Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
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930 FNUS71 KOKX 201726 FWSOKX Spot Forecast for Sterling Forest State Park Brush Fire...New York State Watch Center National Weather Service New York NY 126 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 EDT on June 20. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. 631-924-0383 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... Just a low chance of a wetting rainfall late today into this evening north of Sterling Forest. A better chance of thunderstorms with wetting rainfall may arrive Friday afternoon and evening with a cold front approaching from the north. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Temperature.........90 at forecast start...Max 91. RH..................48 percent at forecast start...Min 44 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at forecast start...otherwise Southwest winds around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good /43000 knot-ft/ at forecast start. Max...good /50200 knot-ft/. TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........43 41 38 36 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............90 90 90 89 RH..............48 44 47 48 20 FT wind dir..220 220 230 220 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..43 49 50 45 Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). CWR.................10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Temperature.........Min 69. RH..................Max 90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the night. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........33 33 33 33 32 32 31 34 28 32 32 34 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............89 86 83 81 79 78 76 75 73 72 70 69 RH..............48 52 60 63 67 69 74 74 79 79 84 87 20 FT wind dir..230 230 240 240 230 230 240 240 270 270 270 270 20 FT wind spd..5 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.6 6 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..29 12 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early. Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until 1400, then 9-15 strikes. Temperature.........Max 91. RH..................Min 50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (72900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........47 41 34 25 19 19 25 30 34 38 43 50 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 50 50 50 50 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Temp............69 71 73 76 80 84 86 88 89 90 90 89 RH..............90 87 84 79 72 63 59 54 52 50 52 56 20 FT wind dir..280 280 290 280 280 270 250 240 240 240 270 280 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 1 4 12 20 28 36 46 56 67 73 66 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD $$ Forecaster...BG Requested by...Sean Duffy Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416451.0/OKX .DELDT 06/20/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL ny.statewatchcenter@dhses.ny.gov