Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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Spot Forecast for Buckabear Fire...New Jersey Forest Fire
National Weather Service New York NY
706 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 EDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain across the area overnight, moving
offshore on Wednesday ahead of an approaching frontal
system.

Light SE/variable winds expected to veer to the NW/variable late
tonight into Wednesday morning, before veering to the SE Wed
morning and then S into afternoon. Winds expected to remain below
10 mph, outside of occasional gusts in the afternoon.

RH values moderate overnight, and then fall into the 30 to 40
percent range Wednesday afternoon.

SE winds increase to 10 to 15 mph with gusts 20 to 25 mph possible
on Thursday, with min RH values in the 50 percent range on
Thursday.

Next chance of rain, potentially wetting rain, is Thursday
evening, with a slight chance of thunderstorms.

Please feel free to call our 24/7 emergency operations at
631-924-0383 if in need of emergency weather support.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........69 at forecast start...Min 53.
RH..................53 percent at forecast start...Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 4 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds.
ADI.................0 to 15.

TIME (EDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  12  15  18  21  23  24  26  27  29  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  67  64  61  59  57  56  55  54  54  53
RH..............53  59  67  75  83  93  96  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..150 170 170 180 180 180 000 000 000 270 300
20 FT wind spd..4   2   1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............15  3   0   1   3   2   2   2   1   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 76.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 58 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  31  31  25  20  14  18  21  25  26  27  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  53  57  61  67  70  72  74  74  75  76  74
RH..............100 100 93  81  63  53  49  44  43  40  39  41
20 FT wind dir..300 300 300 260 180 140 150 170 180 180 170 170
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............1   1   3   7   12  20  31  42  51  57  58  53

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 55.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
ADI.................0 to 38.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  19  15  14  12  11  10  9   8   12  15  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  71  66  63  62  60  59  58  57  56  55  55
RH..............44  47  56  70  75  81  87  90  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..170 170 170 170 170 170 180 190 200 200 190 190
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............38  20  4   0   1   3   3   3   3   3   2   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 77.
RH..................Min 54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph late in the morning.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 154 in
the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  20  20  23  27  30  34  39  43  44  46  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  57  59  62  66  70  72  74  75  76  76  75
RH..............100 100 96  84  73  61  57  55  54  54  54  58
20 FT wind dir..190 180 170 170 170 170 170 180 180 180 170 160
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   10  12  14  14  17  17  18  18
ADI.............1   3   13  37  67  96  115 128 137 149 154 143

$$
Forecaster...NV
Requested by...Livesey
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521145.0/OKX
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clivesey223@gmail.com