808
FXUS66 KOTX 011123
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
423 AM PDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Sheltered northern valleys will see low temperatures in the
  mid 30s each morning through Friday, leading to isolated areas
  of frost development.

- Temperatures gradually trend warmer through the rest
  of the week and into the weekend. Afternoon highs peak in the
  70s and low 80s Saturday through Monday.

- Mainly dry conditions are forecast with the exception of
  shower chances for the North Cascades Thursday and Friday.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Temperatures will trend warmer through the end of the week,
rising into the 70s and low 80s by the weekend. Conditions are
looking benign through the first week of October with mainly dry
conditions and light winds.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Thursday through Friday: The region is under a zonal flow
pattern with a strengthening ridge over the Southwest Conus and
a developing Gulf of Alaska Low. A weak wave will pass through
the region today but is only expected to bring isolated showers
for the Cascades and northern mountains. It will not bring much
in the way of precip as probability of more than a hundredth are
at most 20%. Winds will be light. Temperatures will continue to
warm through the period. Highs will be in the 70s to low 80s.
Clear sky and dry air will allow for lows to dip into the mid
30s for the northern valleys. The range of lows will be mid 30s
to 40s.

Saturday through Wednesday: The ridge will build into the
Pacific Northwest behind the weak wave. It will continue the
dry, warming trend through the end of the period. Weak waves
will continue to pass through the region but are not expected to
bring much in the way of precip. It will bring a brief cool
down from the weekend. Nearly 80% of ensembles agree with this
pattern. The other 20% flatten the ridge with a stronger long
wave trough pressing into the region on Tuesday. The dry, warm
conditions return through the end of the week. Highs will be in
the 70s and low 80s. Lows will be in the upper 30s and low 50s.
Overnight lows Looking ahead, next weekend is showing signs of
being cooler with increased shower chances. /JDC

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFS: High clouds across the Northwest today and tonight.
There will also be some lower clouds near KEAT, KLWS, KPUW but
clouds bases above 4-6 kft with VFR conditions prevailing. Winds
are also expected to be light.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence
for VFR conditions throughout the period. /SVH

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane
airports, please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our
webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        68  45  74  45  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Coeur d`Alene  67  44  72  45  74  45 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pullman        69  45  73  46  76  46 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Lewiston       73  51  79  51  79  52 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Colville       68  38  73  38  76  39 /   0  10   0   0   0   0
Sandpoint      65  41  69  41  71  42 /   0  10   0   0   0   0
Kellogg        67  46  71  45  73  46 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Moses Lake     73  45  77  45  78  46 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Wenatchee      71  52  77  53  75  54 /   0   0   0   0   0   0
Omak           70  43  75  45  76  46 /  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$