162
FXUS66 KOTX 141819
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1019 AM PST Fri Nov 14 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy and wet weather through Friday.

- Mountain snow through Friday night. Additional snow in the
  mountains Sunday into Monday. Minor travel impacts expected.

- Low impact and unsettled weather continues through next week.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Wetter and windy weather continues through Friday. Light snow
is expected over mountain passes. A brief break between weather
systems on Saturday. Then another weather system Saturday night
into early Monday will bring additional light precipitation
including more light snow to mountain passes, especially Sunday
night into Monday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Friday and Saturday: The air mass in place is registering over
200% of normal on the precipitable water readings with the
plume of moisture aimed at the Inland Northwest. This plume will
maintain a mild and wet pattern through Friday with the upper
level trough to the north swinging overhead across the
Northwest. The surface Low positioned in Alberta along with the
flattening of the trough to a more zonal west to east flow will
result in breezy west- southwest winds Friday across the south-
central Washington Basin, the West Plains, and up through the
Okanogan Valley. Winds will remain elevated into Saturday. A
brief transition Friday evening with the air mass seeing a brief
drying trend before another plume of moisture reloads for
Saturday, aimed more at the higher elevations. Snow levels will
rise Friday night from 5000 feet to well over 7000-8000 feet by
Saturday night. Snow accumulations at Washington Pass have
continued to decrease, however totals through Saturday morning
should end up between 5-8 inches (30% chance for more than 6
inches).

Sunday through Thursday: The next weather system will begin to
enter the region Sunday evening with another plume of moisture
and a colder air mass. Snow levels will rapidly lower by Monday
evening to 3000 - 4000 feet into Tuesday. The precipitation
chances also decrease with the colder temperatures and the loss
of higher precipitable water values. Light precip chances
through Wednesday will return with the higher focus on the
disturbance late in the week bringing another round of
precipitation with lower snow levels and colder temperatures
(near freezing) and the chance for a rain-snow mix down to
Valleys. Confidence is not great in this solution, but the CPC
8-14 day hazards does paint message of slight risk (20-40%
chance) chance of below normal temperatures coincident with a
slight risk (20-40%) chance of snow by late next week. Something
to keep our eyes on. /Dewey

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFs: A weak wave is passing through the region bringing
widespread mid to upper level cloud decks. Thicker and lower
cloud decks are over Northeast WA and North ID. A low level
gradient is bringing gusty winds across the Basin. Conditions
are expected to improve through Friday as drier air fills in
behind exiting wave. With cool overnight temps and moisture
from previous days rain, another round of MVFR ceilings are
expected Saturday morning for EAT-COE-PUW-SFF. GEG will also
MVFR ceilings but could see IFR ceilings also.

.FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Moderate to
high confidence on the MVFR ceilings. Low confidence on the IFR
ceilings.

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage:
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        52  44  53  41  54  42 /  70  50  30  30  30  60
Coeur d`Alene  51  44  52  42  53  42 /  80  80  60  50  30  70
Pullman        52  42  53  40  54  41 /  80  30  40  20  30  70
Lewiston       59  46  58  42  57  45 /  60  20  20  10  20  60
Colville       49  37  53  37  52  37 /  80  80  50  60  50  60
Sandpoint      48  41  49  40  52  39 / 100  90  80  80  50  70
Kellogg        49  44  49  42  54  44 /  90  80  80  60  40  70
Moses Lake     57  44  56  42  57  40 /  20  20  10  10  20  30
Wenatchee      55  45  57  45  54  43 /  40  40  30  20  30  40
Omak           52  42  53  44  53  42 /  40  40  20  10  30  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$