421
FXUS64 KOUN 031100
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
500 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 457 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Breezy northwest winds and cooler temperatures today.

- The next chance for rain returns Thursday morning.

- A warming trend is expected this weekend into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Water vapor imagery shows the mid-level low skirting the
northwest OK/KS state line with the dryslot pushing into central
Oklahoma. This system will pivot northeastward today and the
trailing cold front will continue to move across the area. As this
occurs, gusty NNW winds (gusts of 35 to 45mph) will continue to
surge into northwest, west-central and into north-central
Oklahoma this morning. Gusts across western north Texas and
central Oklahoma rise to 25 to 35 mph, with lesser speeds over
southeastern Oklahoma. With the flow wrapping around the cyclone
to our north, expect a southern push of clouds, light rain
chances this morning, and CAA to yield cooler temperatures into
the afternoon. High temperatures are forecast to range from the
upper 50`s to near 70 degrees (far southern Oklahoma and western
north Texas).

Thompson

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and colder conditions are
expected tonight as temperatures fall into the 40`s from north to
south after sunset. Tomorrow, temperatures will rebound some under
sunny skies and winds returning to the south as a shortwave ridge
passes overhead. Low temperatures on Wednesday night will be in
the low 50`s.

Another shortwave exits the south-central Rockies by Thursday morning
and rain chances increase over north-central Oklahoma, and on the
north side of a developing/weak surface cyclone. Instability will
be low (up to 400 J/kg) but not zero, and so, there is a slight chance
of a few thunderstorms with this activity. With the progressive nature
of the shortwave, rain chances shift eastward pretty quickly and exit
our CWA by late afternoon on Thursday. Clouds and low-level CAA will
provide slightly cooler conditions north of I-40, with slightly warmer
temperatures southward. Low temperatures on Thursday night drop
into the 40`s.

Thompson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Another shortwave ridge traverses the plains on Friday, with partly
cloudy skies, light north winds and temperatures mainly in the 60`s.
Then, a warming trend is anticipated into at least Monday, with
above-average temperatures predicted for next week.

Thompson

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 457 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

A large low cloud deck will continue to develop across the area
this morning creating MVFR ceilings at all sites except SPS/DUA.
LAW should rise to VFR by mid/late morning. Gusty west to
northest winds will overspread the area this morning as well
behind a cold front. These winds will diminish late this
afternoon and become light after dark. Skies will also clear
around this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  61  46  68  51 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         62  45  68  52 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  68  48  72  53 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           58  41  67  48 /   0   0   0  30
Ponca City OK     62  44  65  48 /  20   0   0   0
Durant OK         70  49  72  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...01
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...30