801
FXUS64 KOUN 040522
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1122 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

 - Cold air arrives tonight with drizzle and cooling
   temperatures through daybreak.

 - A mix of snow and sleet is expected across western and central
   Oklahoma from tomorrow morning to tomorrow afternoon, with
   brief accumulation and travel impacts possible.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

In the wake of the reinforcing cold front, colder air continues
to filter south across the area overnight. Meanwhile, an upper
shortwave across the four corners area will shift east and
gradually shear out as it moves into the southern Plains toward
morning. This shearing out of the wave will reduce large scale
assent. However, models have been depicting frontogenesis
occurring around 700MB that gradually shifts south across Oklahoma
overnight into Thursday morning. This will likely result in the
development of a couple frontogenetical bands of precip. We are
already seeing one of those across the central and northern
Panhandles into northwest Oklahoma and another is expected to set
up from west Texas into southwest and central Oklahoma later
tonight and continue into the middle of the day Thursday. These
will likely result in some accumulations of snow and sleet in
these areas. There is a Winter Weather Advisory for much of
western into central Oklahoma through 3 PM Thursday afternoon for
the possibility of 1 to 2 inches of accumulations of snow and
sleet before the precip ends Thursday afternoon.

Ground temperatures remain rather mild, in the mid/upper 40s and
lower 50s, so most roadways are expected to remain wet, with
potential for some light accumulations during brief periods of
heavier snowfall. Otherwise, most accumulations that do occur will
be confined to grassy surfaces as well as elevated surfaces such
as bridges and overpasses.

Temperatures will struggle to warm Thursday, but temperatures are
expected to climb above freezing across most of the area by
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday night through Friday night)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Southerly winds return on Friday. That, combined with sunny
skies, will allow temperatures to warm into the 50s.

Dry and seasonable conditions will continue on Saturday, albeit
with a bit more cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1119 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Next week is likely mainly dry. A front on Sunday will bring a
brief cooldown followed by a warming trend back to seasonable
temperatures and possibly above.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1033 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Mainly MVFR ceilings expected through the remainder of the night
and through the day tomorrow before skies gradually clear around
00Z. Will also be a chance of rain, snow and sleet across much of
the area tonight and through the morning hours Thursday. Rain will
be confined along the Red River with snow and sleet farther north.
Gusty north winds will also continue through the morning hours
before relaxing by afternoon, then shifting to the south by the
end of the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  48  28  35  25 /   0  50  40   0
Hobart OK         50  29  37  24 /   0  50  50   0
Wichita Falls TX  56  35  40  28 /   0  20  20   0
Gage OK           48  24  37  22 /   0  40  30   0
Ponca City OK     49  24  36  22 /   0  20  10   0
Durant OK         58  36  41  30 /   0  10  30   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM CST Thursday for OKZ009-010-
     014>017-021>036-038.

TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...30