976
FXUS64 KOUN 031140
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
640 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 636 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

- Daily rain/storm chances continue through the weekend into next
  week with near normal temperatures.

- Storms will bring a risk for heavy rain and localized flooding.

- Organized severe weather is not anticipated, but a few strong to
  severe storms with a risk for large hail and damaging winds will
  be possible most days.


&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Shower and thunderstorm activity has been much less widespread
over the area this evening compared to the last several evenings
as better moisture convergence is confined to our west within a
surface trough and upper ridging is centered over Oklahoma.
Ridging is expected to shift eastward today, with increasing
southerly flow on the backside of the ridge across western OK and
western north TX by this afternoon. This will allow shower and
thunderstorms to expand into western parts of the area later today
into tonight, bringing a risk for heavy rainfall and localized
flooding in any areas that see slow moving and/or training
thunderstorms. Strong winds and small hail will also be possible
with the stronger storms, but organized severe weather is not
anticipated. Activity further east into central OK is likely to
be more isolated through much of today and tonight, but can`t rule
out a pop up shower or storm just about anywhere. Highs today
will reach into the mid to upper 80s across much of the area,
right around seasonal norms for early June.

Ware

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday night through Friday night)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

Several subtropical shortwaves are expected to lift across the area
to the east of a slow moving upper low across northern MX into the
desert southwest US. This will keep occasional shower and
thunderstorm chances in the forecast through the end of the week
across most of the region. Weak shear and fairly moist atmospheric
profiles will keep the risk for severe weather fairly low, but can`t
rule out a few strong to marginally severe storms. Temperatures
will remain near normal to close out the week, with highs in the
mid 80s and lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Ware

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

The aforementioned trough to our west will slowly lift eastward
into the Plains this weekend, maintaining moist southerly flow and
periodic storm chances over the area Saturday and Sunday. Models
suggest the wave will then move east of the area Monday, shearing
out as it does so as it becomes enveloped by a larger trough
digging across the western US. Upper flow will then weaken and
become more nebulous over the area, but with a moist and unstable
airmass remaining in place, daily shower and storm chances and
near normal temperatures will continue into at least the early to
middle portion of next week.

Ware

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

There is a low chance (20% or less) for scattered showers/storms
in the area this morning. Higher chances will begin this afternoon
into tonight with the highest chances in parts of western OK and
western north TX. VFR/MVFR ceilings are expected this TAF period
with winds generally from the SE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  87  68  85  69 /  20  20  40  30
Hobart OK         90  66  86  67 /  30  70  60  40
Wichita Falls TX  91  68  87  68 /  20  30  40  40
Gage OK           88  64  85  67 /  50  80  40  20
Ponca City OK     85  67  86  69 /  30  10  50  40
Durant OK         87  71  85  71 /  20  10  40  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...25