RH
falls betweeen 30 and 50% today and tomorrow.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
ADI.................15 to 31.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   6   12  17  23  27  31  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  53  57  60  62  63  64  64  63
RH..............74  59  53  46  43  41  40  40  43
20 FT wind dir..000 350 350 350 340 340 320 270 240
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.1 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.2
Transp wind dir.000 350 340 340 330 320 310 270 250
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6
ADI.............15  24  30  31  28  25  25  24  22

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
ADI.................0 to 15.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  30  28  27  27  26  27  29  30  30  29  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  55  52  51  50  51  50  49  49  49  50  50
RH..............51  61  71  74  80  77  83  89  93  96  93  96
20 FT wind dir..230 210 200 200 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.240 210 200 200 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   8   9
ADI.............15  8   2   0   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to 21 to 25 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 69 in the
                    afternoon in the morning and early afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  32  34  34  34  35  35  36  36  40  43  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  52  55  59  62  66  68  69  70  70  69  68
RH..............96  100 93  83  75  68  63  63  61  63  66  70
20 FT wind dir..190 180 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 160 160
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   6   7   8   10  11  12  12  12  11
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10  11  13  14  16  17  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.9 M   M   M
Transp wind dir.190 180 170 170 180 180 180 180 190 M   M   M
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  13  15  18  21  23  25  M   M   M
ADI.............4   6   12  25  40  54  62  66  69  M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...MW
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523814.0/OKX
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov