933
FXUS66 KOTX 120907
AFDOTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
107 AM PST Wed Nov 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy and wet Thursday into Friday.

- Mountain snow late Thursday into Friday night. Additional snow in
the mountains Sunday into Monday. Minor travel impacts expected.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Increasing clouds with light rain early Wednesday. Wetter and
windy weather returns Thursday and Friday. Light snow is
expected over mountain passes. A brief break between weather
systems on Saturday. Then another weather system Saturday night
into early Monday will bring additional light precipitation
including more light snow to mountain passes, especially Sunday
night into Monday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and tonight: A warm front lifts north across the region
morning, lifting toward the Canadian border later tonight in
advance of the low pressure trough deepening off the coast. This
will bring rain to portions of the northern two-third of WA and ID
this morning, with the threat then lifting toward the northern
counties and backing against the Cascades later this afternoon
into tonight. This system will largely bring only lighter
precipitation, with most outside the mountain seeing only a couple
hundredths or so, with may be just up to a tenth of an inch near
the Cascade crest and northeast mountains. Snow levels rise above
7000 feet, bringing only light accumulations near the Cascade
crest. Otherwise it will remain mostly cloudy to cloudy, with some
breaks come from the south later this afternoon into tonight,
especially the southeast CWA. However additional fog will be
possible today and again tonight, with the best chances around the
sheltered mountain valleys.

Thursday and Friday: a more dynamic system moves inland. This
will bring increasing rain from the west Thursday morning into
afternoon, continuing into the evening before the threat starts to
wane gradually from the west overnight into Friday. By Friday
afternoon the highest precipitation potential will be in the
mountains, with still some moderate chances over the east third of
WA. Snow levels remain relatively high Thursday, then start to
drop from the west Thursday night into Friday, dropping to near
3500-4500 feet. Most of the more significant snow will remain near
Washington pass, with 3-6 inches possible. Lighter amounts are
possible at other passes heading into Friday, generally less than
an inch. Elsewhere rain amounts of 0.10 to 0.20 inches will be
common, with near 0.50 to 1 inch heading into the mountains zones
and along WA/ID border. Wind turn breezy going into late Thursday
and especially Friday with gusts near 15-25 mph.

Saturday to Tuesday: the pattern remains active and progressive.
Weak ridging and westerly flow will keep some shower chances
around the mountains zones Saturday, with linger smaller chances
in the eastern third of WA/lower ID. Then the next more organized
system moves in between Sunday and Tuesday. Models are in less
agreement in the overall evolution of the pattern, with some more
progressive than others. However look for renewed precipitation
chances Sunday into early Monday, with a retreat toward the
mountains Monday night into Tuesday. Snow levels rise again into
Sunday, then start to drop again into early next week. They are a
bit milder than this time yesterday. Some light to moderate snow
will be possible in the Cascades, but there is more uncertainty
than yesterday. Temperatures will be near to slightly above
normal. /Solveig

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAFs: A warm front will lift into the area over tonight
into early Wednesday, then toward the Canadian border by late in
the day. Linger low clouds and moisture that could not scour
out during the day will continue to bring LIFR/MVFR conditions
near GEG/SFF/LWS with low clouds and fog. THe incoming warm
front will bring with it some light rain chances between 09-15Z
or so, which may help to mix up the stratus a bit but primarily
MVFR/IFR conditions are expected to persist through at least
midday, with some improvement in the afternoon to evening. GEG
appears to have the lowest potential of seeing any sustained VFR
conditions. Other TAF sites will see primarily VFR conditions,
with localized MVFR conditions possible with any passing showers
chances. Overall the risk for precipitation.

.FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS:
Moderate to high confidence in LIFR/LIFR conditions at
GEG/SFF/LWS through 09Z, with moderate confidence in some
improvement between 09-15Z. Moderate to high confidence in VFR
conditions at PUW/COE/MWH/EAT, with low confidence in MVFR/IFR
conditions at these same spots. Low to moderate confidence in
rain chances.

-----------------------

Confidence descriptors:
Low - Less than a 30 percent chance
Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance
High - Greater than a 70 percent chance

For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,
please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage:
https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Spokane        51  39  54  43  51  39 /  40  10  70  90  50  40
Coeur d`Alene  52  41  54  44  50  39 /  60  10  70 100  70  60
Pullman        58  43  58  44  52  39 /  20  10  60  90  70  50
Lewiston       61  47  61  49  58  44 /  10   0  30  80  50  40
Colville       47  33  49  36  50  32 /  60  20  90  90  60  50
Sandpoint      49  37  50  41  48  37 /  80  20  80 100  90  80
Kellogg        57  46  57  46  49  40 /  60  10  70 100  90  80
Moses Lake     52  37  51  40  56  39 /  10  10  70  60  10  20
Wenatchee      50  42  51  43  54  42 /  20  20  80  70  20  30
Omak           48  39  49  40  51  38 /  30  20  80  60  20  20

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...None.
ID...None.

&&

$$