Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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816
FXUS64 KOUN 102329
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
529 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 527 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

 - Above-average temperatures through Friday; turning cooler by
   this weekend.

 - Dry through early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1149 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Gusty winds behind the front are expected to gradually come down
this afternoon, becoming light by evening. Until then, we may see a
few hours of elevated fire weather concerns in southwest Oklahoma
and western north Texas where these gusty winds coincide with RH
values of 20 to 25 percent. Overnight, winds will be light and
coming back around to southerly.

Highs today will be in the 50s and lower 60s under mostly sunny
skies. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 30s.

Day

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 1149 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Southwest surface flow and sunny skies will bring warmer
temperatures tomorrow (highs in the 60s to lower 70s). Some hi-res
guidance suggest a brief period of gusty winds in the morning as a
low level feature passes eastward over the area. Confidence is lower
than normal for the amplitude and duration of these higher winds.

Another cold front will pass through early Friday, bringing
temperatures back down into the 50s to mid 60s again. Breezy
north winds will again be possible behind the front during the day.

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1208 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Models show a secondary front moving across the area over the
weekend which will bring a re-enforcing shot of cool air leading to
the coldest temperatures of the next 7 days on Sunday. Highs Sunday
are expected to range from the upper 30s in north central OK to
around 50 along the Red River which will be 5 to 10 degrees below
average.

Models show a bit of a pattern change next week with a southern
stream system moving across the region early/mid next week. This
system brings a low chance for some precipitation to at least SE
parts of the fa but overall the forecast will remain dry for most
into the middle of next week.

Southerly winds and near to above average temperatures are also
expected to return early next week with highs in the 50s and 60s
although some locations could see temperatures hovering around 70 by
the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 529 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR conditions will continue with only high clouds expected.

Winds will become light and variable this evening as they
transition toward the south/southwest. Winds will become gusty by
mid-morning with the potential for some low-level wind shear.
Winds will weaken toward the end of the TAF period.

Mahale

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  37  63  42  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         35  67  39  61 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  36  68  41  66 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           36  71  38  55 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     34  65  39  52 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         36  63  42  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...10