814
FXUS63 KPAH 291130
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
630 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions, temperatures several degrees below normal and
  low humidity will provide great weather for the long holiday
  weekend.

- On and off small shower chances can be expected Monday night
  through Thursday, with a few thunderstorms possible.

- Below normal temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday will trend
  even cooler by Thursday with the passage of a cold front.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 630 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Updated aviation section for 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Models show surface high pressure centered over the southern
Great Lakes region today through Sunday, shifting over the
northeast U.S. Monday. Circulation around the high will result
in persistent light northeast flow across the middle
Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys through the long holiday
weekend. This will help keep our region dry and our
temperatures below normal with continued low humidity levels.
High temperatures today through Monday will be 2 to 6 degrees
below normal, with lows 5 to 8 degrees below normal.

By Monday night into Tuesday night, models show a couple of
weak upper level disturbances bringing scattered showers and
a few storms. Models are in good agreement bringing a much
deeper upper level trof and a surface cold front across our area
late Wednesday into Wednesday night. Lacking moisture will
prevent any significant rain chances, but isolated to scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday
afternoon/night and possibly even into Thursday. Behind the
cold front, dry and even cooler conditions will filter into our
region. Temperatures Monday through Wednesday will be 4 to 9
degrees below normal, then Thursday highs will potentially be 10
to 15 degrees below normal.

 &&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 630 AM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Any early morning fog will burn off by 13z. VFR conditions
expected through the TAF period, except some late night MVFR fog
may again develop after 09z, with the best chances at KCGI.
Winds will be from the north to northeast around 5kts, becoming
light and variable after 00z.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...RST