Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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172
FXUS64 KOUN 021134
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
534 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 530 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

 - A cold front Wednesday will bring colder weather into Thursday.
   Breezy post-frontal winds may give way to single digit to teens
   wind chill values.

 - There is a slight chance for light wintry precipitation
   Thursday morning across western north Texas and far southern
   Oklahoma.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Surface ridge will continue to push off to the east today as lee
troughing increasing along the Rockies. That being said, southerly
winds will return across the southern Plains by this afternoon.
Temperatures will be much warmer this afternoon beneath sunny
skies. We will mostly see afternoon highs in the 50s for the
entire area.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

A weak front will begin to move into the northwest portions of
Oklahoma on Tuesday night. Overnight temperatures ahead of this
boundary will be in the low to mid 30s, and into the 20s along and
behind the front. The next mid-level trough will dig into the
Desert Southwest on Wednesday, helping to push the front through
the area by the late morning hours. Winds behind the front area
expected to be breezy, and will roughly be between 15-25 mph. The
drier air will keep afternoon highs similar to Tuesday, with most
locations in the 50s and perhaps even low 60s across southern
Oklahoma.

As the main wave traverses the Rockies Thursday morning, there is
a low chance for wintry mix across portions of western north
Texas and southern Oklahoma. These chances are low at this time,
as drier mid- level and low-level air may inhibit any
precipitation at all. Should precipitation begin in the morning,
it will transition to rain during the late morning and early
afternoon as temperatures warm up above freezing. At this time,
little-to-no accumulation is expected.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 1212 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

By Friday and Saturday, temperatures are expected to rebound back
up into the 50s to 60s, with dry conditions. Another cold front
will move in Saturday evening, knocking temperatures down a few
degrees on Sunday. Dry conditions will continue through the
weekend and into the early portions of next week.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period.

Light and variable winds this morning will become predominantly
south-southwest to southerly. These winds will become gusty across
the western terminals (KWWR and KCSM). By tonight, a
strengthening low-level jet will result in low-level wind shear.
A cold front/northerly wind shift will move into northwest
Oklahoma toward the end of the TAF period (impacting KWWR).

Mahale

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  51  32  50  22 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         53  32  52  22 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  55  38  58  27 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           54  25  45  17 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     50  28  47  17 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         50  33  60  31 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...10